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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+18.4%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$633M
AUM Growth
+$28.6M
(+4.7%)
Cap. Flow
-$33.7M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-5.32%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
16.42%
Holding
930
New
364
Increased
66
Reduced
78
Closed
421
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Apple
AAPL
|
+$10.6M |
| 2 |
Wells Fargo
WFC
|
+$9.91M |
| 3 |
PepsiCo
PEP
|
+$7.84M |
| 4 |
MongoDB
MDB
|
+$7.49M |
| 5 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$7.36M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Cisco
CSCO
|
+$13.6M |
| 2 |
Advanced Micro Devices
AMD
|
+$9.96M |
| 3 |
Coca-Cola
KO
|
+$8.1M |
| 4 |
SLB Ltd
SLB
|
+$7.99M |
| 5 |
Workday
WDAY
|
+$6.98M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 25.15% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 15.1% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 13.9% |
| 4 | Industrials | 9.92% |
| 5 | Financials | 8.17% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
GOOS
376
Canada Goose Holdings
GOOS
$891M
| $332K | 0.05% |
+29,700
| New | +$288K |
|
377
Arbor Realty Trust
ABR
$977M
| $332K | 0.05% |
31,000
-8,500
| -22% | -$89.5K |
|
378
AGCO
AGCO
$8.71B
| $330K | 0.05% |
+3,200
| New | +$305K |
|
379
Lattice Semiconductor
LSCC
$16.8B
| $328K | 0.05% |
6,700
+1,200
| +22% | +$57.4K |
|
380
Alcon
ALC
$32.8B
| $327K | 0.05% |
+3,700
| New | +$332K |
|
381
XPEL
XPEL
$1.18B
| $316K | 0.05% |
+8,800
| New | +$290K |
|
382
Kite Realty
KRG
$5.99B
| $315K | 0.05% |
+13,900
| New | +$306K |
|
383
Jefferies Financial Group
JEF
$13B
| $312K | 0.05% |
5,706
-14,294
| -71% | -$708K |
|
|
SW
384
Smurfit Westrock
SW
$26.3B
| $311K | 0.05% |
+7,200
| New | +$308K |
|
385
California Resources
CRC
$4.51B
| $311K | 0.05% |
+6,800
| New | +$278K |
|
386
Dycom Industries
DY
$12.7B
| $309K | 0.05% |
+1,265
| New | +$249K |
|
387
State Street Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF
XLB
$8.66B
| $309K | 0.05% |
+7,038
| New | +$298K |
|
|
JBGS
388
JBG SMITH
JBGS
$832M
| $308K | 0.05% |
+17,800
| New | +$290K |
|
389
iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF
IGV
$12.2B
| $307K | 0.05% |
+2,800
| New | +$277K |
|
390
Zillow
Z
$7.32B
| $301K | 0.05% |
+4,300
| New | +$290K |
|
391
Host Hotels & Resorts
HST
$17.1B
| $301K | 0.05% |
+19,600
| New | +$290K |
|
392
Wolverine World Wide
WWW
$1.56B
| $300K | 0.05% |
+16,572
| New | +$252K |
|
393
eBay
EBAY
$50.3B
| $298K | 0.05% |
+4,000
| New | +$283K |
|
394
PureCycle Technologies
PCT
$1.2B
| $295K | 0.05% |
+21,539
| New | +$191K |
|
395
Talos Energy
TALO
$2.36B
| $294K | 0.05% |
34,717
-14,500
| -29% | -$116K |
|
396
Parsons
PSN
$6.36B
| $294K | 0.05% |
+4,100
| New | +$271K |
|
397
ING
ING
$95.7B
| $293K | 0.05% |
+13,400
| New | +$271K |
|
398
Leonardo DRS
DRS
$12.9B
| $288K | 0.05% |
6,200
-1,400
| -18% | -$56.2K |
|
399
Henry Schein
HSIC
$9.64B
| $285K | 0.05% |
+3,900
| New | +$268K |
|
400
dLocal
DLO
$4.4B
| $285K | 0.05% |
+25,106
| New | +$247K |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q2 2025 Portfolio in Review
As of Q2 2025, Bayesian Capital Management held 930 positions worth $633M, up 4.7% from $604M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 16% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $33.7M in Q2 2025, closing 421 positions and reducing 78 holdings. Its most notable exit was Cisco, an estimated $13.6M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 25% of assets, down from 25% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Wells Fargo worth $11M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q2 2025 buy was Wells Fargo: 137,400 shares worth $11M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Apple in Q2 2025, an estimated $10.6M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q2 2025 reduction was Philip Morris, cutting an estimated $5.55M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Cisco in Q2 2025, selling an estimated $13.6M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 16% of its $633M portfolio in Q2 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 364 new positions and closed 421 in Q2 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value rose 4.7% quarter-over-quarter to $633M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q2 2025, filed 14 Aug 2025.