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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
-0.68%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$604M
AUM Growth
-$213M
(-26%)
Cap. Flow
-$186M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-30.79%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
13.62%
Holding
1,036
New
389
Increased
70
Reduced
105
Closed
470
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Cisco
CSCO
|
+$12.4M |
| 2 |
Advanced Micro Devices
AMD
|
+$10.8M |
| 3 |
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
|
+$9.35M |
| 4 |
Workday
WDAY
|
+$7.63M |
| 5 |
Coca-Cola
KO
|
+$7.56M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$15.4M |
| 2 |
Amgen
AMGN
|
+$11.2M |
| 3 |
Salesforce
CRM
|
+$9.62M |
| 4 |
Danaher
DHR
|
+$9.18M |
| 5 |
Union Pacific
UNP
|
+$8.98M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 25.33% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 16.35% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 12.02% |
| 4 | Industrials | 10.05% |
| 5 | Consumer Staples | 8.63% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
351
Essential Properties Realty Trust
EPRT
$6.92B
| $362K | 0.06% |
+11,100
| New | +$352K |
|
|
FLG
352
Flagstar Bank National Association
FLG
$5.87B
| $359K | 0.06% |
+30,900
| New | +$348K |
|
353
Patterson-UTI
PTEN
$3.54B
| $357K | 0.06% |
43,463
-81,437
| -65% | -$683K |
|
354
Xometry
XMTR
$4.47B
| $357K | 0.06% |
+14,325
| New | +$450K |
|
|
DVAX
355
DELISTED
Dynavax Technologies
DVAX
| $355K | 0.06% |
+27,400
| New | +$363K |
|
356
ATI
ATI
$24.3B
| $355K | 0.06% |
+6,816
| New | +$387K |
|
357
Cal-Maine
CALM
$4.43B
| $355K | 0.06% |
+3,900
| New | +$385K |
|
358
BHP
BHP
$211B
| $354K | 0.06% |
+7,300
| New | +$363K |
|
359
Schneider National
SNDR
$6.17B
| $347K | 0.06% |
15,200
-16,300
| -52% | -$442K |
|
360
Estee Lauder
EL
$30.4B
| $343K | 0.06% |
+5,200
| New | +$376K |
|
361
Sunrun
RUN
$2.26B
| $342K | 0.06% |
+58,400
| New | +$481K |
|
362
Centrus Energy
LEU
$3.14B
| $342K | 0.06% |
5,500
-7,314
| -57% | -$616K |
|
363
Globe Life
GL
$14B
| $339K | 0.06% |
2,576
-3,422
| -57% | -$419K |
|
364
United Airlines
UAL
$38.8B
| $338K | 0.06% |
+4,900
| New | +$463K |
|
365
Fluor
FLR
$6.54B
| $337K | 0.06% |
+9,400
| New | +$406K |
|
366
Sprinklr
CXM
$1.51B
| $336K | 0.06% |
+40,200
| New | +$352K |
|
367
Avantor
AVTR
$9.73B
| $336K | 0.06% |
20,700
+3,800
| +22% | +$72K |
|
368
Jackson Financial
JXN
$8.4B
| $335K | 0.06% |
+4,000
| New | +$355K |
|
369
NuScale Power
SMR
$2.63B
| $333K | 0.06% |
+23,500
| New | +$475K |
|
370
Novavax
NVAX
$1.21B
| $330K | 0.05% |
+51,500
| New | +$426K |
|
371
Netflix
NFLX
$307B
| $328K | 0.05% |
+3,520
| New | +$335K |
|
372
Xeris Biopharma Holdings
XERS
$1.45B
| $326K | 0.05% |
+59,300
| New | +$239K |
|
373
Quantum Computing Inc
QUBT
$1.65B
| $325K | 0.05% |
+40,600
| New | +$357K |
|
374
Extreme Networks
EXTR
$3.8B
| $322K | 0.05% |
24,353
+200
| +0.8% | +$3.13K |
|
375
Principal Financial Group
PFG
$24.3B
| $321K | 0.05% |
+3,800
| New | +$316K |
|
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QM
Bayesian Capital Management's Q1 2025 Portfolio in Review
As of Q1 2025, Bayesian Capital Management held 1,036 positions worth $604M, down 26% from $817M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 14% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $186M in Q1 2025, closing 470 positions and reducing 105 holdings. Its most notable exit was Amgen, an estimated $11.2M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 25% of assets, up from 23% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Advanced Micro Devices worth $9.96M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q1 2025 buy was Advanced Micro Devices: 96,900 shares worth $9.96M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Cisco in Q1 2025, an estimated $12.4M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q1 2025 reduction was Nike, cutting an estimated $15.4M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Amgen in Q1 2025, selling an estimated $11.2M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 14% of its $604M portfolio in Q1 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 389 new positions and closed 470 in Q1 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 26% quarter-over-quarter to $604M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q1 2025, filed 15 May 2025.