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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+18.4%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$633M
AUM Growth
+$28.6M
(+4.7%)
Cap. Flow
-$33.7M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-5.32%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
16.42%
Holding
930
New
364
Increased
66
Reduced
78
Closed
421
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Apple
AAPL
|
+$10.6M |
| 2 |
Wells Fargo
WFC
|
+$9.91M |
| 3 |
PepsiCo
PEP
|
+$7.84M |
| 4 |
MongoDB
MDB
|
+$7.49M |
| 5 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$7.36M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Cisco
CSCO
|
+$13.6M |
| 2 |
Advanced Micro Devices
AMD
|
+$9.96M |
| 3 |
Coca-Cola
KO
|
+$8.1M |
| 4 |
SLB Ltd
SLB
|
+$7.99M |
| 5 |
Workday
WDAY
|
+$6.98M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 25.15% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 15.1% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 13.9% |
| 4 | Industrials | 9.92% |
| 5 | Financials | 8.17% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
301
Acadia Healthcare
ACHC
$2.99B
| $460K | 0.07% |
+20,270
| New | +$480K |
|
302
H&R Block
HRB
$5.37B
| $457K | 0.07% |
8,321
-16,100
| -66% | -$930K |
|
303
Commault Systems
CVLT
$6.19B
| $453K | 0.07% |
2,600
-2,890
| -53% | -$493K |
|
304
Angi Inc
ANGI
$240M
| $453K | 0.07% |
+29,700
| New | +$429K |
|
305
Build-A-Bear
BBW
$428M
| $446K | 0.07% |
+8,652
| New | +$366K |
|
306
Joby Aviation
JOBY
$7.25B
| $445K | 0.07% |
42,200
-1,100
| -3% | -$7.96K |
|
307
Johnson Controls International
JCI
$87.5B
| $445K | 0.07% |
4,211
-42,100
| -91% | -$3.88M |
|
308
Builders FirstSource
BLDR
$7.82B
| $444K | 0.07% |
3,807
+807
| +27% | +$93.1K |
|
309
Mondelez International
MDLZ
$77.9B
| $442K | 0.07% |
+6,547
| New | +$437K |
|
310
Avnet
AVT
$7.25B
| $441K | 0.07% |
+8,299
| New | +$412K |
|
311
Hudbay
HBM
$9.96B
| $439K | 0.07% |
+41,382
| New | +$345K |
|
312
ZIM Integrated Shipping Services
ZIM
$2.96B
| $439K | 0.07% |
+27,273
| New | +$430K |
|
313
Steris
STE
$21.3B
| $438K | 0.07% |
+1,824
| New | +$425K |
|
314
Valero Energy
VLO
$90.5B
| $435K | 0.07% |
+3,234
| New | +$403K |
|
315
HSBC
HSBC
$357B
| $432K | 0.07% |
+7,100
| New | +$404K |
|
|
NBIS
316
Nebius Group N.V.
NBIS
$47.7B
| $431K | 0.07% |
+7,784
| New | +$268K |
|
317
Viking Therapeutics
VKTX
$4.05B
| $429K | 0.07% |
+16,200
| New | +$426K |
|
318
American International
AIG
$42B
| $428K | 0.07% |
+5,000
| New | +$416K |
|
319
Columbia Sportswear
COLM
$3.25B
| $428K | 0.07% |
+7,000
| New | +$450K |
|
320
First Advantage
FA
$3.43B
| $426K | 0.07% |
+25,632
| New | +$414K |
|
321
Hayward Holdings
HAYW
$3.16B
| $425K | 0.07% |
30,800
+3,400
| +12% | +$45.8K |
|
322
Avis
CAR
$5.78B
| $424K | 0.07% |
+2,507
| New | +$270K |
|
323
Whirlpool
WHR
$2.44B
| $421K | 0.07% |
+4,149
| New | +$345K |
|
324
Madrigal Pharmaceuticals
MDGL
$12.7B
| $418K | 0.07% |
+1,380
| New | +$411K |
|
|
DNB
325
DELISTED
Dun & Bradstreet
DNB
| $417K | 0.07% |
+45,909
| New | +$411K |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q2 2025 Portfolio in Review
As of Q2 2025, Bayesian Capital Management held 930 positions worth $633M, up 4.7% from $604M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 16% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $33.7M in Q2 2025, closing 421 positions and reducing 78 holdings. Its most notable exit was Cisco, an estimated $13.6M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 25% of assets, down from 25% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Wells Fargo worth $11M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q2 2025 buy was Wells Fargo: 137,400 shares worth $11M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Apple in Q2 2025, an estimated $10.6M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q2 2025 reduction was Philip Morris, cutting an estimated $5.55M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Cisco in Q2 2025, selling an estimated $13.6M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 16% of its $633M portfolio in Q2 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 364 new positions and closed 421 in Q2 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value rose 4.7% quarter-over-quarter to $633M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q2 2025, filed 14 Aug 2025.