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BCM

Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings

AUM $81.9M
1-Year Est. Return 26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
+3.37%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$316M
AUM Growth
-$29.1M
Cap. Flow
-$30M
Cap. Flow %
-9.48%
Top 10 Hldgs %
19.77%
Holding
567
New
205
Increased
77
Reduced
78
Closed
207

Top Buys

Rank Stock Value
1
ORCL icon
Oracle
ORCL
+$8.43M
2
FDX icon
FedEx
FDX
+$7.9M
3
IBM icon
IBM
IBM
+$6.03M
4
IWM icon
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
IWM
+$5.99M
5
T icon
AT&T
T
+$5.41M

Top Sells

Rank Stock Value
1
SPY icon
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
+$17.5M
2
QQQ icon
Invesco QQQ Trust
QQQ
+$13.1M
3
MU icon
Micron Technology
MU
+$9.92M
4
AMD icon
Advanced Micro Devices
AMD
+$6.09M
5
BABA icon
Alibaba
BABA
+$5.92M

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Technology 28.27%
2 Consumer Discretionary 18.11%
3 Communication Services 14.57%
4 Industrials 11.75%
5 Healthcare 6.58%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
DDOG icon
51
Datadog
DDOG
$90.8B
$1.48M 0.47%
+8,300
New +$1.41M
RH icon
52
RH
RH
$3.41B
$1.47M 0.46%
2,734
+934
+52% +$575K
OPEN icon
53
Opendoor
OPEN
$3.67B
$1.44M 0.45%
+101,680
New +$1.88M
PTON icon
54
Peloton Interactive
PTON
$2.68B
$1.41M 0.45%
39,500
+23,100
+141% +$1.41M
BOX icon
55
Box
BOX
$4.24B
$1.4M 0.44%
+53,500
New +$1.38M
AVGO icon
56
Broadcom
AVGO
$1.81T
$1.39M 0.44%
+20,860
New +$1.17M
SOFI icon
57
SoFi Technologies
SOFI
$21.7B
$1.38M 0.44%
+87,500
New +$1.61M
KMX icon
58
CarMax
KMX
$8.36B
$1.37M 0.43%
+10,500
New +$1.47M
TRU icon
59
TransUnion
TRU
$15B
$1.36M 0.43%
11,509
+8,609
+297% +$987K
EXPE icon
60
Expedia Group
EXPE
$33.6B
$1.34M 0.42%
+7,425
New +$1.26M
BBWI icon
61
Bath & Body Works
BBWI
$4.13B
$1.3M 0.41%
+18,700
New +$1.33M
ALGN icon
62
Align Technology
ALGN
$12.1B
$1.3M 0.41%
1,980
-1,320
-40% -$849K
MDB icon
63
MongoDB
MDB
$25.1B
$1.26M 0.4%
2,381
+1,272
+115% +$651K
SKX
64
DELISTED
Skechers
SKX
$1.25M 0.4%
+28,800
New +$1.29M
HPQ icon
65
HP
HPQ
$24.1B
$1.24M 0.39%
+33,034
New +$1.08M
FUBO icon
66
FuboTV Inc
FUBO
$259M
$1.23M 0.39%
6,625
+4,525
+215% +$1.27M
ZTO icon
67
ZTO Express
ZTO
$18.2B
$1.23M 0.39%
+43,600
New +$1.3M
EXE
68
Expand Energy Corp
EXE
$22B
$1.21M 0.38%
18,800
+10,300
+121% +$653K
IPG
69
DELISTED
Interpublic Group of Companies
IPG
$1.19M 0.38%
+31,843
New +$1.16M
BRO icon
70
Brown & Brown
BRO
$23.6B
$1.17M 0.37%
16,700
+12,600
+307% +$813K
RNG icon
71
RingCentral
RNG
$4.62B
$1.17M 0.37%
+6,243
New +$1.39M
NCLH icon
72
Norwegian Cruise Line
NCLH
$8.93B
$1.17M 0.37%
+56,350
New +$1.35M
BLDR icon
73
Builders FirstSource
BLDR
$7.82B
$1.17M 0.37%
13,600
+3,727
+38% +$252K
KO icon
74
Coca-Cola
KO
$361B
$1.14M 0.36%
19,200
-17,600
-48% -$980K
XM
75
DELISTED
Qualtrics International Inc. Class A Common Stock
XM
$1.11M 0.35%
+31,417
New +$1.22M
1 2
3
4 5

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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2021 Portfolio in Review

As of Q4 2021, Bayesian Capital Management held 567 positions worth $316M, down 8.4% from $345M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 20% of the portfolio.

Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $30M in Q4 2021, closing 207 positions and reducing 78 holdings. Its most notable exit was State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust, an estimated $17.5M position sold in full.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 28% of assets, up from 21% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Communication Services.

Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Oracle worth $7.83M.

  • Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2021 buy was Oracle: 89,800 shares worth $7.83M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management added most to FedEx in Q4 2021, an estimated $7.9M increase.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2021 reduction was Micron Technology, cutting an estimated $9.92M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management fully exited State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust in Q4 2021, selling an estimated $17.5M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 20% of its $316M portfolio in Q4 2021.
  • Bayesian Capital Management opened 205 new positions and closed 207 in Q4 2021.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 8.4% quarter-over-quarter to $316M.

Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2021, filed 14 Feb 2022.