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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
-0.68%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$604M
AUM Growth
-$213M
(-26%)
Cap. Flow
-$186M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-30.79%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
13.62%
Holding
1,036
New
389
Increased
70
Reduced
105
Closed
470
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Cisco
CSCO
|
+$12.4M |
| 2 |
Advanced Micro Devices
AMD
|
+$10.8M |
| 3 |
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
|
+$9.35M |
| 4 |
Workday
WDAY
|
+$7.63M |
| 5 |
Coca-Cola
KO
|
+$7.56M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$15.4M |
| 2 |
Amgen
AMGN
|
+$11.2M |
| 3 |
Salesforce
CRM
|
+$9.62M |
| 4 |
Danaher
DHR
|
+$9.18M |
| 5 |
Union Pacific
UNP
|
+$8.98M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 25.33% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 16.35% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 12.02% |
| 4 | Industrials | 10.05% |
| 5 | Consumer Staples | 8.63% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
376
JFrog
FROG
$8.88B
| $320K | 0.05% |
10,000
-35,900
| -78% | -$1.25M |
|
377
Goosehead Insurance
GSHD
$2.51B
| $314K | 0.05% |
+2,662
| New | +$299K |
|
378
Cummins
CMI
$83.6B
| $313K | 0.05% |
+1,000
| New | +$352K |
|
379
Service Corp International
SCI
$11.8B
| $313K | 0.05% |
3,900
-15,200
| -80% | -$1.2M |
|
380
XPO
XPO
$23.4B
| $312K | 0.05% |
+2,900
| New | +$369K |
|
381
Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF
RSP
$97.3B
| $312K | 0.05% |
+1,800
| New | +$320K |
|
382
PJT Partners
PJT
$4.26B
| $311K | 0.05% |
2,254
| – | – |
|
383
Peabody Energy
BTU
$2.54B
| $306K | 0.05% |
22,600
+1,598
| +8% | +$25.7K |
|
384
Yeti Holdings
YETI
$3.87B
| $305K | 0.05% |
9,200
-900
| -9% | -$32.6K |
|
385
iShares Core S&P 500 ETF
IVV
$858B
| $303K | 0.05% |
+540
| New | +$319K |
|
386
UDR
UDR
$12.8B
| $303K | 0.05% |
6,700
-13,600
| -67% | -$582K |
|
387
Ameren
AEE
$30.4B
| $301K | 0.05% |
+3,000
| New | +$289K |
|
388
Concentrix
CNXC
$1.62B
| $300K | 0.05% |
+5,400
| New | +$259K |
|
389
Dover
DOV
$26.7B
| $299K | 0.05% |
+1,700
| New | +$327K |
|
390
Varonis Systems
VRNS
$4.67B
| $299K | 0.05% |
+7,383
| New | +$318K |
|
391
ArcelorMittal
MT
$49.5B
| $297K | 0.05% |
+10,300
| New | +$284K |
|
392
Winnebago Industries
WGO
$900M
| $295K | 0.05% |
+8,556
| New | +$363K |
|
393
Harrow
HROW
$1.44B
| $294K | 0.05% |
+11,058
| New | +$331K |
|
394
CAVA Group
CAVA
$7.61B
| $294K | 0.05% |
3,401
-10,799
| -76% | -$1.17M |
|
395
Omnicell
OMCL
$1.88B
| $294K | 0.05% |
+8,401
| New | +$333K |
|
396
Suncor Energy
SU
$77.7B
| $293K | 0.05% |
7,577
-1,123
| -13% | -$42.9K |
|
397
Kanzhun
BZ
$7.19B
| $293K | 0.05% |
15,300
-8,700
| -36% | -$142K |
|
398
Lattice Semiconductor
LSCC
$16B
| $288K | 0.05% |
+5,500
| New | +$327K |
|
399
Rush Street Interactive
RSI
$3.17B
| $288K | 0.05% |
26,908
-692
| -3% | -$9.1K |
|
400
Celestica
CLS
$37.8B
| $288K | 0.05% |
+3,657
| New | +$388K |
|
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QM
Bayesian Capital Management's Q1 2025 Portfolio in Review
As of Q1 2025, Bayesian Capital Management held 1,036 positions worth $604M, down 26% from $817M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 14% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $186M in Q1 2025, closing 470 positions and reducing 105 holdings. Its most notable exit was Amgen, an estimated $11.2M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 25% of assets, up from 23% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Advanced Micro Devices worth $9.96M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q1 2025 buy was Advanced Micro Devices: 96,900 shares worth $9.96M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Cisco in Q1 2025, an estimated $12.4M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q1 2025 reduction was Nike, cutting an estimated $15.4M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Amgen in Q1 2025, selling an estimated $11.2M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 14% of its $604M portfolio in Q1 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 389 new positions and closed 470 in Q1 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 26% quarter-over-quarter to $604M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q1 2025, filed 15 May 2025.