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BCM

Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings

AUM $81.9M
1-Year Est. Return 26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
+3.37%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$316M
AUM Growth
-$29.1M
Cap. Flow
-$30M
Cap. Flow %
-9.48%
Top 10 Hldgs %
19.77%
Holding
567
New
205
Increased
77
Reduced
78
Closed
207

Top Buys

Rank Stock Value
1
ORCL icon
Oracle
ORCL
+$8.43M
2
FDX icon
FedEx
FDX
+$7.9M
3
IBM icon
IBM
IBM
+$6.03M
4
IWM icon
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
IWM
+$5.99M
5
T icon
AT&T
T
+$5.41M

Top Sells

Rank Stock Value
1
SPY icon
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
+$17.5M
2
QQQ icon
Invesco QQQ Trust
QQQ
+$13.1M
3
MU icon
Micron Technology
MU
+$9.92M
4
AMD icon
Advanced Micro Devices
AMD
+$6.09M
5
BABA icon
Alibaba
BABA
+$5.92M

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Technology 28.27%
2 Consumer Discretionary 18.11%
3 Communication Services 14.57%
4 Industrials 11.75%
5 Healthcare 6.58%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
SMH icon
501
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
SMH
$66.1B
– –
-4,892
Closed -$627K
SOXX icon
502
iShares Semiconductor ETF
SOXX
$42.7B
– –
-8,700
Closed -$1.29M
SPCE icon
503
Virgin Galactic
SPCE
$325M
– –
-4,745
Closed -$2.4M
SPLV icon
504
Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF
SPLV
$7.21B
– –
-10,862
Closed -$661K
SPY icon
505
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
$781B
– –
-40,800
Closed -$17.5M
SPYD icon
506
State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 High Dividend ETF
SPYD
$7.68B
– –
-8,660
Closed -$339K
SRE icon
507
Sempra
SRE
$59.7B
– –
-3,350
Closed -$212K
STNE icon
508
StoneCo
STNE
$2.65B
– –
-23,253
Closed -$807K
SWK icon
509
Stanley Black & Decker
SWK
$14.6B
– –
-5,998
Closed -$1.05M
SWKS icon
510
Skyworks Solutions
SWKS
$9.54B
– –
-5,100
Closed -$840K
TD icon
511
Toronto Dominion Bank
TD
$198B
– –
-4,200
Closed -$278K
TGT icon
512
Target
TGT
$63.7B
– –
-8,194
Closed -$1.88M
TM icon
513
Toyota
TM
$216B
– –
-1,263
Closed -$224K
TNDM icon
514
Tandem Diabetes Care
TNDM
$1.18B
– –
-4,900
Closed -$585K
TOST icon
515
Toast
TOST
$17.9B
– –
-6,100
Closed -$305K
TRV icon
516
Travelers Companies
TRV
$81.4B
– –
-1,998
Closed -$304K
TS icon
517
Tenaris
TS
$28.5B
– –
-12,300
Closed -$260K
TSM icon
518
TSMC
TSM
$2.07T
– –
-7,100
Closed -$793K
TTE icon
519
TotalEnergies
TTE
$187B
– –
-11,075
Closed -$531K
TTMI icon
520
TTM Technologies
TTMI
$12.8B
– –
-10,000
Closed -$126K
UNFI icon
521
United Natural Foods
UNFI
$2.97B
– –
-9,100
Closed -$441K
UNH icon
522
UnitedHealth
UNH
$379B
– –
-1,654
Closed -$646K
UPST icon
523
Upstart Holdings
UPST
$2.63B
– –
-831
Closed -$263K
UPWK icon
524
Upwork
UPWK
$1.14B
– –
-6,000
Closed -$270K
URBN icon
525
Urban Outfitters
URBN
$6.22B
– –
-18,600
Closed -$552K
19 20
21
22 23

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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2021 Portfolio in Review

As of Q4 2021, Bayesian Capital Management held 567 positions worth $316M, down 8.4% from $345M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 20% of the portfolio.

Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $30M in Q4 2021, closing 207 positions and reducing 78 holdings. Its most notable exit was State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust, an estimated $17.5M position sold in full.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 28% of assets, up from 21% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Communication Services.

Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Oracle worth $7.83M.

  • Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2021 buy was Oracle: 89,800 shares worth $7.83M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management added most to FedEx in Q4 2021, an estimated $7.9M increase.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2021 reduction was Micron Technology, cutting an estimated $9.92M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management fully exited State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust in Q4 2021, selling an estimated $17.5M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 20% of its $316M portfolio in Q4 2021.
  • Bayesian Capital Management opened 205 new positions and closed 207 in Q4 2021.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 8.4% quarter-over-quarter to $316M.

Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2021, filed 14 Feb 2022.