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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
-13.55%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$488M
AUM Growth
-$122M
(-20%)
Cap. Flow
-$46M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-9.42%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
12.26%
Holding
885
New
278
Increased
177
Reduced
136
Closed
293
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$7.96M |
| 2 |
Microsoft
MSFT
|
+$6.24M |
| 3 |
Estee Lauder
EL
|
+$5.96M |
| 4 |
Cisco
CSCO
|
+$5.04M |
| 5 |
WBA
Walgreens Boots Alliance
WBA
|
+$4.16M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
lululemon athletica
LULU
|
+$6.86M |
| 2 |
Lowe's Companies
LOW
|
+$6.56M |
| 3 |
TIF
Tiffany & Co.
TIF
|
+$6.19M |
| 4 |
FDC
First Data Corporation
FDC
|
+$5.8M |
| 5 |
Qualcomm
QCOM
|
+$5.49M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 24.54% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 16.56% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 14.16% |
| 4 | Industrials | 11.69% |
| 5 | Consumer Staples | 7.51% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
601
Advanced Micro Devices
AMD
$741B
| – | – |
-26,200
| Closed | -$809K |
|
|
AMWD
602
DELISTED
American Woodmark
AMWD
| – | – |
-12,414
| Closed | -$974K |
|
603
AngioDynamics
ANGO
$592M
| – | – |
-13,455
| Closed | -$293K |
|
604
A.O. Smith
AOS
$8.82B
| – | – |
-9,600
| Closed | -$512K |
|
605
AppFolio
APPF
$6.32B
| – | – |
-3,636
| Closed | -$285K |
|
606
ATI
ATI
$25.5B
| – | – |
-22,700
| Closed | -$671K |
|
|
DCH
607
Dauch Corp
DCH
$1.33B
| – | – |
-24,200
| Closed | -$422K |
|
|
AXON
608
Axon Enterprise
AXON
$44.1B
| – | – |
-9,100
| Closed | -$623K |
|
609
American Express
AXP
$227B
| – | – |
-7,541
| Closed | -$803K |
|
610
Axalta
AXTA
$7.59B
| – | – |
-11,800
| Closed | -$344K |
|
611
Alibaba
BABA
$276B
| – | – |
-8,400
| Closed | -$1.38M |
|
612
Bank of America
BAC
$439B
| – | – |
-15,000
| Closed | -$442K |
|
613
Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria
BBVA
$147B
| – | – |
-37,297
| Closed | -$235K |
|
614
Boise Cascade
BCC
$2.83B
| – | – |
-6,538
| Closed | -$241K |
|
|
BDN
615
Brandywine Realty Trust
BDN
$521M
| – | – |
-14,800
| Closed | -$233K |
|
|
BNY
616
Bank of New York Mellon
BNY
$106B
| – | – |
-4,368
| Closed | -$223K |
|
617
Santander
BSBR
$41.2B
| – | – |
-13,676
| Closed | -$115K |
|
618
British American Tobacco
BTI
$134B
| – | – |
-35,070
| Closed | -$1.64M |
|
619
AB InBev
BUD
$161B
| – | – |
-3,600
| Closed | -$315K |
|
620
Burlington
BURL
$23.3B
| – | – |
-7,900
| Closed | -$1.29M |
|
621
BorgWarner
BWA
$13B
| – | – |
-9,656
| Closed | -$364K |
|
622
Caterpillar
CAT
$387B
| – | – |
-8,500
| Closed | -$1.3M |
|
623
Cathay General Bancorp
CATY
$4.25B
| – | – |
-7,513
| Closed | -$311K |
|
624
Chubb
CB
$141B
| – | – |
-7,300
| Closed | -$976K |
|
625
Cboe Global Markets
CBOE
$31.1B
| – | – |
-7,089
| Closed | -$680K |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2018 Portfolio in Review
As of Q4 2018, Bayesian Capital Management held 885 positions worth $488M, down 20% from $611M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 12% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $46M in Q4 2018, closing 293 positions and reducing 136 holdings. Its most notable exit was Lowe's Companies, an estimated $6.56M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 25% of assets, up from 19% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Nike worth $7.89M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2018 buy was Nike: 106,400 shares worth $7.89M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Microsoft in Q4 2018, an estimated $6.24M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2018 reduction was lululemon athletica, cutting an estimated $6.86M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Lowe's Companies in Q4 2018, selling an estimated $6.56M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 12% of its $488M portfolio in Q4 2018.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 278 new positions and closed 293 in Q4 2018.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 20% quarter-over-quarter to $488M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2018, filed 13 Feb 2019.