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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+18.4%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$633M
AUM Growth
+$28.6M
(+4.7%)
Cap. Flow
-$33.7M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-5.32%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
16.42%
Holding
930
New
364
Increased
66
Reduced
78
Closed
421
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Apple
AAPL
|
+$10.6M |
| 2 |
Wells Fargo
WFC
|
+$9.91M |
| 3 |
PepsiCo
PEP
|
+$7.84M |
| 4 |
MongoDB
MDB
|
+$7.49M |
| 5 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$7.36M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Cisco
CSCO
|
+$13.6M |
| 2 |
Advanced Micro Devices
AMD
|
+$9.96M |
| 3 |
Coca-Cola
KO
|
+$8.1M |
| 4 |
SLB Ltd
SLB
|
+$7.99M |
| 5 |
Workday
WDAY
|
+$6.98M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 25.15% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 15.1% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 13.9% |
| 4 | Industrials | 9.92% |
| 5 | Financials | 8.17% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
CUK
251
DELISTED
Carnival PLC
CUK
| $605K | 0.1% |
+23,700
| New | +$459K |
|
252
Genpact
G
$5.45B
| $599K | 0.09% |
13,621
-46,847
| -77% | -$2.12M |
|
253
XPeng
XPEV
$12.2B
| $595K | 0.09% |
+33,300
| New | +$650K |
|
254
Trade Desk
TTD
$8.41B
| $591K | 0.09% |
8,212
-3,000
| -27% | -$192K |
|
255
Sunrun
RUN
$2.38B
| $585K | 0.09% |
71,500
+13,100
| +22% | +$103K |
|
256
Marriott Vacations Worldwide
VAC
$3.4B
| $582K | 0.09% |
+8,044
| New | +$508K |
|
257
BioMarin Pharmaceuticals
BMRN
$11.6B
| $572K | 0.09% |
10,400
-23,700
| -70% | -$1.4M |
|
258
Astera Labs
ALAB
$48.4B
| $571K | 0.09% |
+6,312
| New | +$499K |
|
259
Copart
CPRT
$27.6B
| $569K | 0.09% |
+11,600
| New | +$649K |
|
260
PBF Energy
PBF
$7.43B
| $566K | 0.09% |
+26,100
| New | +$496K |
|
261
KB Home
KBH
$3.53B
| $561K | 0.09% |
+10,600
| New | +$564K |
|
262
Texas Instruments
TXN
$255B
| $561K | 0.09% |
+2,700
| New | +$479K |
|
|
SAIL
263
SailPoint Inc
SAIL
$8.7B
| $558K | 0.09% |
+24,400
| New | +$461K |
|
264
Advanced Energy
AEIS
$11.7B
| $557K | 0.09% |
+4,200
| New | +$463K |
|
265
McDonald's
MCD
$192B
| $555K | 0.09% |
1,900
+275
| +17% | +$84.8K |
|
266
Bath & Body Works
BBWI
$4.13B
| $548K | 0.09% |
+18,279
| New | +$535K |
|
267
Acushnet Holdings
GOLF
$6.08B
| $546K | 0.09% |
+7,500
| New | +$506K |
|
268
Telus
TU
$16.2B
| $536K | 0.08% |
+33,400
| New | +$518K |
|
269
Toll Brothers
TOL
$14.1B
| $536K | 0.08% |
4,695
-5
| -0.1% | -$519 |
|
270
United Parks & Resorts
PRKS
$2.12B
| $535K | 0.08% |
+11,339
| New | +$506K |
|
271
Marathon Petroleum
MPC
$91.2B
| $532K | 0.08% |
+3,200
| New | +$480K |
|
272
Tandem Diabetes Care
TNDM
$1.18B
| $529K | 0.08% |
+28,400
| New | +$562K |
|
273
Kimco Realty
KIM
$17.8B
| $528K | 0.08% |
25,100
+13,100
| +109% | +$272K |
|
274
Aramark
ARMK
$15.2B
| $523K | 0.08% |
+12,500
| New | +$464K |
|
275
Element Solutions
ESI
$9.22B
| $523K | 0.08% |
+23,075
| New | +$484K |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q2 2025 Portfolio in Review
As of Q2 2025, Bayesian Capital Management held 930 positions worth $633M, up 4.7% from $604M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 16% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $33.7M in Q2 2025, closing 421 positions and reducing 78 holdings. Its most notable exit was Cisco, an estimated $13.6M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 25% of assets, down from 25% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Wells Fargo worth $11M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q2 2025 buy was Wells Fargo: 137,400 shares worth $11M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Apple in Q2 2025, an estimated $10.6M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q2 2025 reduction was Philip Morris, cutting an estimated $5.55M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Cisco in Q2 2025, selling an estimated $13.6M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 16% of its $633M portfolio in Q2 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 364 new positions and closed 421 in Q2 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value rose 4.7% quarter-over-quarter to $633M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q2 2025, filed 14 Aug 2025.