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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
-0.68%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$604M
AUM Growth
-$213M
(-26%)
Cap. Flow
-$186M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-30.79%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
13.62%
Holding
1,036
New
389
Increased
70
Reduced
105
Closed
470
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Cisco
CSCO
|
+$12.4M |
| 2 |
Advanced Micro Devices
AMD
|
+$10.8M |
| 3 |
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
|
+$9.35M |
| 4 |
Workday
WDAY
|
+$7.63M |
| 5 |
Coca-Cola
KO
|
+$7.56M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$15.4M |
| 2 |
Amgen
AMGN
|
+$11.2M |
| 3 |
Salesforce
CRM
|
+$9.62M |
| 4 |
Danaher
DHR
|
+$9.18M |
| 5 |
Union Pacific
UNP
|
+$8.98M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 25.33% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 16.35% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 12.02% |
| 4 | Industrials | 10.05% |
| 5 | Consumer Staples | 8.63% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
551
Green Plains
GPRE
$1.15B
| $79.5K | 0.01% |
+16,400
| New | +$117K |
|
552
SkyWater Technology
SKYT
$1.5B
| $76.5K | 0.01% |
+10,791
| New | +$106K |
|
|
IAUX
553
i-80 Gold Corp
IAUX
$1.09B
| $75.5K | 0.01% |
+129,702
| New | +$83.9K |
|
554
Alight
ALIT
$534M
| $75.2K | 0.01% |
634
-5,325
| -89% | -$700K |
|
555
Designer Brands
DBI
$315M
| $75.2K | 0.01% |
20,600
-7,700
| -27% | -$36.2K |
|
556
Energy Fuels
UUUU
$2.68B
| $68.3K | 0.01% |
+18,300
| New | +$87.7K |
|
|
BORR
557
Borr Drilling
BORR
$1.19B
| $65.3K | 0.01% |
+29,800
| New | +$89.7K |
|
|
YMAB
558
DELISTED
Y-mAbs Therapeutics
YMAB
| $63.7K | 0.01% |
+14,382
| New | +$83.5K |
|
|
AIOT
559
PowerFleet Inc
AIOT
$537M
| $60.9K | 0.01% |
11,100
-16,000
| -59% | -$103K |
|
560
RPC Inc
RES
$1.13B
| $56.6K | 0.01% |
+10,300
| New | +$61.3K |
|
561
Backblaze
BLZE
$683M
| $54.1K | 0.01% |
+11,200
| New | +$69K |
|
562
Custom Truck One Source
CTOS
$2.21B
| $54K | 0.01% |
+12,800
| New | +$61.8K |
|
563
NIO
NIO
$11.9B
| $53K | 0.01% |
+13,900
| New | +$61.2K |
|
564
E.W. Scripps
SSP
$270M
| $45K | 0.01% |
+15,200
| New | +$33.3K |
|
|
CMPS
565
Compass Pathways
CMPS
$1.47B
| $43.2K | 0.01% |
+15,100
| New | +$58K |
|
|
SRTA
566
Strata Critical Medical Inc
SRTA
$421M
| $27.8K | ﹤0.01% |
+10,200
| New | +$36.6K |
|
567
Alcoa
AA
$11.3B
| – | – |
-48,200
| Closed | -$1.82M |
|
568
American Airlines Group
AAL
$9.82B
| – | – |
-86,600
| Closed | -$1.51M |
|
569
Asbury Automotive
ABG
$4.62B
| – | – |
-1,618
| Closed | -$393K |
|
570
ProFrac Holding
ACDC
$653M
| – | – |
-17,564
| Closed | -$136K |
|
571
Archer Aviation
ACHR
$3.42B
| – | – |
-128,100
| Closed | -$1.25M |
|
572
Albertsons Companies
ACI
$5.91B
| – | – |
-11,800
| Closed | -$232K |
|
573
Accenture
ACN
$106B
| – | – |
-8,000
| Closed | -$2.81M |
|
574
ACV Auctions
ACVA
$1.41B
| – | – |
-23,300
| Closed | -$503K |
|
575
Adobe
ADBE
$105B
| – | – |
-4,639
| Closed | -$2.06M |
|
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QM
Bayesian Capital Management's Q1 2025 Portfolio in Review
As of Q1 2025, Bayesian Capital Management held 1,036 positions worth $604M, down 26% from $817M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 14% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $186M in Q1 2025, closing 470 positions and reducing 105 holdings. Its most notable exit was Amgen, an estimated $11.2M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 25% of assets, up from 23% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Advanced Micro Devices worth $9.96M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q1 2025 buy was Advanced Micro Devices: 96,900 shares worth $9.96M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Cisco in Q1 2025, an estimated $12.4M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q1 2025 reduction was Nike, cutting an estimated $15.4M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Amgen in Q1 2025, selling an estimated $11.2M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 14% of its $604M portfolio in Q1 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 389 new positions and closed 470 in Q1 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 26% quarter-over-quarter to $604M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q1 2025, filed 15 May 2025.