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Probabilities Fund Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$28.1M
1-Year Est. Return
54.68%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+0.75%
1 Year Est. Return
+54.68%
3 Year Est. Return
–
5 Year Est. Return
–
10 Year Est. Return
–
AUM
$35.2M
AUM Growth
-$8.62M
(-20%)
Cap. Flow
-$8.94M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-25.39%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
98.99%
Holding
13
New
–
Increased
3
Reduced
3
Closed
2
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Invesco QQQ Trust
QQQ
|
+$218K |
| 2 |
Vanguard S&P 500 ETF
VOO
|
+$185K |
| 3 |
State Street SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust
DIA
|
+$173K |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
SPXL
|
+$3.09M |
| 2 |
ProShares UltraPro Dow 30
UDOW
|
+$3.05M |
| 3 |
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
TQQQ
|
+$2.96M |
| 4 |
AABA
Altaba Inc
AABA
|
+$208K |
| 5 |
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF
XLK
|
+$205K |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Energy | 2.7% |
| 2 | Technology | 1.47% |
| 3 | Real Estate | 1.36% |
| 4 | Consumer Staples | 1.01% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
Invesco QQQ Trust
QQQ
$453B
| $7.36M | 20.92% |
38,990
+1,150
| +3% | +$218K |
|
|
2
State Street SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust
DIA
$45.8B
| $7.33M | 20.84% |
27,250
+650
| +2% | +$173K |
|
|
3
Vanguard S&P 500 ETF
VOO
$979B
| $7.31M | 20.78% |
26,830
+680
| +3% | +$185K |
|
|
4
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
TQQQ
$32.1B
| $3.65M | 10.37% |
473,760
-373,040
| -44% | -$2.96M |
|
|
5
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
SPXL
$6.72B
| $3.62M | 10.3% |
69,280
-59,730
| -46% | -$3.09M |
|
|
6
ProShares UltraPro Dow 30
UDOW
$841M
| $3.61M | 10.26% |
137,360
-118,320
| -46% | -$3.05M |
|
7
ExxonMobil
XOM
$644B
| $575K | 1.63% |
8,237
| – | – |
|
8
Microsoft
MSFT
$3.45T
| $517K | 1.47% |
3,720
| – | – |
|
9
Innovative Industrial Properties
IIPR
$1.71B
| $480K | 1.36% |
5,200
| – | – |
|
10
Chevron
CVX
$392B
| $374K | 1.06% |
3,156
| – | – |
|
11
Constellation Brands
STZ
$22.2B
| $356K | 1.01% |
1,724
| – | – |
|
|
12
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF
XLK
$115B
| – | – |
-5,268
| Closed | -$205K |
|
|
AABA
13
DELISTED
Altaba Inc
AABA
| – | – |
-3,000
| Closed | -$208K |
|
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Probabilities Fund Management's Q3 2019 Portfolio in Review
As of Q3 2019, Probabilities Fund Management held 13 positions worth $35.2M, down 20% from $43.8M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 99% of the portfolio.
Probabilities Fund Management withdrew a net $8.94M in Q3 2019, closing 2 positions and reducing 3 holdings. Its most notable exit was Altaba Inc, an estimated $208K position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Energy at 2.7% of assets, up from 2.3% a quarter earlier, followed by Technology and Real Estate.
Against the trend, Probabilities Fund Management added an estimated $218K to Invesco QQQ Trust.
- Probabilities Fund Management added most to Invesco QQQ Trust in Q3 2019, an estimated $218K increase.
- Probabilities Fund Management's biggest Q3 2019 reduction was Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF, cutting an estimated $3.09M.
- Probabilities Fund Management fully exited Altaba Inc in Q3 2019, selling an estimated $208K.
- Probabilities Fund Management's ten largest holdings make up 99% of its $35.2M portfolio in Q3 2019.
- Probabilities Fund Management opened 0 new positions and closed 2 in Q3 2019.
- Probabilities Fund Management's portfolio value fell 20% quarter-over-quarter to $35.2M.
Based on Probabilities Fund Management's 13F filing for Q3 2019, filed 12 Nov 2019.