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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+3.37%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$316M
AUM Growth
-$29.1M
(-8.4%)
Cap. Flow
-$30M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-9.48%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
19.77%
Holding
567
New
205
Increased
77
Reduced
78
Closed
207
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Oracle
ORCL
|
+$8.43M |
| 2 |
FedEx
FDX
|
+$7.9M |
| 3 |
IBM
IBM
|
+$6.03M |
| 4 |
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
IWM
|
+$5.99M |
| 5 |
AT&T
T
|
+$5.41M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
|
+$17.5M |
| 2 |
Invesco QQQ Trust
QQQ
|
+$13.1M |
| 3 |
Micron Technology
MU
|
+$9.92M |
| 4 |
Advanced Micro Devices
AMD
|
+$6.09M |
| 5 |
Alibaba
BABA
|
+$5.92M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 28.27% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 18.11% |
| 3 | Communication Services | 14.57% |
| 4 | Industrials | 11.75% |
| 5 | Healthcare | 6.58% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
476
Natera
NTRA
$36.4B
| – | – |
-3,201
| Closed | -$357K |
|
477
Novavax
NVAX
$1.21B
| – | – |
-4,846
| Closed | -$1M |
|
|
NVO
478
Novo Nordisk
NVO
$228B
| – | – |
-6,854
| Closed | -$329K |
|
479
NXP Semiconductors
NXPI
$60.8B
| – | – |
-7,600
| Closed | -$1.49M |
|
480
Realty Income
O
$61.1B
| – | – |
-41,074
| Closed | -$2.58M |
|
481
Ollie's Bargain Outlet
OLLI
$4.31B
| – | – |
-13,599
| Closed | -$820K |
|
|
ACH
482
Accendra Health
ACH
$254M
| – | – |
-7,157
| Closed | -$224K |
|
483
Paychex
PAYX
$43.4B
| – | – |
-5,407
| Closed | -$608K |
|
484
Petrobras
PBR
$120B
| – | – |
-92,800
| Closed | -$960K |
|
485
PG&E
PCG
$39B
| – | – |
-14,700
| Closed | -$141K |
|
486
Parker-Hannifin
PH
$120B
| – | – |
-2,016
| Closed | -$564K |
|
487
Prologis
PLD
$136B
| – | – |
-2,060
| Closed | -$258K |
|
488
Progress Software
PRGS
$1.75B
| – | – |
-8,280
| Closed | -$407K |
|
489
Perrigo
PRGO
$1.44B
| – | – |
-10,000
| Closed | -$473K |
|
490
PayPal
PYPL
$49.9B
| – | – |
-15,700
| Closed | -$4.08M |
|
|
491
Invesco QQQ Trust
QQQ
$436B
| – | – |
-36,500
| Closed | -$13.1M |
|
492
Riot Platforms
RIOT
$6.9B
| – | – |
-27,600
| Closed | -$709K |
|
493
Republic Services
RSG
$67.4B
| – | – |
-8,330
| Closed | -$1M |
|
494
Revolve Group
RVLV
$1.85B
| – | – |
-4,429
| Closed | -$274K |
|
495
Royal Bank of Canada
RY
$287B
| – | – |
-6,230
| Closed | -$620K |
|
496
Sea Limited
SE
$66.4B
| – | – |
-4,600
| Closed | -$1.47M |
|
|
SEE
497
DELISTED
Sealed Air
SEE
| – | – |
-4,500
| Closed | -$247K |
|
|
SFIX
498
Stitch Fix
SFIX
$567M
| – | – |
-14,903
| Closed | -$595K |
|
499
Sherwin-Williams
SHW
$83.5B
| – | – |
-2,900
| Closed | -$811K |
|
500
ScottsMiracle-Gro
SMG
$4.09B
| – | – |
-1,729
| Closed | -$253K |
|
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QM
Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2021 Portfolio in Review
As of Q4 2021, Bayesian Capital Management held 567 positions worth $316M, down 8.4% from $345M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 20% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $30M in Q4 2021, closing 207 positions and reducing 78 holdings. Its most notable exit was State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust, an estimated $17.5M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 28% of assets, up from 21% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Communication Services.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Oracle worth $7.83M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2021 buy was Oracle: 89,800 shares worth $7.83M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to FedEx in Q4 2021, an estimated $7.9M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2021 reduction was Micron Technology, cutting an estimated $9.92M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust in Q4 2021, selling an estimated $17.5M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 20% of its $316M portfolio in Q4 2021.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 205 new positions and closed 207 in Q4 2021.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 8.4% quarter-over-quarter to $316M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2021, filed 14 Feb 2022.