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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
-13.55%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$488M
AUM Growth
-$122M
(-20%)
Cap. Flow
-$46M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-9.42%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
12.26%
Holding
885
New
278
Increased
177
Reduced
136
Closed
293
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$7.96M |
| 2 |
Microsoft
MSFT
|
+$6.24M |
| 3 |
Estee Lauder
EL
|
+$5.96M |
| 4 |
Cisco
CSCO
|
+$5.04M |
| 5 |
WBA
Walgreens Boots Alliance
WBA
|
+$4.16M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
lululemon athletica
LULU
|
+$6.86M |
| 2 |
Lowe's Companies
LOW
|
+$6.56M |
| 3 |
TIF
Tiffany & Co.
TIF
|
+$6.19M |
| 4 |
FDC
First Data Corporation
FDC
|
+$5.8M |
| 5 |
Qualcomm
QCOM
|
+$5.49M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 24.54% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 16.56% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 14.16% |
| 4 | Industrials | 11.69% |
| 5 | Consumer Staples | 7.51% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
726
NextEra Energy
NEE
$186B
| – | – |
-23,200
| Closed | -$972K |
|
727
Northern Oil and Gas
NOG
$2.16B
| – | – |
-2,490
| Closed | -$100K |
|
728
Insight Enterprises
NSIT
$3.77B
| – | – |
-6,913
| Closed | -$374K |
|
729
Nutrien
NTR
$33.3B
| – | – |
-9,090
| Closed | -$524K |
|
730
Northern Trust
NTRS
$22.2B
| – | – |
-8,100
| Closed | -$827K |
|
731
Nu Skin
NUS
$255M
| – | – |
-3,568
| Closed | -$294K |
|
732
NVIDIA
NVDA
$4.77T
| – | – |
-635,680
| Closed | -$4.47M |
|
|
NVEE
733
DELISTED
NV5 Global
NVEE
| – | – |
-10,060
| Closed | -$218K |
|
734
Universal Display
OLED
$3.85B
| – | – |
-7,600
| Closed | -$896K |
|
735
Onto Innovation
ONTO
$12B
| – | – |
-15,993
| Closed | -$600K |
|
736
O'Reilly Automotive
ORLY
$75.6B
| – | – |
-211,500
| Closed | -$4.9M |
|
737
Pan American Silver
PAAS
$18.2B
| – | – |
-45,200
| Closed | -$667K |
|
738
Penske Automotive Group
PAG
$14.5B
| – | – |
-4,547
| Closed | -$215K |
|
739
PagSeguro Digital
PAGS
$2.69B
| – | – |
-19,900
| Closed | -$551K |
|
740
Patrick Industries
PATK
$2.91B
| – | – |
-7,950
| Closed | -$314K |
|
741
Prestige Consumer Healthcare
PBH
$2.45B
| – | – |
-15,132
| Closed | -$573K |
|
742
Petrobras
PBR
$116B
| – | – |
-19,800
| Closed | -$239K |
|
743
PACCAR
PCAR
$72.7B
| – | – |
-18,150
| Closed | -$825K |
|
744
PG&E
PCG
$39.2B
| – | – |
-12,000
| Closed | -$552K |
|
745
Penumbra
PEN
$12.6B
| – | – |
-3,786
| Closed | -$567K |
|
746
PENN Entertainment
PENN
$2.82B
| – | – |
-32,600
| Closed | -$1.07M |
|
747
Pultegroup
PHM
$25.7B
| – | – |
-31,920
| Closed | -$791K |
|
748
Photronics
PLAB
$1.72B
| – | – |
-28,125
| Closed | -$277K |
|
749
Dave & Buster's
PLAY
$361M
| – | – |
-24,157
| Closed | -$1.6M |
|
750
Prologis
PLD
$137B
| – | – |
-7,404
| Closed | -$502K |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2018 Portfolio in Review
As of Q4 2018, Bayesian Capital Management held 885 positions worth $488M, down 20% from $611M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 12% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $46M in Q4 2018, closing 293 positions and reducing 136 holdings. Its most notable exit was Lowe's Companies, an estimated $6.56M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 25% of assets, up from 19% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Nike worth $7.89M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2018 buy was Nike: 106,400 shares worth $7.89M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Microsoft in Q4 2018, an estimated $6.24M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2018 reduction was lululemon athletica, cutting an estimated $6.86M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Lowe's Companies in Q4 2018, selling an estimated $6.56M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 12% of its $488M portfolio in Q4 2018.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 278 new positions and closed 293 in Q4 2018.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 20% quarter-over-quarter to $488M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2018, filed 13 Feb 2019.