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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+18.4%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$633M
AUM Growth
+$28.6M
(+4.7%)
Cap. Flow
-$33.7M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-5.32%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
16.42%
Holding
930
New
364
Increased
66
Reduced
78
Closed
421
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Apple
AAPL
|
+$10.6M |
| 2 |
Wells Fargo
WFC
|
+$9.91M |
| 3 |
PepsiCo
PEP
|
+$7.84M |
| 4 |
MongoDB
MDB
|
+$7.49M |
| 5 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$7.36M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Cisco
CSCO
|
+$13.6M |
| 2 |
Advanced Micro Devices
AMD
|
+$9.96M |
| 3 |
Coca-Cola
KO
|
+$8.1M |
| 4 |
SLB Ltd
SLB
|
+$7.99M |
| 5 |
Workday
WDAY
|
+$6.98M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 25.15% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 15.1% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 13.9% |
| 4 | Industrials | 9.92% |
| 5 | Financials | 8.17% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
226
Darling Ingredients
DAR
$9.62B
| $732K | 0.12% |
+19,300
| New | +$635K |
|
227
Autoliv
ALV
$8.76B
| $727K | 0.11% |
+6,500
| New | +$636K |
|
228
LiveRamp
RAMP
$2.3B
| $724K | 0.11% |
+21,900
| New | +$636K |
|
229
Upwork
UPWK
$1.14B
| $717K | 0.11% |
+53,350
| New | +$766K |
|
230
Chemours
CC
$2.55B
| $717K | 0.11% |
+62,600
| New | +$705K |
|
231
Intuitive Machines
LUNR
$2.14B
| $711K | 0.11% |
+65,400
| New | +$640K |
|
232
Ralph Lauren
RL
$22.6B
| $710K | 0.11% |
2,588
-4,059
| -61% | -$1M |
|
233
Service Corp International
SCI
$11.4B
| $700K | 0.11% |
8,600
+4,700
| +121% | +$367K |
|
234
Newell Brands
NWL
$2.2B
| $695K | 0.11% |
+128,700
| New | +$682K |
|
235
Robert Half
RHI
$4.07B
| $692K | 0.11% |
+16,858
| New | +$768K |
|
236
Vontier
VNT
$4.48B
| $683K | 0.11% |
+18,500
| New | +$630K |
|
237
Tyson Foods
TSN
$21.4B
| $682K | 0.11% |
12,200
+2,100
| +21% | +$121K |
|
238
Coherent
COHR
$53.1B
| $678K | 0.11% |
7,600
+4,200
| +124% | +$302K |
|
239
Valaris
VAL
$5.43B
| $670K | 0.11% |
15,913
-9,300
| -37% | -$350K |
|
240
American Airlines Group
AAL
$9.9B
| $670K | 0.11% |
+59,700
| New | +$639K |
|
241
Trex
TREX
$4.57B
| $657K | 0.1% |
+12,078
| New | +$685K |
|
|
PR
242
Permian Resources
PR
$17B
| $656K | 0.1% |
48,200
-1,000
| -2% | -$12.9K |
|
243
Ionis Pharmaceuticals
IONS
$9.25B
| $656K | 0.1% |
16,600
+8,100
| +95% | +$265K |
|
244
Planet Labs
PL
$7.48B
| $645K | 0.1% |
+105,697
| New | +$432K |
|
245
Illinois Tool Works
ITW
$81.9B
| $643K | 0.1% |
+2,600
| New | +$628K |
|
246
Brookfield
BN
$103B
| $637K | 0.1% |
+15,450
| New | +$573K |
|
247
Medtronic
MDT
$108B
| $628K | 0.1% |
+7,200
| New | +$611K |
|
248
Procept Biorobotics
PRCT
$1.01B
| $617K | 0.1% |
+10,704
| New | +$605K |
|
249
QuantumScape Corp
QS
$3.19B
| $616K | 0.1% |
+91,600
| New | +$387K |
|
250
Northern Oil and Gas
NOG
$2.21B
| $607K | 0.1% |
+21,400
| New | +$576K |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q2 2025 Portfolio in Review
As of Q2 2025, Bayesian Capital Management held 930 positions worth $633M, up 4.7% from $604M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 16% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $33.7M in Q2 2025, closing 421 positions and reducing 78 holdings. Its most notable exit was Cisco, an estimated $13.6M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 25% of assets, down from 25% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Wells Fargo worth $11M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q2 2025 buy was Wells Fargo: 137,400 shares worth $11M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Apple in Q2 2025, an estimated $10.6M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q2 2025 reduction was Philip Morris, cutting an estimated $5.55M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Cisco in Q2 2025, selling an estimated $13.6M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 16% of its $633M portfolio in Q2 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 364 new positions and closed 421 in Q2 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value rose 4.7% quarter-over-quarter to $633M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q2 2025, filed 14 Aug 2025.