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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
-0.68%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$604M
AUM Growth
-$213M
(-26%)
Cap. Flow
-$186M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-30.79%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
13.62%
Holding
1,036
New
389
Increased
70
Reduced
105
Closed
470
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Cisco
CSCO
|
+$12.4M |
| 2 |
Advanced Micro Devices
AMD
|
+$10.8M |
| 3 |
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
|
+$9.35M |
| 4 |
Workday
WDAY
|
+$7.63M |
| 5 |
Coca-Cola
KO
|
+$7.56M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$15.4M |
| 2 |
Amgen
AMGN
|
+$11.2M |
| 3 |
Salesforce
CRM
|
+$9.62M |
| 4 |
Danaher
DHR
|
+$9.18M |
| 5 |
Union Pacific
UNP
|
+$8.98M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 25.33% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 16.35% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 12.02% |
| 4 | Industrials | 10.05% |
| 5 | Consumer Staples | 8.63% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
251
NXP Semiconductors
NXPI
$61.8B
| $646K | 0.11% |
+3,400
| New | +$725K |
|
252
MarketAxess Holdings
MKTX
$5.78B
| $646K | 0.11% |
+2,985
| New | +$627K |
|
253
Tyson Foods
TSN
$21.4B
| $644K | 0.11% |
10,100
-6,000
| -37% | -$352K |
|
254
Pitney Bowes
PBI
$2.46B
| $643K | 0.11% |
+71,051
| New | +$644K |
|
|
X
255
DELISTED
US Steel
X
| $638K | 0.11% |
+15,100
| New | +$571K |
|
256
Vornado Realty Trust
VNO
$7.55B
| $631K | 0.1% |
+17,072
| New | +$687K |
|
257
Conagra Brands
CAG
$7.19B
| $629K | 0.1% |
23,600
-93,800
| -80% | -$2.42M |
|
258
Revolve Group
RVLV
$1.82B
| $624K | 0.1% |
29,040
+10,434
| +56% | +$290K |
|
259
Full Truck Alliance
YMM
$9.92B
| $622K | 0.1% |
+48,700
| New | +$587K |
|
260
GSK
GSK
$104B
| $614K | 0.1% |
15,837
+1,800
| +13% | +$65.9K |
|
261
Trade Desk
TTD
$8.59B
| $614K | 0.1% |
+11,212
| New | +$1.01M |
|
262
Franklin Resources
BEN
$17.2B
| $609K | 0.1% |
+31,654
| New | +$634K |
|
263
Itron
ITRI
$4.33B
| $608K | 0.1% |
5,800
-5,300
| -48% | -$555K |
|
264
Rio Tinto
RIO
$158B
| $605K | 0.1% |
10,069
-41,605
| -81% | -$2.56M |
|
265
Sally Beauty Holdings
SBH
$1.46B
| $600K | 0.1% |
+66,500
| New | +$655K |
|
266
Entergy
ETR
$50.4B
| $590K | 0.1% |
+6,900
| New | +$568K |
|
267
Surgery Partners
SGRY
$2.08B
| $588K | 0.1% |
+24,776
| New | +$586K |
|
268
DigitalOcean
DOCN
$14.1B
| $581K | 0.1% |
17,400
+10,100
| +138% | +$395K |
|
269
Powell Industries
POWL
$7.63B
| $581K | 0.1% |
+10,227
| New | +$713K |
|
270
Middleby
MIDD
$6.03B
| $576K | 0.1% |
+3,793
| New | +$595K |
|
271
Boyd Gaming
BYD
$6.47B
| $573K | 0.09% |
8,700
+3,100
| +55% | +$227K |
|
272
Clean Harbors
CLH
$16.8B
| $572K | 0.09% |
+2,900
| New | +$635K |
|
273
Deckers Outdoor
DECK
$13.6B
| $565K | 0.09% |
5,054
-12,300
| -71% | -$1.99M |
|
274
KBR
KBR
$4.36B
| $558K | 0.09% |
11,200
-2,300
| -17% | -$123K |
|
275
Ovintiv
OVV
$17B
| $556K | 0.09% |
+13,000
| New | +$555K |
|
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QM
Bayesian Capital Management's Q1 2025 Portfolio in Review
As of Q1 2025, Bayesian Capital Management held 1,036 positions worth $604M, down 26% from $817M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 14% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $186M in Q1 2025, closing 470 positions and reducing 105 holdings. Its most notable exit was Amgen, an estimated $11.2M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 25% of assets, up from 23% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Advanced Micro Devices worth $9.96M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q1 2025 buy was Advanced Micro Devices: 96,900 shares worth $9.96M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Cisco in Q1 2025, an estimated $12.4M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q1 2025 reduction was Nike, cutting an estimated $15.4M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Amgen in Q1 2025, selling an estimated $11.2M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 14% of its $604M portfolio in Q1 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 389 new positions and closed 470 in Q1 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 26% quarter-over-quarter to $604M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q1 2025, filed 15 May 2025.