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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
-13.55%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$488M
AUM Growth
-$122M
(-20%)
Cap. Flow
-$46M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-9.42%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
12.26%
Holding
885
New
278
Increased
177
Reduced
136
Closed
293
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$7.96M |
| 2 |
Microsoft
MSFT
|
+$6.24M |
| 3 |
Estee Lauder
EL
|
+$5.96M |
| 4 |
Cisco
CSCO
|
+$5.04M |
| 5 |
WBA
Walgreens Boots Alliance
WBA
|
+$4.16M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
lululemon athletica
LULU
|
+$6.86M |
| 2 |
Lowe's Companies
LOW
|
+$6.56M |
| 3 |
TIF
Tiffany & Co.
TIF
|
+$6.19M |
| 4 |
FDC
First Data Corporation
FDC
|
+$5.8M |
| 5 |
Qualcomm
QCOM
|
+$5.49M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 24.54% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 16.56% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 14.16% |
| 4 | Industrials | 11.69% |
| 5 | Consumer Staples | 7.51% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
351
Simpson Manufacturing
SSD
$7.95B
| $371K | 0.08% |
6,845
-9,503
| -58% | -$558K |
|
352
Angi Inc
ANGI
$240M
| $370K | 0.08% |
+2,303
| New | +$417K |
|
353
Alkermes
ALKS
$8.79B
| $366K | 0.07% |
12,406
+1,506
| +14% | +$55.5K |
|
354
State Street SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust
DIA
$45.5B
| $366K | 0.07% |
+1,568
| New | +$391K |
|
355
Arista Networks
ANET
$215B
| $365K | 0.07% |
+27,696
| New | +$398K |
|
356
Targa Resources
TRGP
$57.4B
| $365K | 0.07% |
+10,127
| New | +$490K |
|
|
ENDP
357
DELISTED
Endo International plc
ENDP
| $363K | 0.07% |
49,714
-34,486
| -41% | -$473K |
|
|
SAFM
358
DELISTED
Sanderson Farms Inc
SAFM
| $363K | 0.07% |
+3,653
| New | +$373K |
|
|
PENG
359
Penguin Solutions Inc
PENG
$2.69B
| $362K | 0.07% |
+24,400
| New | +$369K |
|
|
NCI
360
DELISTED
Navigant Consulting, Inc.
NCI
| $362K | 0.07% |
15,036
+6,036
| +67% | +$138K |
|
361
OSI Systems
OSIS
$3.58B
| $361K | 0.07% |
4,921
+466
| +10% | +$33.6K |
|
|
VXX
362
DELISTED
iPath S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN due 1/30/2019
VXX
| $361K | 0.07% |
+7,700
| New | +$285K |
|
|
LADR
363
Ladder Capital
LADR
$1.24B
| $360K | 0.07% |
+23,253
| New | +$395K |
|
364
Middleby
MIDD
$6.15B
| $360K | 0.07% |
+3,500
| New | +$398K |
|
365
Caesars Entertainment
CZR
$6.1B
| $358K | 0.07% |
9,900
+3,232
| +48% | +$128K |
|
366
Diodes
DIOD
$3.95B
| $358K | 0.07% |
11,100
+4,000
| +56% | +$128K |
|
367
Aptiv
APTV
$12.2B
| $357K | 0.07% |
5,800
+1,560
| +37% | +$113K |
|
368
Johnson Controls International
JCI
$87.5B
| $356K | 0.07% |
12,000
-16,100
| -57% | -$531K |
|
|
RP
369
DELISTED
RealPage, Inc.
RP
| $355K | 0.07% |
7,365
-4,300
| -37% | -$225K |
|
370
FNB Corp
FNB
$6.71B
| $354K | 0.07% |
+36,000
| New | +$418K |
|
371
Cal-Maine
CALM
$4.2B
| $352K | 0.07% |
+8,326
| New | +$386K |
|
|
AUD
372
DELISTED
Audacy, Inc.
AUD
| $352K | 0.07% |
61,700
+41,500
| +205% | +$276K |
|
373
LKQ Corp
LKQ
$6.69B
| $346K | 0.07% |
+14,593
| New | +$397K |
|
374
Applied Optoelectronics
AAOI
$7.85B
| $345K | 0.07% |
22,389
+1,289
| +6% | +$26K |
|
375
GrafTech
EAF
$203M
| $342K | 0.07% |
2,990
+1,280
| +75% | +$195K |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2018 Portfolio in Review
As of Q4 2018, Bayesian Capital Management held 885 positions worth $488M, down 20% from $611M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 12% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $46M in Q4 2018, closing 293 positions and reducing 136 holdings. Its most notable exit was Lowe's Companies, an estimated $6.56M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 25% of assets, up from 19% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Nike worth $7.89M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2018 buy was Nike: 106,400 shares worth $7.89M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Microsoft in Q4 2018, an estimated $6.24M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2018 reduction was lululemon athletica, cutting an estimated $6.86M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Lowe's Companies in Q4 2018, selling an estimated $6.56M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 12% of its $488M portfolio in Q4 2018.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 278 new positions and closed 293 in Q4 2018.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 20% quarter-over-quarter to $488M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2018, filed 13 Feb 2019.