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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
-0.68%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$604M
AUM Growth
-$213M
(-26%)
Cap. Flow
-$186M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-30.79%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
13.62%
Holding
1,036
New
389
Increased
70
Reduced
105
Closed
470
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Cisco
CSCO
|
+$12.4M |
| 2 |
Advanced Micro Devices
AMD
|
+$10.8M |
| 3 |
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
|
+$9.35M |
| 4 |
Workday
WDAY
|
+$7.63M |
| 5 |
Coca-Cola
KO
|
+$7.56M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$15.4M |
| 2 |
Amgen
AMGN
|
+$11.2M |
| 3 |
Salesforce
CRM
|
+$9.62M |
| 4 |
Danaher
DHR
|
+$9.18M |
| 5 |
Union Pacific
UNP
|
+$8.98M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 25.33% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 16.35% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 12.02% |
| 4 | Industrials | 10.05% |
| 5 | Consumer Staples | 8.63% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
476
Stellantis
STLA
$21.7B
| $215K | 0.04% |
+19,200
| New | +$247K |
|
|
WBA
477
DELISTED
Walgreens Boots Alliance
WBA
| $214K | 0.04% |
+19,200
| New | +$208K |
|
478
SPS Commerce
SPSC
$2.64B
| $214K | 0.04% |
1,609
-1,100
| -41% | -$173K |
|
479
Brunswick
BC
$5.13B
| $210K | 0.03% |
+3,900
| New | +$244K |
|
|
PENG
480
Penguin Solutions Inc
PENG
$2.7B
| $208K | 0.03% |
+12,000
| New | +$236K |
|
|
DCH
481
Dauch Corp
DCH
$1.34B
| $208K | 0.03% |
+51,000
| New | +$262K |
|
482
Frontier Group Holdings
ULCC
$1.55B
| $207K | 0.03% |
+47,801
| New | +$356K |
|
483
Archrock
AROC
$6.27B
| $207K | 0.03% |
7,900
-11,400
| -59% | -$308K |
|
|
SF
484
Stifel
SF
$12.6B
| $207K | 0.03% |
+3,299
| New | +$233K |
|
485
Adeia
ADEA
$2.94B
| $207K | 0.03% |
+15,658
| New | +$218K |
|
486
HNI Corp
HNI
$3.24B
| $207K | 0.03% |
+4,661
| New | +$220K |
|
487
Ciena
CIEN
$53.4B
| $206K | 0.03% |
3,405
-19,500
| -85% | -$1.54M |
|
488
StoneCo
STNE
$2.77B
| $205K | 0.03% |
+19,600
| New | +$185K |
|
489
MillerKnoll
MLKN
$1.53B
| $205K | 0.03% |
+10,703
| New | +$228K |
|
|
SEI
490
Solaris Energy Infrastructure
SEI
$3.15B
| $205K | 0.03% |
+9,400
| New | +$261K |
|
491
Yelp
YELP
$1.45B
| $204K | 0.03% |
+5,520
| New | +$208K |
|
492
Benchmark Electronics
BHE
$2.87B
| $203K | 0.03% |
5,350
-200
| -4% | -$8.44K |
|
|
GRMN
493
Garmin
GRMN
$56.7B
| $202K | 0.03% |
932
-14,220
| -94% | -$3.07M |
|
494
PROG Holdings
PRG
$1.75B
| $201K | 0.03% |
+7,550
| New | +$267K |
|
495
RingCentral
RNG
$4.66B
| $201K | 0.03% |
8,100
-4
| -0% | -$125 |
|
496
Freshworks
FRSH
$3.14B
| $200K | 0.03% |
14,207
-68,100
| -83% | -$1.14M |
|
497
Macerich
MAC
$7.33B
| $198K | 0.03% |
+11,530
| New | +$221K |
|
498
Iovance Biotherapeutics
IOVA
$1.82B
| $198K | 0.03% |
+59,321
| New | +$306K |
|
|
ALEX
499
DELISTED
Alexander & Baldwin
ALEX
| $196K | 0.03% |
+11,385
| New | +$201K |
|
500
LegalZoom.com
LZ
$1.35B
| $191K | 0.03% |
+22,126
| New | +$198K |
|
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QM
Bayesian Capital Management's Q1 2025 Portfolio in Review
As of Q1 2025, Bayesian Capital Management held 1,036 positions worth $604M, down 26% from $817M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 14% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $186M in Q1 2025, closing 470 positions and reducing 105 holdings. Its most notable exit was Amgen, an estimated $11.2M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 25% of assets, up from 23% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Advanced Micro Devices worth $9.96M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q1 2025 buy was Advanced Micro Devices: 96,900 shares worth $9.96M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Cisco in Q1 2025, an estimated $12.4M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q1 2025 reduction was Nike, cutting an estimated $15.4M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Amgen in Q1 2025, selling an estimated $11.2M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 14% of its $604M portfolio in Q1 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 389 new positions and closed 470 in Q1 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 26% quarter-over-quarter to $604M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q1 2025, filed 15 May 2025.