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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
-13.55%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$488M
AUM Growth
-$122M
(-20%)
Cap. Flow
-$46M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-9.42%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
12.26%
Holding
885
New
278
Increased
177
Reduced
136
Closed
293
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$7.96M |
| 2 |
Microsoft
MSFT
|
+$6.24M |
| 3 |
Estee Lauder
EL
|
+$5.96M |
| 4 |
Cisco
CSCO
|
+$5.04M |
| 5 |
WBA
Walgreens Boots Alliance
WBA
|
+$4.16M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
lululemon athletica
LULU
|
+$6.86M |
| 2 |
Lowe's Companies
LOW
|
+$6.56M |
| 3 |
TIF
Tiffany & Co.
TIF
|
+$6.19M |
| 4 |
FDC
First Data Corporation
FDC
|
+$5.8M |
| 5 |
Qualcomm
QCOM
|
+$5.49M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 24.54% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 16.56% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 14.16% |
| 4 | Industrials | 11.69% |
| 5 | Consumer Staples | 7.51% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
476
Encore Capital Group
ECPG
$2.03B
| $235K | 0.05% |
9,982
-7,118
| -42% | -$191K |
|
477
Ameriprise Financial
AMP
$47.6B
| $233K | 0.05% |
2,233
-1,543
| -41% | -$194K |
|
|
HTT
478
High Templar Tech Ltd
HTT
$376M
| $232K | 0.05% |
+54,000
| New | +$258K |
|
|
ADMS
479
DELISTED
Adamas Pharmaceuticals
ADMS
| $232K | 0.05% |
27,168
-700
| -3% | -$9.1K |
|
480
DNOW Inc
DNOW
$2.59B
| $230K | 0.05% |
19,800
-1,500
| -7% | -$21K |
|
481
ArcBest
ARCB
$3.31B
| $228K | 0.05% |
+6,658
| New | +$258K |
|
482
Supernus Pharmaceuticals
SUPN
$2.73B
| $228K | 0.05% |
6,877
-300
| -4% | -$12.9K |
|
|
THS
483
DELISTED
Treehouse Foods
THS
| $228K | 0.05% |
4,500
-11,300
| -72% | -$557K |
|
484
Canadian Pacific Kansas City
CP
$81.1B
| $227K | 0.05% |
+6,395
| New | +$256K |
|
485
Manitowoc
MTW
$523M
| $226K | 0.05% |
15,319
+100
| +0.7% | +$1.87K |
|
486
CNO Financial Group
CNO
$4.96B
| $225K | 0.05% |
+15,100
| New | +$275K |
|
|
GMS
487
DELISTED
GMS Inc
GMS
| $225K | 0.05% |
+15,169
| New | +$266K |
|
|
NVTA
488
DELISTED
Invitae Corporation
NVTA
| $225K | 0.05% |
20,300
+5,700
| +39% | +$73.9K |
|
|
RAD
489
DELISTED
Rite Aid Corporation
RAD
| $225K | 0.05% |
+15,890
| New | +$335K |
|
490
Huron Consulting
HURN
$1.89B
| $224K | 0.05% |
+4,367
| New | +$222K |
|
491
Unisys
UIS
$245M
| $224K | 0.05% |
19,300
-3,900
| -17% | -$61.4K |
|
492
Equity Residential
EQR
$25.2B
| $223K | 0.05% |
3,383
-2,689
| -44% | -$181K |
|
493
Malibu Boats
MBUU
$557M
| $223K | 0.05% |
6,414
-4,600
| -42% | -$202K |
|
494
Orion
OEC
$379M
| $222K | 0.05% |
8,800
-4,000
| -31% | -$104K |
|
495
Sinclair Inc
SBGI
$974M
| $221K | 0.05% |
+8,400
| New | +$245K |
|
|
SAGE
496
DELISTED
Sage Therapeutics
SAGE
| $219K | 0.04% |
+2,290
| New | +$262K |
|
|
EGRX
497
DELISTED
Eagle Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
EGRX
| $219K | 0.04% |
+5,434
| New | +$280K |
|
498
Banner Corp
BANR
$2.39B
| $216K | 0.04% |
+4,041
| New | +$235K |
|
499
NMI Holdings
NMIH
$3.27B
| $216K | 0.04% |
+12,101
| New | +$236K |
|
500
Gray Television
GTN
$409M
| $215K | 0.04% |
+14,564
| New | +$253K |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2018 Portfolio in Review
As of Q4 2018, Bayesian Capital Management held 885 positions worth $488M, down 20% from $611M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 12% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $46M in Q4 2018, closing 293 positions and reducing 136 holdings. Its most notable exit was Lowe's Companies, an estimated $6.56M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 25% of assets, up from 19% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Nike worth $7.89M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2018 buy was Nike: 106,400 shares worth $7.89M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Microsoft in Q4 2018, an estimated $6.24M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2018 reduction was lululemon athletica, cutting an estimated $6.86M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Lowe's Companies in Q4 2018, selling an estimated $6.56M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 12% of its $488M portfolio in Q4 2018.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 278 new positions and closed 293 in Q4 2018.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 20% quarter-over-quarter to $488M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2018, filed 13 Feb 2019.