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Probabilities Fund Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$28.1M
1-Year Est. Return
54.68%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
-4.47%
1 Year Est. Return
+54.68%
3 Year Est. Return
–
5 Year Est. Return
–
10 Year Est. Return
–
AUM
$98.8M
AUM Growth
+$29.2M
(+42%)
Cap. Flow
+$35.5M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
35.93%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
85.84%
Holding
43
New
1
Increased
18
Reduced
10
Closed
3
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
UPRO
|
+$16.5M |
| 2 |
ProShares Ultra Dow30
DDM
|
+$4.49M |
| 3 |
Vanguard S&P 500 ETF
VOO
|
+$4.37M |
| 4 |
Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF
VTI
|
+$4.16M |
| 5 |
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
SPXL
|
+$3.46M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
First Trust Large Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund
FEX
|
+$248K |
| 2 |
EXAS
Exact Sciences
EXAS
|
+$210K |
| 3 |
SCFS
SEACOAST FINANCIAL SVCS CORP
SCFS
|
+$203K |
| 4 |
Microsoft
MSFT
|
+$90.1K |
| 5 |
Nuveen California Quality Municipal Income Fund
NAC
|
+$68.6K |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 2.58% |
| 2 | Financials | 2.57% |
| 3 | Energy | 2.29% |
| 4 | Consumer Staples | 1.38% |
| 5 | Communication Services | 0.93% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
UPRO
$5.23B
| $20.1M | 20.38% |
928,332
+668,880
| +258% | +$16.5M |
|
|
2
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
SPXL
$6.72B
| $20.1M | 20.37% |
489,571
+74,297
| +18% | +$3.46M |
|
|
3
Vanguard S&P 500 ETF
VOO
$979B
| $9.57M | 9.69% |
39,629
+17,423
| +78% | +$4.37M |
|
|
4
Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF
VTI
$660B
| $9.43M | 9.54% |
69,602
+29,642
| +74% | +$4.16M |
|
|
5
ProShares Ultra Dow30
DDM
$542M
| $8.7M | 8.8% |
420,774
+198,654
| +89% | +$4.49M |
|
6
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
$790B
| $8.59M | 8.69% |
32,726
+2,118
| +7% | +$578K |
|
7
ProShares UltraPro Dow 30
UDOW
$841M
| $3.22M | 3.26% |
152,716
+69,972
| +85% | +$1.71M |
|
8
Bank of America
BAC
$435B
| $1.9M | 1.92% |
63,372
+350
| +0.6% | +$11K |
|
|
PACW
9
DELISTED
PacWest Bancorp
PACW
| $1.63M | 1.65% |
32,890
-1
| -0% | -$52 |
|
|
10
Microsoft
MSFT
$3.45T
| $1.53M | 1.54% |
16,716
-985
| -6% | -$90.1K |
|
11
iShares Russell 2000 Growth ETF
IWO
$14.3B
| $1.04M | 1.05% |
5,437
+2,400
| +79% | +$461K |
|
|
CVGW
12
DELISTED
Calavo Growers
CVGW
| $966K | 0.98% |
10,474
-15
| -0.1% | -$1.31K |
|
13
Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF
RSP
$97B
| $874K | 0.88% |
8,787
+630
| +8% | +$64.5K |
|
14
iShares MSCI EAFE ETF
EFA
$78B
| $830K | 0.84% |
11,915
| – | – |
|
15
Enterprise Products Partners
EPD
$82.3B
| $675K | 0.68% |
27,590
+350
| +1% | +$9.32K |
|
16
Dominion Energy
D
$60.8B
| $647K | 0.65% |
9,598
+1,238
| +15% | +$91.4K |
|
|
17
Nuveen California Quality Municipal Income Fund
NAC
$1.83B
| $643K | 0.65% |
48,033
-5,000
| -9% | -$68.6K |
|
18
ExxonMobil
XOM
$644B
| $641K | 0.65% |
8,586
-1
| -0% | -$80 |
|
19
AT&T
T
$159B
| $560K | 0.57% |
20,782
-113
| -0.5% | -$3.15K |
|
|
20
Bank of America Series L
BAC.PRL
$3.97B
| $554K | 0.56% |
430
| – | – |
|
21
iShares Core S&P 500 ETF
IVV
$878B
| $510K | 0.52% |
1,921
-22
| -1% | -$6.05K |
|
|
BPL
22
DELISTED
Buckeye Partners, L.P.
BPL
| $496K | 0.5% |
13,257
+3,165
| +31% | +$154K |
|
|
FAX
23
DELISTED
abrdn Asia-Pacific Income Fund
FAX
| $481K | 0.49% |
16,910
+4,708
| +39% | +$137K |
|
24
Chevron
CVX
$392B
| $451K | 0.46% |
3,950
-161
| -4% | -$19.2K |
|
25
Qualcomm
QCOM
$155B
| $429K | 0.43% |
7,734
-155
| -2% | -$9.88K |
|
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Probabilities Fund Management's Q1 2018 Portfolio in Review
As of Q1 2018, Probabilities Fund Management held 43 positions worth $98.8M, up 42% from $69.7M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 86% of the portfolio.
Probabilities Fund Management deployed $35.5M of net new capital in Q1 2018, opening 1 new position and adding to 18 existing holdings.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 2.6% of assets, down from 3.7% a quarter earlier, followed by Financials and Energy.
On the sell side, the largest reduction was Microsoft, an estimated $90.1K trimmed.
- Probabilities Fund Management added most to ProShares UltraPro S&P 500 in Q1 2018, an estimated $16.5M increase.
- Probabilities Fund Management's biggest Q1 2018 reduction was Microsoft, cutting an estimated $90.1K.
- Probabilities Fund Management fully exited First Trust Large Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund in Q1 2018, selling an estimated $248K.
- Probabilities Fund Management's ten largest holdings make up 86% of its $98.8M portfolio in Q1 2018.
- Probabilities Fund Management opened 1 new position and closed 3 in Q1 2018.
- Probabilities Fund Management's portfolio value rose 42% quarter-over-quarter to $98.8M.
Based on Probabilities Fund Management's 13F filing for Q1 2018, filed 15 May 2018.