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BCM

Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings

AUM $81.9M
1-Year Est. Return 26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
-13.55%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$488M
AUM Growth
-$122M
Cap. Flow
-$46M
Cap. Flow %
-9.42%
Top 10 Hldgs %
12.26%
Holding
885
New
278
Increased
177
Reduced
136
Closed
293

Top Buys

Rank Stock Value
1
NKE icon
Nike
NKE
+$7.96M
2
MSFT icon
Microsoft
MSFT
+$6.24M
3
EL icon
Estee Lauder
EL
+$5.96M
4
CSCO icon
Cisco
CSCO
+$5.04M
5
WBA
Walgreens Boots Alliance
WBA
+$4.16M

Top Sells

Rank Stock Value
1
LULU icon
lululemon athletica
LULU
+$6.86M
2
LOW icon
Lowe's Companies
LOW
+$6.56M
3
TIF
Tiffany & Co.
TIF
+$6.19M
4
FDC
First Data Corporation
FDC
+$5.8M
5
QCOM icon
Qualcomm
QCOM
+$5.49M

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Technology 24.54%
2 Consumer Discretionary 16.56%
3 Healthcare 14.16%
4 Industrials 11.69%
5 Consumer Staples 7.51%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
FIVE icon
51
Five Below
FIVE
$11.4B
$1.86M 0.38%
18,205
-29,900
-62% -$3.3M
ARMK icon
52
Aramark
ARMK
$15.2B
$1.82M 0.37%
87,255
+17,451
+25% +$453K
PANW icon
53
Palo Alto Networks
PANW
$261B
$1.79M 0.37%
57,000
-17,400
-23% -$542K
DBI icon
54
Designer Brands
DBI
$296M
$1.79M 0.37%
72,300
+55,709
+336% +$1.49M
CVS icon
55
CVS Health
CVS
$137B
$1.78M 0.36%
27,202
+21,471
+375% +$1.6M
PLNT icon
56
Planet Fitness
PLNT
$4.29B
$1.78M 0.36%
+33,233
New +$1.7M
MS icon
57
Morgan Stanley
MS
$333B
$1.78M 0.36%
44,882
+9,529
+27% +$416K
JBL icon
58
Jabil
JBL
$32B
$1.69M 0.35%
+68,140
New +$1.66M
RTX icon
59
RTX Corp
RTX
$296B
$1.68M 0.34%
25,106
+21,718
+641% +$1.7M
QGEN icon
60
Qiagen
QGEN
$8.51B
$1.63M 0.33%
44,650
+14,348
+47% +$533K
P
61
DELISTED
Pandora Media Inc
P
$1.62M 0.33%
200,800
-124,100
-38% -$1.07M
SPLK
62
DELISTED
Splunk Inc
SPLK
$1.62M 0.33%
15,476
+3,259
+27% +$330K
TSS
63
DELISTED
Total System Services, Inc.
TSS
$1.62M 0.33%
+19,967
New +$1.77M
VAR
64
DELISTED
Varian Medical Systems, Inc.
VAR
$1.62M 0.33%
+14,262
New +$1.63M
ZEN
65
DELISTED
ZENDESK INC
ZEN
$1.6M 0.33%
27,471
-503
-2% -$29K
CAG icon
66
Conagra Brands
CAG
$7.26B
$1.6M 0.33%
74,802
-15,198
-17% -$491K
ORCL icon
67
Oracle
ORCL
$347B
$1.59M 0.33%
+35,272
New +$1.69M
NCLH icon
68
Norwegian Cruise Line
NCLH
$8.93B
$1.57M 0.32%
37,104
+17,300
+87% +$838K
GOOS
69
Canada Goose Holdings
GOOS
$881M
$1.55M 0.32%
35,548
+3,900
+12% +$217K
GRA
70
DELISTED
W.R. Grace & Co.
GRA
$1.55M 0.32%
23,916
+18,116
+312% +$1.17M
FIVN icon
71
FIVE9
FIVN
$1.98B
$1.54M 0.32%
35,314
+13,200
+60% +$531K
UA icon
72
Under Armour Class C
UA
$2.95B
$1.53M 0.31%
+94,765
New +$1.79M
ALRM icon
73
Alarm.com
ALRM
$2.69B
$1.53M 0.31%
29,483
+15,500
+111% +$749K
DRI icon
74
Darden Restaurants
DRI
$23.3B
$1.53M 0.31%
15,300
+600
+4% +$64.2K
LRCX icon
75
Lam Research
LRCX
$356B
$1.52M 0.31%
111,800
+46,800
+72% +$671K
1 2
3
4 5

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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2018 Portfolio in Review

As of Q4 2018, Bayesian Capital Management held 885 positions worth $488M, down 20% from $611M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 12% of the portfolio.

Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $46M in Q4 2018, closing 293 positions and reducing 136 holdings. Its most notable exit was Lowe's Companies, an estimated $6.56M position sold in full.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 25% of assets, up from 19% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.

Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Nike worth $7.89M.

  • Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2018 buy was Nike: 106,400 shares worth $7.89M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management added most to Microsoft in Q4 2018, an estimated $6.24M increase.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2018 reduction was lululemon athletica, cutting an estimated $6.86M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Lowe's Companies in Q4 2018, selling an estimated $6.56M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 12% of its $488M portfolio in Q4 2018.
  • Bayesian Capital Management opened 278 new positions and closed 293 in Q4 2018.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 20% quarter-over-quarter to $488M.

Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2018, filed 13 Feb 2019.