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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
-13.55%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$488M
AUM Growth
-$122M
(-20%)
Cap. Flow
-$46M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-9.42%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
12.26%
Holding
885
New
278
Increased
177
Reduced
136
Closed
293
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$7.96M |
| 2 |
Microsoft
MSFT
|
+$6.24M |
| 3 |
Estee Lauder
EL
|
+$5.96M |
| 4 |
Cisco
CSCO
|
+$5.04M |
| 5 |
WBA
Walgreens Boots Alliance
WBA
|
+$4.16M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
lululemon athletica
LULU
|
+$6.86M |
| 2 |
Lowe's Companies
LOW
|
+$6.56M |
| 3 |
TIF
Tiffany & Co.
TIF
|
+$6.19M |
| 4 |
FDC
First Data Corporation
FDC
|
+$5.8M |
| 5 |
Qualcomm
QCOM
|
+$5.49M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 24.54% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 16.56% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 14.16% |
| 4 | Industrials | 11.69% |
| 5 | Consumer Staples | 7.51% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
751
PNC Financial Services
PNC
$99.6B
| – | – |
-7,600
| Closed | -$1.03M |
|
752
PPG Industries
PPG
$26.4B
| – | – |
-7,700
| Closed | -$840K |
|
|
PR
753
Permian Resources
PR
$17B
| – | – |
-23,382
| Closed | -$511K |
|
754
Quanta Services
PWR
$93.1B
| – | – |
-17,700
| Closed | -$591K |
|
|
755
Qualcomm
QCOM
$179B
| – | – |
-76,200
| Closed | -$5.49M |
|
756
QuidelOrtho
QDEL
$1.15B
| – | – |
-3,100
| Closed | -$202K |
|
757
ProShares Ultra QQQ
QLD
$12.5B
| – | – |
-17,176
| Closed | -$216K |
|
758
Invesco QQQ Trust
QQQ
$449B
| – | – |
-15,600
| Closed | -$2.9M |
|
759
Restaurant Brands International
QSR
$25.8B
| – | – |
-8,700
| Closed | -$516K |
|
760
Rogers Communications
RCI
$17.7B
| – | – |
-6,146
| Closed | -$316K |
|
761
Radware
RDWR
$1.23B
| – | – |
-8,147
| Closed | -$216K |
|
762
Rexford Industrial Realty
REXR
$8.63B
| – | – |
-8,358
| Closed | -$267K |
|
763
Regis Corp
RGS
$68.3M
| – | – |
-734
| Closed | -$300K |
|
764
RenaissanceRe
RNR
$13.7B
| – | – |
-9,700
| Closed | -$1.3M |
|
765
Roku
ROKU
$21.2B
| – | – |
-16,694
| Closed | -$1.22M |
|
766
RPM International
RPM
$13.8B
| – | – |
-3,648
| Closed | -$237K |
|
767
Red Rock Resorts
RRR
$3.8B
| – | – |
-24,030
| Closed | -$640K |
|
768
Reliance Steel & Aluminium
RS
$20.6B
| – | – |
-4,692
| Closed | -$400K |
|
769
Sabre
SABR
$704M
| – | – |
-39,600
| Closed | -$1.03M |
|
770
Sanmina
SANM
$11.2B
| – | – |
-11,882
| Closed | -$328K |
|
|
SCHW
771
Charles Schwab
SCHW
$181B
| – | – |
-23,400
| Closed | -$1.15M |
|
772
Shake Shack
SHAK
$2.48B
| – | – |
-13,790
| Closed | -$869K |
|
|
HTO
773
H2O America
HTO
$2.66B
| – | – |
-3,965
| Closed | -$242K |
|
774
SM Energy
SM
$7.26B
| – | – |
-7,423
| Closed | -$234K |
|
775
Snap-on
SNA
$21.1B
| – | – |
-9,198
| Closed | -$1.69M |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2018 Portfolio in Review
As of Q4 2018, Bayesian Capital Management held 885 positions worth $488M, down 20% from $611M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 12% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $46M in Q4 2018, closing 293 positions and reducing 136 holdings. Its most notable exit was Lowe's Companies, an estimated $6.56M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 25% of assets, up from 19% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Nike worth $7.89M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2018 buy was Nike: 106,400 shares worth $7.89M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Microsoft in Q4 2018, an estimated $6.24M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2018 reduction was lululemon athletica, cutting an estimated $6.86M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Lowe's Companies in Q4 2018, selling an estimated $6.56M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 12% of its $488M portfolio in Q4 2018.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 278 new positions and closed 293 in Q4 2018.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 20% quarter-over-quarter to $488M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2018, filed 13 Feb 2019.