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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
-13.55%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$488M
AUM Growth
-$122M
(-20%)
Cap. Flow
-$46M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-9.42%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
12.26%
Holding
885
New
278
Increased
177
Reduced
136
Closed
293
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$7.96M |
| 2 |
Microsoft
MSFT
|
+$6.24M |
| 3 |
Estee Lauder
EL
|
+$5.96M |
| 4 |
Cisco
CSCO
|
+$5.04M |
| 5 |
WBA
Walgreens Boots Alliance
WBA
|
+$4.16M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
lululemon athletica
LULU
|
+$6.86M |
| 2 |
Lowe's Companies
LOW
|
+$6.56M |
| 3 |
TIF
Tiffany & Co.
TIF
|
+$6.19M |
| 4 |
FDC
First Data Corporation
FDC
|
+$5.8M |
| 5 |
Qualcomm
QCOM
|
+$5.49M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 24.54% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 16.56% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 14.16% |
| 4 | Industrials | 11.69% |
| 5 | Consumer Staples | 7.51% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
276
Xylem
XYL
$28.6B
| $520K | 0.11% |
+7,800
| New | +$540K |
|
|
WUBA
277
DELISTED
58.com Inc
WUBA
| $520K | 0.11% |
9,600
+4,393
| +84% | +$268K |
|
278
Abbott
ABT
$182B
| $519K | 0.11% |
+7,173
| New | +$504K |
|
279
CareDx
CDNA
$1.88B
| $518K | 0.11% |
20,600
+8,000
| +63% | +$206K |
|
|
COUP
280
DELISTED
Coupa Software Incorporated
COUP
| $509K | 0.1% |
8,103
-20,900
| -72% | -$1.32M |
|
281
Oneok
OKE
$56.4B
| $507K | 0.1% |
+9,394
| New | +$583K |
|
282
Kinder Morgan
KMI
$70.6B
| $504K | 0.1% |
32,800
-19,700
| -38% | -$333K |
|
283
Trimble
TRMB
$13B
| $504K | 0.1% |
+15,312
| New | +$563K |
|
|
HDP
284
DELISTED
Hortonworks, Inc.
HDP
| $502K | 0.1% |
34,799
-2,200
| -6% | -$38K |
|
285
Brixmor Property Group
BRX
$9.93B
| $497K | 0.1% |
+33,800
| New | +$533K |
|
|
PETQ
286
DELISTED
PetIQ, Inc. Class A Common Stock
PETQ
| $497K | 0.1% |
21,184
-3,000
| -12% | -$92.6K |
|
287
State Street SPDR S&P Biotech ETF
XBI
$10.2B
| $495K | 0.1% |
+6,900
| New | +$556K |
|
288
Vanda Pharmaceuticals
VNDA
$314M
| $494K | 0.1% |
18,900
-7,200
| -28% | -$169K |
|
289
International Paper
IP
$22.5B
| $493K | 0.1% |
12,894
+5,228
| +68% | +$219K |
|
|
BT
290
DELISTED
BT Group plc (ADR)
BT
| $491K | 0.1% |
+32,303
| New | +$514K |
|
291
Avnet
AVT
$7.25B
| $488K | 0.1% |
13,509
+8,066
| +148% | +$330K |
|
292
KB Home
KBH
$3.53B
| $488K | 0.1% |
+25,527
| New | +$524K |
|
293
Popular Inc
BPOP
$10.9B
| $487K | 0.1% |
+10,318
| New | +$532K |
|
294
Helmerich & Payne
HP
$3.36B
| $477K | 0.1% |
+9,946
| New | +$611K |
|
|
BLD
295
DELISTED
TopBuild
BLD
| $474K | 0.1% |
10,532
+4,000
| +61% | +$195K |
|
296
Generac Holdings
GNRC
$11.6B
| $472K | 0.1% |
9,500
+2
| +0% | +$107 |
|
297
iShares MSCI Japan ETF
EWJ
$21.7B
| $470K | 0.1% |
+9,266
| New | +$508K |
|
298
Chegg
CHGG
$110M
| $469K | 0.1% |
+16,500
| New | +$444K |
|
299
Goldman Sachs
GS
$309B
| $469K | 0.1% |
2,805
-2,107
| -43% | -$425K |
|
300
Alphabet (Google) Class C
GOOG
$3.99T
| $466K | 0.1% |
9,000
+3,040
| +51% | +$163K |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2018 Portfolio in Review
As of Q4 2018, Bayesian Capital Management held 885 positions worth $488M, down 20% from $611M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 12% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $46M in Q4 2018, closing 293 positions and reducing 136 holdings. Its most notable exit was Lowe's Companies, an estimated $6.56M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 25% of assets, up from 19% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Nike worth $7.89M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2018 buy was Nike: 106,400 shares worth $7.89M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Microsoft in Q4 2018, an estimated $6.24M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2018 reduction was lululemon athletica, cutting an estimated $6.86M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Lowe's Companies in Q4 2018, selling an estimated $6.56M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 12% of its $488M portfolio in Q4 2018.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 278 new positions and closed 293 in Q4 2018.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 20% quarter-over-quarter to $488M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2018, filed 13 Feb 2019.