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BCM

Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings

AUM $81.9M
1-Year Est. Return 26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
-0.68%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$604M
AUM Growth
-$213M
Cap. Flow
-$186M
Cap. Flow %
-30.79%
Top 10 Hldgs %
13.62%
Holding
1,036
New
389
Increased
70
Reduced
105
Closed
470

Top Buys

Rank Stock Value
1
CSCO icon
Cisco
CSCO
+$12.4M
2
AMD icon
Advanced Micro Devices
AMD
+$10.8M
3
SPY icon
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
+$9.35M
4
WDAY icon
Workday
WDAY
+$7.63M
5
KO icon
Coca-Cola
KO
+$7.56M

Top Sells

Rank Stock Value
1
NKE icon
Nike
NKE
+$15.4M
2
AMGN icon
Amgen
AMGN
+$11.2M
3
CRM icon
Salesforce
CRM
+$9.62M
4
DHR icon
Danaher
DHR
+$9.18M
5
UNP icon
Union Pacific
UNP
+$8.98M

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Technology 25.33%
2 Consumer Discretionary 16.35%
3 Healthcare 12.02%
4 Industrials 10.05%
5 Consumer Staples 8.63%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
RTX icon
26
RTX Corp
RTX
$294B
$3.96M 0.66%
+29,900
New +$3.79M
ORCL icon
27
Oracle
ORCL
$345B
$3.96M 0.65%
+28,300
New +$4.61M
PFE icon
28
Pfizer
PFE
$141B
$3.88M 0.64%
153,200
-28,400
-16% -$743K
NTNX icon
29
Nutanix
NTNX
$15.4B
$3.87M 0.64%
+55,400
New +$3.83M
LW icon
30
Lamb Weston
LW
$7.3B
$3.86M 0.64%
+72,500
New +$4.11M
TGT icon
31
Target
TGT
$63.7B
$3.78M 0.63%
36,263
+32,146
+781% +$4.02M
JCI icon
32
Johnson Controls International
JCI
$87.5B
$3.71M 0.61%
+46,311
New +$3.81M
ON icon
33
ON Semiconductor
ON
$34.7B
$3.69M 0.61%
+90,800
New +$4.57M
PLTR icon
34
Palantir
PLTR
$315B
$3.58M 0.59%
+42,400
New +$3.72M
FFIV icon
35
F5
FFIV
$23B
$3.51M 0.58%
+13,200
New +$3.69M
DRI icon
36
Darden Restaurants
DRI
$23.4B
$3.43M 0.57%
16,500
+4,751
+40% +$917K
EQT icon
37
EQT Corp
EQT
$32.5B
$3.42M 0.57%
+64,000
New +$3.27M
DHI icon
38
D.R. Horton
DHI
$41.3B
$3.41M 0.56%
+26,800
New +$3.59M
SPGI icon
39
S&P Global
SPGI
$130B
$3.26M 0.54%
+6,412
New +$3.28M
BAC icon
40
Bank of America
BAC
$436B
$3.15M 0.52%
+75,400
New +$3.36M
CHTR icon
41
Charter Communications
CHTR
$15.7B
$3.1M 0.51%
8,400
+1,800
+27% +$644K
DVN icon
42
Devon Energy
DVN
$49.8B
$3.07M 0.51%
+82,000
New +$2.91M
G icon
43
Genpact
G
$5.45B
$3.05M 0.5%
60,468
+33,700
+126% +$1.67M
CROX icon
44
Crocs
CROX
$6.69B
$3.04M 0.5%
+28,600
New +$2.96M
GAP
45
The Gap Inc
GAP
$7.07B
$3.03M 0.5%
146,938
+87,400
+147% +$1.97M
IQV icon
46
IQVIA
IQV
$35.6B
$3M 0.5%
+17,020
New +$3.3M
KMX icon
47
CarMax
KMX
$8.29B
$2.98M 0.49%
38,300
-10,700
-22% -$858K
ABBV icon
48
AbbVie
ABBV
$454B
$2.98M 0.49%
+14,200
New +$2.76M
IBM icon
49
IBM
IBM
$204B
$2.96M 0.49%
+11,904
New +$2.91M
KDP icon
50
Keurig Dr Pepper
KDP
$41B
$2.94M 0.49%
85,900
+46,100
+116% +$1.5M
1
2
3 4 5

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Bayesian Capital Management's Q1 2025 Portfolio in Review

As of Q1 2025, Bayesian Capital Management held 1,036 positions worth $604M, down 26% from $817M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 14% of the portfolio.

Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $186M in Q1 2025, closing 470 positions and reducing 105 holdings. Its most notable exit was Amgen, an estimated $11.2M position sold in full.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 25% of assets, up from 23% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.

Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Advanced Micro Devices worth $9.96M.

  • Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q1 2025 buy was Advanced Micro Devices: 96,900 shares worth $9.96M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management added most to Cisco in Q1 2025, an estimated $12.4M increase.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q1 2025 reduction was Nike, cutting an estimated $15.4M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Amgen in Q1 2025, selling an estimated $11.2M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 14% of its $604M portfolio in Q1 2025.
  • Bayesian Capital Management opened 389 new positions and closed 470 in Q1 2025.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 26% quarter-over-quarter to $604M.

Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q1 2025, filed 15 May 2025.