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PFM
Probabilities Fund Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$28.1M
1-Year Est. Return
54.68%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+20.5%
1 Year Est. Return
+54.68%
3 Year Est. Return
–
5 Year Est. Return
–
10 Year Est. Return
–
AUM
$32M
AUM Growth
+$1.74M
(+5.8%)
Cap. Flow
-$3.72M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-11.65%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
98.63%
Holding
14
New
2
Increased
–
Reduced
6
Closed
2
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Applied Materials
AMAT
|
+$205K |
| 2 |
Uber
UBER
|
+$179K |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
TQQQ
|
+$765K |
| 2 |
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
SPXL
|
+$745K |
| 3 |
ProShares UltraPro Dow 30
UDOW
|
+$619K |
| 4 |
Invesco QQQ Trust
QQQ
|
+$611K |
| 5 |
Vanguard S&P 500 ETF
VOO
|
+$518K |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 4.7% |
| 2 | Real Estate | 2.98% |
| 3 | Consumer Staples | 1.18% |
| 4 | Healthcare | 0% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
Invesco QQQ Trust
QQQ
$453B
| $6.49M | 20.3% |
20,690
-2,080
| -9% | -$611K |
|
2
State Street SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust
DIA
$45.8B
| $6.42M | 20.09% |
21,000
-1,530
| -7% | -$445K |
|
|
3
Vanguard S&P 500 ETF
VOO
$979B
| $6.41M | 20.04% |
18,640
-1,590
| -8% | -$518K |
|
|
4
ProShares UltraPro Dow 30
UDOW
$841M
| $3.29M | 10.28% |
128,320
-27,800
| -18% | -$619K |
|
|
5
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
SPXL
$6.72B
| $3.28M | 10.27% |
45,460
-12,030
| -21% | -$745K |
|
|
6
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
TQQQ
$32.1B
| $3.25M | 10.15% |
142,800
-40,560
| -22% | -$765K |
|
7
Innovative Industrial Properties
IIPR
$1.71B
| $952K | 2.98% |
5,200
| – | – |
|
8
Microsoft
MSFT
$3.45T
| $827K | 2.59% |
3,720
| – | – |
|
9
Constellation Brands
STZ
$22.2B
| $378K | 1.18% |
1,724
| – | – |
|
|
10
Applied Materials
AMAT
$403B
| $239K | 0.75% |
+2,770
| New | +$205K |
|
11
Apple
AAPL
$4.54T
| $234K | 0.73% |
1,760
| – | – |
|
|
12
Uber
UBER
$143B
| $204K | 0.64% |
+4,000
| New | +$179K |
|
13
Amgen
AMGN
$208B
| – | – |
-800
| Closed | -$203K |
|
14
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF
XLK
$115B
| – | – |
-3,442
| Closed | -$201K |
|
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Probabilities Fund Management's Q4 2020 Portfolio in Review
As of Q4 2020, Probabilities Fund Management held 14 positions worth $32M, up 5.8% from $30.2M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 99% of the portfolio.
Probabilities Fund Management withdrew a net $3.72M in Q4 2020, closing 2 positions and reducing 6 holdings. Its most notable exit was Amgen, an estimated $203K position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 4.7% of assets, up from 3.3% a quarter earlier, followed by Real Estate and Consumer Staples.
Against the trend, Probabilities Fund Management opened a new position in Applied Materials worth $239K.
- Probabilities Fund Management's largest Q4 2020 buy was Applied Materials: 2,770 shares worth $239K.
- Probabilities Fund Management's biggest Q4 2020 reduction was ProShares UltraPro QQQ, cutting an estimated $765K.
- Probabilities Fund Management fully exited Amgen in Q4 2020, selling an estimated $203K.
- Probabilities Fund Management's ten largest holdings make up 99% of its $32M portfolio in Q4 2020.
- Probabilities Fund Management opened 2 new positions and closed 2 in Q4 2020.
- Probabilities Fund Management's portfolio value rose 5.8% quarter-over-quarter to $32M.
Based on Probabilities Fund Management's 13F filing for Q4 2020, filed 10 Feb 2021.