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BCM

Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings

AUM $81.9M
1-Year Est. Return 26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
-0.68%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$604M
AUM Growth
-$213M
Cap. Flow
-$186M
Cap. Flow %
-30.79%
Top 10 Hldgs %
13.62%
Holding
1,036
New
389
Increased
70
Reduced
105
Closed
470

Top Buys

Rank Stock Value
1
CSCO icon
Cisco
CSCO
+$12.4M
2
AMD icon
Advanced Micro Devices
AMD
+$10.8M
3
SPY icon
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
+$9.35M
4
WDAY icon
Workday
WDAY
+$7.63M
5
KO icon
Coca-Cola
KO
+$7.56M

Top Sells

Rank Stock Value
1
NKE icon
Nike
NKE
+$15.4M
2
AMGN icon
Amgen
AMGN
+$11.2M
3
CRM icon
Salesforce
CRM
+$9.62M
4
DHR icon
Danaher
DHR
+$9.18M
5
UNP icon
Union Pacific
UNP
+$8.98M

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Technology 25.33%
2 Consumer Discretionary 16.35%
3 Healthcare 12.02%
4 Industrials 10.05%
5 Consumer Staples 8.63%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
YUM icon
51
Yum! Brands
YUM
$41.2B
$2.93M 0.48%
+18,600
New +$2.68M
EXPE icon
52
Expedia Group
EXPE
$33.1B
$2.89M 0.48%
+17,200
New +$3.13M
SIG icon
53
Signet Jewelers
SIG
$3.75B
$2.81M 0.47%
+48,408
New +$2.77M
TJX icon
54
TJX Companies
TJX
$173B
$2.78M 0.46%
+22,800
New +$2.77M
ENPH icon
55
Enphase Energy
ENPH
$4.83B
$2.75M 0.46%
44,388
+30,700
+224% +$1.94M
UBER icon
56
Uber
UBER
$138B
$2.73M 0.45%
+37,408
New +$2.7M
MELI icon
57
Mercado Libre
MELI
$93.2B
$2.7M 0.45%
+1,383
New +$2.75M
FSLR icon
58
First Solar
FSLR
$21.7B
$2.61M 0.43%
20,678
+13,700
+196% +$2.14M
RACE icon
59
Ferrari
RACE
$66.3B
$2.55M 0.42%
+5,966
New +$2.68M
DOCS icon
60
Doximity
DOCS
$3.8B
$2.54M 0.42%
43,800
+3,500
+9% +$221K
MMM icon
61
3M
MMM
$91.2B
$2.51M 0.42%
17,099
-19,400
-53% -$2.85M
AXON
62
Axon Enterprise
AXON
$42B
$2.48M 0.41%
4,712
-3,904
-45% -$2.28M
OXY icon
63
Occidental Petroleum
OXY
$55.6B
$2.47M 0.41%
+50,100
New +$2.45M
EIX icon
64
Edison International
EIX
$30.4B
$2.47M 0.41%
+41,900
New +$2.41M
KNX icon
65
Knight Transportation
KNX
$11.3B
$2.44M 0.4%
56,031
+36,600
+188% +$1.89M
BMRN icon
66
BioMarin Pharmaceuticals
BMRN
$11.8B
$2.41M 0.4%
34,100
+23,000
+207% +$1.55M
TAP icon
67
Molson Coors Class B
TAP
$7.73B
$2.39M 0.4%
+39,300
New +$2.26M
APA icon
68
APA Corp
APA
$12.6B
$2.39M 0.39%
+113,500
New +$2.49M
APD icon
69
Air Products & Chemicals
APD
$65.2B
$2.36M 0.39%
+8,000
New +$2.47M
GS icon
70
Goldman Sachs
GS
$308B
$2.33M 0.39%
4,272
+3,352
+364% +$2.02M
SHAK icon
71
Shake Shack
SHAK
$2.46B
$2.28M 0.38%
+25,900
New +$2.81M
DD icon
72
DuPont de Nemours
DD
$18.6B
$2.25M 0.37%
23,966
-2,310
-9% -$225K
MGM icon
73
MGM Resorts International
MGM
$11.8B
$2.24M 0.37%
+75,600
New +$2.54M
MNDY icon
74
monday.com
MNDY
$3.49B
$2.21M 0.37%
+9,095
New +$2.4M
BURL icon
75
Burlington
BURL
$22.2B
$2.19M 0.36%
+9,200
New +$2.38M
1 2
3
4 5

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Bayesian Capital Management's Q1 2025 Portfolio in Review

As of Q1 2025, Bayesian Capital Management held 1,036 positions worth $604M, down 26% from $817M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 14% of the portfolio.

Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $186M in Q1 2025, closing 470 positions and reducing 105 holdings. Its most notable exit was Amgen, an estimated $11.2M position sold in full.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 25% of assets, up from 23% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.

Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Advanced Micro Devices worth $9.96M.

  • Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q1 2025 buy was Advanced Micro Devices: 96,900 shares worth $9.96M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management added most to Cisco in Q1 2025, an estimated $12.4M increase.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q1 2025 reduction was Nike, cutting an estimated $15.4M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Amgen in Q1 2025, selling an estimated $11.2M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 14% of its $604M portfolio in Q1 2025.
  • Bayesian Capital Management opened 389 new positions and closed 470 in Q1 2025.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 26% quarter-over-quarter to $604M.

Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q1 2025, filed 15 May 2025.