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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
-13.55%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$488M
AUM Growth
-$122M
(-20%)
Cap. Flow
-$46M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-9.42%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
12.26%
Holding
885
New
278
Increased
177
Reduced
136
Closed
293
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$7.96M |
| 2 |
Microsoft
MSFT
|
+$6.24M |
| 3 |
Estee Lauder
EL
|
+$5.96M |
| 4 |
Cisco
CSCO
|
+$5.04M |
| 5 |
WBA
Walgreens Boots Alliance
WBA
|
+$4.16M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
lululemon athletica
LULU
|
+$6.86M |
| 2 |
Lowe's Companies
LOW
|
+$6.56M |
| 3 |
TIF
Tiffany & Co.
TIF
|
+$6.19M |
| 4 |
FDC
First Data Corporation
FDC
|
+$5.8M |
| 5 |
Qualcomm
QCOM
|
+$5.49M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 24.54% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 16.56% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 14.16% |
| 4 | Industrials | 11.69% |
| 5 | Consumer Staples | 7.51% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
376
Albany International
AIN
$2.16B
| $340K | 0.07% |
5,443
-1,600
| -23% | -$112K |
|
377
Live Nation Entertainment
LYV
$41.7B
| $340K | 0.07% |
6,900
-22,800
| -77% | -$1.2M |
|
378
S&P Global
SPGI
$130B
| $340K | 0.07% |
2,000
+800
| +67% | +$143K |
|
|
BNFT
379
DELISTED
Benefitfocus, Inc.
BNFT
| $340K | 0.07% |
7,445
+2,041
| +38% | +$85.2K |
|
380
Check Point Software Technologies
CHKP
$13.6B
| $339K | 0.07% |
+3,300
| New | +$362K |
|
|
DRE
381
DELISTED
Duke Realty Corp.
DRE
| $337K | 0.07% |
13,000
-46,100
| -78% | -$1.28M |
|
382
Harley-Davidson
HOG
$2.61B
| $335K | 0.07% |
9,810
-17,790
| -64% | -$698K |
|
383
Tractor Supply
TSCO
$16.7B
| $335K | 0.07% |
20,060
+6,880
| +52% | +$123K |
|
384
BGC Group
BGC
$5.65B
| $334K | 0.07% |
64,700
+28,000
| +76% | +$184K |
|
385
Stratasys
SSYS
$700M
| $333K | 0.07% |
+18,515
| New | +$387K |
|
|
MTOR
386
DELISTED
MERITOR, Inc.
MTOR
| $333K | 0.07% |
19,690
+6,800
| +53% | +$116K |
|
387
World Kinect Corp
WKC
$2.04B
| $329K | 0.07% |
+15,360
| New | +$405K |
|
388
Agree Realty
ADC
$9.66B
| $327K | 0.07% |
+5,533
| New | +$316K |
|
389
Kimco Realty
KIM
$17.8B
| $325K | 0.07% |
22,211
-3,900
| -15% | -$61.2K |
|
390
Sonos
SONO
$1.87B
| $324K | 0.07% |
+33,000
| New | +$414K |
|
|
PVG
391
DELISTED
PRETIUM RESOURCES INC.
PVG
| $324K | 0.07% |
38,309
+14,300
| +60% | +$112K |
|
392
National Vision
EYE
$1.66B
| $321K | 0.07% |
+11,400
| New | +$434K |
|
393
Mercury Insurance
MCY
$6.01B
| $321K | 0.07% |
+6,214
| New | +$338K |
|
394
CVR Energy
CVI
$3.43B
| $320K | 0.07% |
+9,279
| New | +$353K |
|
|
WIFI
395
DELISTED
Boingo Wireless, Inc.
WIFI
| $318K | 0.07% |
15,441
-2,200
| -12% | -$58.6K |
|
396
BP
BP
$109B
| $317K | 0.06% |
+8,617
| New | +$344K |
|
397
America's Car Mart
CRMT
$27.9M
| $317K | 0.06% |
4,379
+1,067
| +32% | +$78.4K |
|
398
Federal Signal
FSS
$7.22B
| $315K | 0.06% |
15,807
+3,207
| +25% | +$73.1K |
|
|
KEM
399
DELISTED
KEMET Corporation
KEM
| $314K | 0.06% |
+17,910
| New | +$335K |
|
400
Rockwell Automation
ROK
$51.9B
| $313K | 0.06% |
2,078
+578
| +39% | +$96.4K |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2018 Portfolio in Review
As of Q4 2018, Bayesian Capital Management held 885 positions worth $488M, down 20% from $611M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 12% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $46M in Q4 2018, closing 293 positions and reducing 136 holdings. Its most notable exit was Lowe's Companies, an estimated $6.56M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 25% of assets, up from 19% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Nike worth $7.89M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2018 buy was Nike: 106,400 shares worth $7.89M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Microsoft in Q4 2018, an estimated $6.24M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2018 reduction was lululemon athletica, cutting an estimated $6.86M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Lowe's Companies in Q4 2018, selling an estimated $6.56M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 12% of its $488M portfolio in Q4 2018.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 278 new positions and closed 293 in Q4 2018.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 20% quarter-over-quarter to $488M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2018, filed 13 Feb 2019.