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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$156M
1-Year Est. Return
14.89%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+18.4%
1 Year Est. Return
+14.89%
3 Year Est. Return
+106.87%
5 Year Est. Return
+133.82%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.09%
AUM
$633M
AUM Growth
+$28.6M
(+4.7%)
Cap. Flow
-$33.7M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-5.32%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
16.42%
Holding
930
New
364
Increased
66
Reduced
78
Closed
421
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Apple
AAPL
|
+$10.6M |
| 2 |
Wells Fargo
WFC
|
+$9.91M |
| 3 |
PepsiCo
PEP
|
+$7.84M |
| 4 |
MongoDB
MDB
|
+$7.49M |
| 5 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$7.36M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Cisco
CSCO
|
+$13.6M |
| 2 |
Advanced Micro Devices
AMD
|
+$9.96M |
| 3 |
Coca-Cola
KO
|
+$8.1M |
| 4 |
SLB Ltd
SLB
|
+$7.99M |
| 5 |
Workday
WDAY
|
+$6.98M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 25.15% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 14.88% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 13.87% |
| 4 | Industrials | 9.92% |
| 5 | Financials | 8.17% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ADAM
501
Adamas Trust
ADAM
$813M
| $67.7K | 0.01% |
+10,099
| New | +$64.1K |
|
|
INN
502
Summit Hotel Properties
INN
$620M
| $65K | 0.01% |
+12,761
| New | +$56.1K |
|
503
Alight
ALIT
$320M
| $64.4K | 0.01% |
569
-65
| -10% | -$6.96K |
|
504
Altimmune
ALT
$632M
| $55.3K | 0.01% |
+14,300
| New | +$77.4K |
|
505
Definitive Healthcare
DH
$104M
| $55K | 0.01% |
+14,100
| New | +$44.4K |
|
506
Banco Bradesco
BBD
$36.8B
| $54.1K | 0.01% |
+17,500
| New | +$46K |
|
507
Lifestance Health
LFST
$4.93B
| $51.7K | 0.01% |
+10,000
| New | +$59.9K |
|
|
DCH
508
Dauch Corp
DCH
$1.44B
| $49.4K | 0.01% |
12,100
-38,900
| -76% | -$157K |
|
509
SES AI
SES
$217M
| $16.8K | ﹤0.01% |
+18,900
| New | +$15.9K |
|
510
ABM Industries
ABM
$2.99B
| – | – |
-5,569
| Closed | -$264K |
|
|
ACB
511
Aurora Cannabis
ACB
$244M
| – | – |
-41,501
| Closed | -$182K |
|
512
Arch Capital
ACGL
$33.3B
| – | – |
-5,300
| Closed | -$510K |
|
513
ACI Worldwide
ACIW
$5.21B
| – | – |
-9,600
| Closed | -$525K |
|
514
ACM Research
ACMR
$4.55B
| – | – |
-28,327
| Closed | -$661K |
|
515
Adeia
ADEA
$2.78B
| – | – |
-15,658
| Closed | -$207K |
|
516
Ameren
AEE
$28.7B
| – | – |
-3,000
| Closed | -$301K |
|
517
American Eagle Outfitters
AEO
$2.55B
| – | – |
-59,398
| Closed | -$690K |
|
518
AerCap
AER
$22.5B
| – | – |
-2,147
| Closed | -$219K |
|
519
Aflac
AFL
$59B
| – | – |
-3,700
| Closed | -$411K |
|
520
Affirm
AFRM
$24.4B
| – | – |
-35,418
| Closed | -$1.6M |
|
521
Alamos Gold
AGI
$14.8B
| – | – |
-9,100
| Closed | -$243K |
|
522
Adecoagro
AGRO
$1.68B
| – | – |
-11,100
| Closed | -$124K |
|
523
Argan
AGX
$5.58B
| – | – |
-3,200
| Closed | -$420K |
|
524
Albemarle
ALB
$13.2B
| – | – |
-17,900
| Closed | -$1.29M |
|
|
ALEX
525
DELISTED
Alexander & Baldwin
ALEX
| – | – |
-11,385
| Closed | -$196K |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q2 2025 Portfolio in Review
As of Q2 2025, Bayesian Capital Management held 930 positions worth $633M, up 4.7% from $604M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 16% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $33.7M in Q2 2025, closing 421 positions and reducing 78 holdings. Its most notable exit was Cisco, an estimated $13.6M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 25% of assets, down from 25% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Wells Fargo worth $11M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q2 2025 buy was Wells Fargo: 137,400 shares worth $11M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Apple in Q2 2025, an estimated $10.6M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q2 2025 reduction was Philip Morris, cutting an estimated $5.55M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Cisco in Q2 2025, selling an estimated $13.6M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 16% of its $633M portfolio in Q2 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 364 new positions and closed 421 in Q2 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value rose 4.7% quarter-over-quarter to $633M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q2 2025, filed 14 Aug 2025.