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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
-0.68%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$604M
AUM Growth
-$213M
(-26%)
Cap. Flow
-$186M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-30.79%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
13.62%
Holding
1,036
New
389
Increased
70
Reduced
105
Closed
470
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Cisco
CSCO
|
+$12.4M |
| 2 |
Advanced Micro Devices
AMD
|
+$10.8M |
| 3 |
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
|
+$9.35M |
| 4 |
Workday
WDAY
|
+$7.63M |
| 5 |
Coca-Cola
KO
|
+$7.56M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$15.4M |
| 2 |
Amgen
AMGN
|
+$11.2M |
| 3 |
Salesforce
CRM
|
+$9.62M |
| 4 |
Danaher
DHR
|
+$9.18M |
| 5 |
Union Pacific
UNP
|
+$8.98M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 25.33% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 16.35% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 12.02% |
| 4 | Industrials | 10.05% |
| 5 | Consumer Staples | 8.63% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
426
Sprout Social
SPT
$530M
| $262K | 0.04% |
+11,900
| New | +$346K |
|
427
Joby Aviation
JOBY
$6.54B
| $261K | 0.04% |
+43,300
| New | +$324K |
|
428
Semtech
SMTC
$9.65B
| $260K | 0.04% |
7,556
-4,400
| -37% | -$217K |
|
429
Diodes
DIOD
$3.5B
| $258K | 0.04% |
+5,985
| New | +$323K |
|
430
Appian
APPN
$2.11B
| $258K | 0.04% |
8,954
+1,493
| +20% | +$48.9K |
|
|
CNH
431
CNH Industrial
CNH
$13.3B
| $258K | 0.04% |
+21,000
| New | +$263K |
|
432
Ionis Pharmaceuticals
IONS
$8.93B
| $256K | 0.04% |
+8,500
| New | +$278K |
|
433
Post Holdings
POST
$4.42B
| $256K | 0.04% |
+2,200
| New | +$244K |
|
434
Kimco Realty
KIM
$17.5B
| $255K | 0.04% |
+12,000
| New | +$262K |
|
435
Marqeta
MQ
$1.93B
| $253K | 0.04% |
+15,355
| New | +$242K |
|
436
Chefs' Warehouse
CHEF
$4.31B
| $251K | 0.04% |
+4,615
| New | +$257K |
|
437
Apple Hospitality REIT
APLE
$3.97B
| $251K | 0.04% |
+19,410
| New | +$284K |
|
438
Leonardo DRS
DRS
$12.4B
| $250K | 0.04% |
+7,600
| New | +$251K |
|
439
Bank of Montreal
BMO
$123B
| $248K | 0.04% |
+2,600
| New | +$257K |
|
440
Live Nation Entertainment
LYV
$42.9B
| $248K | 0.04% |
1,900
-921
| -33% | -$126K |
|
441
Seagate
STX
$174B
| $246K | 0.04% |
2,893
-22,800
| -89% | -$2.15M |
|
442
Radian Group
RDN
$5.28B
| $245K | 0.04% |
7,400
-7,500
| -50% | -$244K |
|
443
Alamos Gold
AGI
$12B
| $243K | 0.04% |
+9,100
| New | +$205K |
|
444
Wyndham Hotels & Resorts
WH
$5.61B
| $243K | 0.04% |
+2,680
| New | +$272K |
|
445
Artisan Partners
APAM
$2.86B
| $240K | 0.04% |
+6,138
| New | +$260K |
|
|
ELME
446
Elme Communities
ELME
$145M
| $238K | 0.04% |
+13,700
| New | +$221K |
|
447
Voya Financial
VOYA
$8.96B
| $237K | 0.04% |
3,499
-12,000
| -77% | -$840K |
|
448
BGC Group
BGC
$5.64B
| $237K | 0.04% |
+25,800
| New | +$242K |
|
449
HDFC Bank
HDB
$123B
| $236K | 0.04% |
+7,112
| New | +$217K |
|
450
OppFi
OPFI
$813M
| $235K | 0.04% |
+25,300
| New | +$282K |
|
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QM
Bayesian Capital Management's Q1 2025 Portfolio in Review
As of Q1 2025, Bayesian Capital Management held 1,036 positions worth $604M, down 26% from $817M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 14% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $186M in Q1 2025, closing 470 positions and reducing 105 holdings. Its most notable exit was Amgen, an estimated $11.2M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 25% of assets, up from 23% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Advanced Micro Devices worth $9.96M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q1 2025 buy was Advanced Micro Devices: 96,900 shares worth $9.96M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Cisco in Q1 2025, an estimated $12.4M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q1 2025 reduction was Nike, cutting an estimated $15.4M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Amgen in Q1 2025, selling an estimated $11.2M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 14% of its $604M portfolio in Q1 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 389 new positions and closed 470 in Q1 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 26% quarter-over-quarter to $604M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q1 2025, filed 15 May 2025.