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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
-13.55%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$488M
AUM Growth
-$122M
(-20%)
Cap. Flow
-$46M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-9.42%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
12.26%
Holding
885
New
278
Increased
177
Reduced
136
Closed
293
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$7.96M |
| 2 |
Microsoft
MSFT
|
+$6.24M |
| 3 |
Estee Lauder
EL
|
+$5.96M |
| 4 |
Cisco
CSCO
|
+$5.04M |
| 5 |
WBA
Walgreens Boots Alliance
WBA
|
+$4.16M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
lululemon athletica
LULU
|
+$6.86M |
| 2 |
Lowe's Companies
LOW
|
+$6.56M |
| 3 |
TIF
Tiffany & Co.
TIF
|
+$6.19M |
| 4 |
FDC
First Data Corporation
FDC
|
+$5.8M |
| 5 |
Qualcomm
QCOM
|
+$5.49M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 24.54% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 16.56% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 14.16% |
| 4 | Industrials | 11.69% |
| 5 | Consumer Staples | 7.51% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
326
VeriSign
VRSN
$24.8B
| $415K | 0.09% |
+2,800
| New | +$420K |
|
|
NAV
327
DELISTED
Navistar International
NAV
| $412K | 0.08% |
15,858
+1,700
| +12% | +$53.2K |
|
328
Elevance Health
ELV
$82.1B
| $411K | 0.08% |
1,564
-1,171
| -43% | -$322K |
|
329
AeroVironment
AVAV
$7.81B
| $410K | 0.08% |
6,028
+3,329
| +123% | +$292K |
|
330
Skywest
SKYW
$4.37B
| $410K | 0.08% |
+9,217
| New | +$476K |
|
331
Citizens Financial Group
CFG
$30.1B
| $409K | 0.08% |
13,750
-10,850
| -44% | -$380K |
|
332
ACI Worldwide
ACIW
$5.88B
| $408K | 0.08% |
+14,735
| New | +$399K |
|
333
Enovis
ENOV
$1.63B
| $408K | 0.08% |
11,341
+59
| +0.5% | +$2.75K |
|
|
PRSP
334
DELISTED
Perspecta Inc. Common Stock
PRSP
| $408K | 0.08% |
23,685
-800
| -3% | -$17.7K |
|
335
Comfort Systems
FIX
$60.9B
| $407K | 0.08% |
9,318
-3,200
| -26% | -$164K |
|
336
VF Corp
VFC
$6.72B
| $407K | 0.08% |
6,053
+2,230
| +58% | +$171K |
|
337
Semtech
SMTC
$11.3B
| $404K | 0.08% |
8,800
-1,900
| -18% | -$90.5K |
|
|
STI
338
DELISTED
SunTrust Banks, Inc.
STI
| $398K | 0.08% |
7,900
-11,597
| -59% | -$694K |
|
339
Nomad Foods
NOMD
$1.67B
| $396K | 0.08% |
+23,700
| New | +$451K |
|
340
Veeva Systems
VEEV
$31.6B
| $393K | 0.08% |
+4,400
| New | +$402K |
|
|
ONDK
341
DELISTED
On Deck Capital, Inc.
ONDK
| $393K | 0.08% |
66,571
+37,800
| +131% | +$269K |
|
342
Fulton Financial
FULT
$4.67B
| $391K | 0.08% |
+25,288
| New | +$412K |
|
|
AVX
343
DELISTED
AVX Corporation
AVX
| $390K | 0.08% |
25,600
+6,200
| +32% | +$100K |
|
344
Atkore
ATKR
$2.54B
| $389K | 0.08% |
19,600
-4,000
| -17% | -$83.7K |
|
|
XOG
345
DELISTED
Extraction Oil & Gas, Inc. Common Stock
XOG
| $389K | 0.08% |
+90,700
| New | +$675K |
|
346
Novartis
NVS
$297B
| $386K | 0.08% |
+5,022
| New | +$391K |
|
347
Pinduoduo
PDD
$121B
| $384K | 0.08% |
+17,100
| New | +$360K |
|
|
LLL
348
DELISTED
L3 Technologies, Inc.
LLL
| $380K | 0.08% |
+2,189
| New | +$422K |
|
|
INFO
349
DELISTED
IHS Markit Ltd. Common Shares
INFO
| $374K | 0.08% |
7,800
-14,200
| -65% | -$726K |
|
350
iRhythm Holdings
IRTC
$3.69B
| $373K | 0.08% |
5,366
-6,510
| -55% | -$494K |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2018 Portfolio in Review
As of Q4 2018, Bayesian Capital Management held 885 positions worth $488M, down 20% from $611M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 12% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $46M in Q4 2018, closing 293 positions and reducing 136 holdings. Its most notable exit was Lowe's Companies, an estimated $6.56M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 25% of assets, up from 19% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Nike worth $7.89M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2018 buy was Nike: 106,400 shares worth $7.89M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Microsoft in Q4 2018, an estimated $6.24M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2018 reduction was lululemon athletica, cutting an estimated $6.86M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Lowe's Companies in Q4 2018, selling an estimated $6.56M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 12% of its $488M portfolio in Q4 2018.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 278 new positions and closed 293 in Q4 2018.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 20% quarter-over-quarter to $488M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2018, filed 13 Feb 2019.