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PFM
Probabilities Fund Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$28.1M
1-Year Est. Return
54.68%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+3.56%
1 Year Est. Return
+54.68%
3 Year Est. Return
–
5 Year Est. Return
–
10 Year Est. Return
–
AUM
$67.9M
AUM Growth
-$30.9M
(-31%)
Cap. Flow
-$35.2M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-51.78%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
76.6%
Holding
46
New
6
Increased
15
Reduced
12
Closed
1
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bank of America
BAC
|
+$298K |
| 2 |
EMD
Western Asset Emerging Markets Debt Fund
EMD
|
+$261K |
| 3 |
EXAS
Exact Sciences
EXAS
|
+$237K |
| 4 |
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF
XLK
|
+$233K |
| 5 |
VPU
Vanguard Utilities ETF
VPU
|
+$230K |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
UPRO
|
+$14M |
| 2 |
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
SPXL
|
+$14M |
| 3 |
Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF
VTI
|
+$3.05M |
| 4 |
Vanguard S&P 500 ETF
VOO
|
+$2.31M |
| 5 |
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
|
+$1.31M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Financials | 3.98% |
| 2 | Energy | 3.78% |
| 3 | Technology | 3.6% |
| 4 | Consumer Staples | 2.05% |
| 5 | Utilities | 1.36% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
SPXL
$6.72B
| $7.59M | 11.17% |
170,363
-319,208
| -65% | -$14M |
|
|
2
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
UPRO
$5.23B
| $7.58M | 11.15% |
323,160
-605,172
| -65% | -$14M |
|
|
3
Vanguard S&P 500 ETF
VOO
$979B
| $7.57M | 11.14% |
30,319
-9,310
| -23% | -$2.31M |
|
|
4
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
$790B
| $7.56M | 11.13% |
27,869
-4,857
| -15% | -$1.31M |
|
5
ProShares Ultra Dow30
DDM
$542M
| $7.49M | 11.03% |
363,354
-57,420
| -14% | -$1.23M |
|
|
6
Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF
VTI
$660B
| $6.7M | 9.87% |
47,724
-21,878
| -31% | -$3.05M |
|
7
ProShares UltraPro Dow 30
UDOW
$841M
| $2.24M | 3.29% |
105,552
-47,164
| -31% | -$1.04M |
|
|
8
Bank of America
BAC
$435B
| $2.08M | 3.06% |
73,372
+10,000
| +16% | +$298K |
|
|
PACW
9
DELISTED
PacWest Bancorp
PACW
| $1.64M | 2.41% |
32,951
+61
| +0.2% | +$3.19K |
|
10
Microsoft
MSFT
$3.45T
| $1.59M | 2.35% |
15,986
-730
| -4% | -$70.8K |
|
11
iShares Russell 2000 Growth ETF
IWO
$14.3B
| $1.2M | 1.76% |
5,805
+368
| +7% | +$73.6K |
|
|
CVGW
12
DELISTED
Calavo Growers
CVGW
| $1.02M | 1.5% |
10,474
| – | – |
|
13
Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF
RSP
$97B
| $879K | 1.29% |
8,630
-157
| -2% | -$15.9K |
|
14
iShares MSCI EAFE ETF
EFA
$78B
| $800K | 1.18% |
12,052
+137
| +1% | +$9.61K |
|
15
Enterprise Products Partners
EPD
$82.3B
| $784K | 1.15% |
28,590
+1,000
| +4% | +$27.3K |
|
16
Nuveen California Quality Municipal Income Fund
NAC
$1.83B
| $772K | 1.14% |
57,433
+9,400
| +20% | +$126K |
|
17
Dominion Energy
D
$60.8B
| $712K | 1.05% |
10,406
+808
| +8% | +$52.6K |
|
18
ExxonMobil
XOM
$644B
| $710K | 1.05% |
8,587
+1
| +0% | +$80 |
|
|
BPL
19
DELISTED
Buckeye Partners, L.P.
BPL
| $577K | 0.85% |
16,608
+3,351
| +25% | +$128K |
|
20
iShares Core S&P 500 ETF
IVV
$878B
| $548K | 0.81% |
2,002
+81
| +4% | +$22K |
|
|
21
Bank of America Series L
BAC.PRL
$3.97B
| $541K | 0.8% |
430
| – | – |
|
22
Chevron
CVX
$392B
| $498K | 0.73% |
3,951
+1
| +0% | +$124 |
|
23
AT&T
T
$159B
| $491K | 0.72% |
20,208
-574
| -3% | -$14.4K |
|
|
FAX
24
DELISTED
abrdn Asia-Pacific Income Fund
FAX
| $469K | 0.69% |
17,993
+1,083
| +6% | +$29.4K |
|
25
Qualcomm
QCOM
$155B
| $434K | 0.64% |
7,734
| – | – |
|
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Probabilities Fund Management's Q2 2018 Portfolio in Review
As of Q2 2018, Probabilities Fund Management held 46 positions worth $67.9M, down 31% from $98.8M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 77% of the portfolio.
Probabilities Fund Management withdrew a net $35.2M in Q2 2018, closing 1 position and reducing 12 holdings. Its most notable exit was Altaba Inc, an estimated $222K position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Financials at 4% of assets, up from 2.6% a quarter earlier, followed by Energy and Technology.
Against the trend, Probabilities Fund Management opened a new position in Western Asset Emerging Markets Debt Fund worth $248K.
- Probabilities Fund Management's largest Q2 2018 buy was Western Asset Emerging Markets Debt Fund: 18,794 shares worth $248K.
- Probabilities Fund Management added most to Bank of America in Q2 2018, an estimated $298K increase.
- Probabilities Fund Management's biggest Q2 2018 reduction was ProShares UltraPro S&P 500, cutting an estimated $14M.
- Probabilities Fund Management fully exited Altaba Inc in Q2 2018, selling an estimated $222K.
- Probabilities Fund Management's ten largest holdings make up 77% of its $67.9M portfolio in Q2 2018.
- Probabilities Fund Management opened 6 new positions and closed 1 in Q2 2018.
- Probabilities Fund Management's portfolio value fell 31% quarter-over-quarter to $67.9M.
Based on Probabilities Fund Management's 13F filing for Q2 2018, filed 14 Aug 2018.