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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+3.37%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$316M
AUM Growth
-$29.1M
(-8.4%)
Cap. Flow
-$30M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-9.48%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
19.77%
Holding
567
New
205
Increased
77
Reduced
78
Closed
207
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Oracle
ORCL
|
+$8.43M |
| 2 |
FedEx
FDX
|
+$7.9M |
| 3 |
IBM
IBM
|
+$6.03M |
| 4 |
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
IWM
|
+$5.99M |
| 5 |
AT&T
T
|
+$5.41M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
|
+$17.5M |
| 2 |
Invesco QQQ Trust
QQQ
|
+$13.1M |
| 3 |
Micron Technology
MU
|
+$9.92M |
| 4 |
Advanced Micro Devices
AMD
|
+$6.09M |
| 5 |
Alibaba
BABA
|
+$5.92M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 28.27% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 18.11% |
| 3 | Communication Services | 14.57% |
| 4 | Industrials | 11.75% |
| 5 | Healthcare | 6.58% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
26
Otis Worldwide
OTIS
$27.8B
| $2.34M | 0.74% |
26,851
+22,751
| +555% | +$1.9M |
|
|
BBBY
27
DELISTED
Bed Bath & Beyond Inc
BBBY
| $2.19M | 0.69% |
+150,531
| New | +$2.63M |
|
|
28
Micron Technology
MU
$1.01T
| $2.1M | 0.66% |
22,500
-127,100
| -85% | -$9.92M |
|
29
Ciena
CIEN
$53B
| $2.02M | 0.64% |
26,263
+6,163
| +31% | +$380K |
|
30
Equifax
EFX
$21B
| $2.01M | 0.63% |
6,851
+4,665
| +213% | +$1.3M |
|
31
PPG Industries
PPG
$26.4B
| $1.95M | 0.62% |
+11,300
| New | +$1.82M |
|
32
BILL Holdings
BILL
$4.52B
| $1.94M | 0.61% |
7,791
-309
| -4% | -$87.4K |
|
33
Mondelez International
MDLZ
$77.8B
| $1.92M | 0.61% |
29,000
-13,483
| -32% | -$832K |
|
34
Accenture
ACN
$95.4B
| $1.9M | 0.6% |
+4,575
| New | +$1.67M |
|
35
State Street SPDR S&P Biotech ETF
XBI
$10.3B
| $1.89M | 0.6% |
+16,900
| New | +$2.04M |
|
36
NetEase
NTES
$79.4B
| $1.76M | 0.56% |
17,300
+9,699
| +128% | +$985K |
|
37
Roblox
RBLX
$34.9B
| $1.74M | 0.55% |
16,847
+6,263
| +59% | +$608K |
|
38
Nokia
NOK
$51B
| $1.73M | 0.55% |
+278,200
| New | +$1.62M |
|
39
ARK Innovation ETF
ARKK
$5.74B
| $1.7M | 0.54% |
+17,987
| New | +$1.96M |
|
40
Walmart Inc
WMT
$890B
| $1.68M | 0.53% |
34,782
+2,682
| +8% | +$128K |
|
41
Dick's Sporting Goods
DKS
$18.4B
| $1.63M | 0.52% |
14,174
+9,158
| +183% | +$1.1M |
|
42
RTX Corp
RTX
$297B
| $1.61M | 0.51% |
18,744
-7,956
| -30% | -$693K |
|
|
ZNGA
43
DELISTED
ZYNGA INC. CL A COMMON
ZNGA
| $1.58M | 0.5% |
247,600
+59,700
| +32% | +$412K |
|
44
Palo Alto Networks
PANW
$261B
| $1.56M | 0.49% |
+16,800
| New | +$1.45M |
|
45
Ulta Beauty
ULTA
$20.7B
| $1.53M | 0.48% |
+3,700
| New | +$1.44M |
|
46
Airbnb
ABNB
$87B
| $1.51M | 0.48% |
9,048
+2,848
| +46% | +$502K |
|
47
T-Mobile US
TMUS
$192B
| $1.5M | 0.47% |
+12,938
| New | +$1.52M |
|
48
NVIDIA
NVDA
$4.79T
| $1.5M | 0.47% |
51,000
-57,880
| -53% | -$1.59M |
|
49
Viatris
VTRS
$20.6B
| $1.49M | 0.47% |
110,200
+87,600
| +388% | +$1.17M |
|
50
HCA Healthcare
HCA
$87B
| $1.48M | 0.47% |
+5,774
| New | +$1.41M |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2021 Portfolio in Review
As of Q4 2021, Bayesian Capital Management held 567 positions worth $316M, down 8.4% from $345M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 20% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $30M in Q4 2021, closing 207 positions and reducing 78 holdings. Its most notable exit was State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust, an estimated $17.5M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 28% of assets, up from 21% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Communication Services.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Oracle worth $7.83M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2021 buy was Oracle: 89,800 shares worth $7.83M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to FedEx in Q4 2021, an estimated $7.9M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2021 reduction was Micron Technology, cutting an estimated $9.92M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust in Q4 2021, selling an estimated $17.5M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 20% of its $316M portfolio in Q4 2021.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 205 new positions and closed 207 in Q4 2021.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 8.4% quarter-over-quarter to $316M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2021, filed 14 Feb 2022.