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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
-13.55%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$488M
AUM Growth
-$122M
(-20%)
Cap. Flow
-$46M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-9.42%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
12.26%
Holding
885
New
278
Increased
177
Reduced
136
Closed
293
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$7.96M |
| 2 |
Microsoft
MSFT
|
+$6.24M |
| 3 |
Estee Lauder
EL
|
+$5.96M |
| 4 |
Cisco
CSCO
|
+$5.04M |
| 5 |
WBA
Walgreens Boots Alliance
WBA
|
+$4.16M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
lululemon athletica
LULU
|
+$6.86M |
| 2 |
Lowe's Companies
LOW
|
+$6.56M |
| 3 |
TIF
Tiffany & Co.
TIF
|
+$6.19M |
| 4 |
FDC
First Data Corporation
FDC
|
+$5.8M |
| 5 |
Qualcomm
QCOM
|
+$5.49M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 24.54% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 16.56% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 14.16% |
| 4 | Industrials | 11.69% |
| 5 | Consumer Staples | 7.51% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
BMCH
401
DELISTED
BMC Stock Holdings, Inc
BMCH
| $313K | 0.06% |
20,219
+8,600
| +74% | +$143K |
|
|
DWT
402
DELISTED
VelocityShares 3x Inverse Crude Oil ETNs linked to the S&P GSCI Crude Oil Index ER
DWT
| $313K | 0.06% |
+19,643
| New | +$199K |
|
403
Corpay
CPAY
$24.8B
| $311K | 0.06% |
+1,677
| New | +$328K |
|
|
NEWR
404
DELISTED
New Relic, Inc.
NEWR
| $311K | 0.06% |
3,836
-11,100
| -74% | -$935K |
|
|
ABB
405
DELISTED
ABB Ltd
ABB
| $310K | 0.06% |
16,300
-32,200
| -66% | -$652K |
|
406
Steel Dynamics
STLD
$36.1B
| $309K | 0.06% |
+10,281
| New | +$389K |
|
407
Pitney Bowes
PBI
$2.46B
| $308K | 0.06% |
52,197
+21,000
| +67% | +$151K |
|
|
CELG
408
DELISTED
Celgene Corp
CELG
| $308K | 0.06% |
4,800
+1,391
| +41% | +$103K |
|
409
ZTO Express
ZTO
$18.1B
| $306K | 0.06% |
19,300
-23,000
| -54% | -$370K |
|
410
Ares Capital
ARCC
$13.6B
| $305K | 0.06% |
+19,600
| New | +$324K |
|
411
Stride
LRN
$3.83B
| $304K | 0.06% |
+12,260
| New | +$262K |
|
412
Ashland
ASH
$3.04B
| $302K | 0.06% |
4,259
-3,941
| -48% | -$304K |
|
413
Ball Corp
BALL
$17.2B
| $299K | 0.06% |
+6,500
| New | +$304K |
|
414
ExxonMobil
XOM
$642B
| $298K | 0.06% |
+4,372
| New | +$343K |
|
415
Trupanion
TRUP
$1.08B
| $297K | 0.06% |
+11,646
| New | +$313K |
|
416
Acuity Brands
AYI
$10.1B
| $296K | 0.06% |
+2,572
| New | +$318K |
|
|
NBEV
417
DELISTED
NewAge, Inc. Common Stock (Delaware)
NBEV
| $296K | 0.06% |
+56,900
| New | +$298K |
|
418
CME Group
CME
$91.8B
| $293K | 0.06% |
+1,558
| New | +$288K |
|
419
Republic Services
RSG
$66.7B
| $290K | 0.06% |
4,017
-5,162
| -56% | -$378K |
|
420
Constellium
CSTM
$4.02B
| $289K | 0.06% |
41,353
+21,600
| +109% | +$192K |
|
421
Boot Barn
BOOT
$4.71B
| $288K | 0.06% |
16,904
-19,790
| -54% | -$455K |
|
422
iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF
LQD
$34.4B
| $288K | 0.06% |
+2,554
| New | +$287K |
|
|
SYNH
423
DELISTED
Syneos Health, Inc. Class A Common Stock
SYNH
| $287K | 0.06% |
7,300
+600
| +9% | +$27.9K |
|
424
ABM Industries
ABM
$2.84B
| $286K | 0.06% |
8,900
-11,300
| -56% | -$346K |
|
425
Telephone and Data Systems
TDS
$3.83B
| $285K | 0.06% |
+8,757
| New | +$290K |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2018 Portfolio in Review
As of Q4 2018, Bayesian Capital Management held 885 positions worth $488M, down 20% from $611M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 12% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $46M in Q4 2018, closing 293 positions and reducing 136 holdings. Its most notable exit was Lowe's Companies, an estimated $6.56M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 25% of assets, up from 19% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Nike worth $7.89M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2018 buy was Nike: 106,400 shares worth $7.89M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Microsoft in Q4 2018, an estimated $6.24M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2018 reduction was lululemon athletica, cutting an estimated $6.86M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Lowe's Companies in Q4 2018, selling an estimated $6.56M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 12% of its $488M portfolio in Q4 2018.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 278 new positions and closed 293 in Q4 2018.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 20% quarter-over-quarter to $488M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2018, filed 13 Feb 2019.