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Probabilities Fund Management Portfolio holdings

AUM $28.1M
1-Year Est. Return 54.68%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
-21.1%
1 Year Est. Return
+54.68%
3 Year Est. Return
–
5 Year Est. Return
–
10 Year Est. Return
–
AUM
$62M
AUM Growth
+$17.6M
Cap. Flow
+$30.9M
Cap. Flow %
49.92%
Top 10 Hldgs %
73.77%
Holding
57
New
8
Increased
30
Reduced
4
Closed
10

Top Buys

Rank Stock Value
1
SPXL icon
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
SPXL
+$8.24M
2
SPY icon
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
+$6.02M
3
VTI icon
Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF
VTI
+$4.6M
4
UPRO icon
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
UPRO
+$4.15M
5
VOO icon
Vanguard S&P 500 ETF
VOO
+$3.95M

Top Sells

Rank Stock Value
1
BAC.PRL icon
Bank of America Series L
BAC.PRL
+$557K
2
ETP
Energy Transfer Partners, L.P.
ETP
+$304K
3
PFF icon
iShares Preferred and Income Securities ETF
PFF
+$250K
4
SPH icon
Suburban Propane Partners
SPH
+$232K
5
QQQ icon
Invesco QQQ Trust
QQQ
+$228K

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Financials 4.98%
2 Technology 4.77%
3 Energy 4.32%
4 Communication Services 2.38%
5 Healthcare 2.31%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
SPXL icon
1
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
SPXL
$6.72B
$9.59M 15.47%
291,485
+193,237
+197% +$8.24M
SPY icon
2
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
$790B
$8.62M 13.91%
34,498
+22,323
+183% +$6.02M
VTI icon
3
Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF
VTI
$660B
$5.75M 9.28%
45,069
+33,304
+283% +$4.6M
VOO icon
4
Vanguard S&P 500 ETF
VOO
$979B
$5.19M 8.37%
22,580
+15,957
+241% +$3.95M
DDM icon
5
ProShares Ultra Dow30
DDM
$542M
$4.92M 7.93%
259,950
+49,968
+24% +$1.09M
UPRO icon
6
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
UPRO
$5.23B
$4.29M 6.92%
246,486
+184,402
+297% +$4.15M
UDOW icon
7
ProShares UltraPro Dow 30
UDOW
$841M
$2.16M 3.48%
120,968
+68,868
+132% +$1.56M
MSFT icon
8
Microsoft
MSFT
$3.45T
$2.04M 3.29%
20,072
+4,186
+26% +$448K
BAC icon
9
Bank of America
BAC
$435B
$1.93M 3.11%
78,176
+4,474
+6% +$121K
PACW
10
DELISTED
PacWest Bancorp
PACW
$1.24M 2.01%
37,378
+4,428
+13% +$177K
FAX
11
DELISTED
abrdn Asia-Pacific Income Fund
FAX
$1.13M 1.82%
48,528
+6,598
+16% +$158K
IWO icon
12
iShares Russell 2000 Growth ETF
IWO
$14.3B
$972K 1.57%
5,786
+46
+0.8% +$8.58K
NAC icon
13
Nuveen California Quality Municipal Income Fund
NAC
$1.83B
$885K 1.43%
69,433
+12,000
+21% +$150K
RSP icon
14
Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF
RSP
$97B
$839K 1.35%
9,175
+395
+4% +$39.1K
CVGW
15
DELISTED
Calavo Growers
CVGW
$764K 1.23%
10,474
– –
D icon
16
Dominion Energy
D
$60.8B
$736K 1.19%
10,306
– –
EFA icon
17
iShares MSCI EAFE ETF
EFA
$78B
$733K 1.18%
12,472
+395
+3% +$24.7K
EPD icon
18
Enterprise Products Partners
EPD
$82.3B
$720K 1.16%
29,290
+2,500
+9% +$66.9K
XOM icon
19
ExxonMobil
XOM
$644B
$599K 0.97%
8,786
+200
+2% +$15.7K
IVV icon
20
iShares Core S&P 500 ETF
IVV
$878B
$558K 0.9%
2,217
+215
+11% +$58.4K
CVX icon
21
Chevron
CVX
$392B
$517K 0.83%
4,751
+801
+20% +$92.8K
BPL
22
DELISTED
Buckeye Partners, L.P.
BPL
$500K 0.81%
17,255
-1,065
-6% -$33.9K
T icon
23
AT&T
T
$159B
$491K 0.79%
22,769
+841
+4% +$19.6K
AAPL icon
24
Apple
AAPL
$4.54T
$475K 0.77%
12,056
+3,768
+45% +$183K
QCOM icon
25
Qualcomm
QCOM
$155B
$445K 0.72%
7,815
+81
+1% +$4.92K
1
2 3

Similar funds

SPCM
Sound Point Capital Management New York $28.3M AUM 13.25% 1-Year Est. Return
A
Attestor London, United Kingdom $27.8M AUM 32.32% 1-Year Est. Return
CFRPA
Castle Financial & Retirement Planning Associates Fair Haven, New Jersey $29.5M AUM
SH
Scepter Holdings Fort Worth, Texas $22.4M AUM
FSCP
Franklin Street Capital Partners New York $21.5M AUM 13.45% 1-Year Est. Return
HCIL
H Capital III LP Grand Cayman, Cayman Islands $40.2M AUM
WLRC
W.L. Ross & Co Dallas, Texas $40.2M AUM 14.46% 1-Year Est. Return
HR
Hayden Royal Charlotte, North Carolina $42.7M AUM 33.86% 1-Year Est. Return

Probabilities Fund Management's Q4 2018 Portfolio in Review

As of Q4 2018, Probabilities Fund Management held 57 positions worth $62M, up 40% from $44.4M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 74% of the portfolio.

Probabilities Fund Management deployed $30.9M of net new capital in Q4 2018, opening 8 new positions and adding to 30 existing holdings. Its largest new stake was Energy Transfer Partners: 25,974 shares worth $343K.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Financials at 5% of assets, down from 6.8% a quarter earlier, followed by Technology and Energy.

On the sell side, the largest reduction was Buckeye Partners, L.P., an estimated $33.9K trimmed.

  • Probabilities Fund Management's largest Q4 2018 buy was Energy Transfer Partners: 25,974 shares worth $343K.
  • Probabilities Fund Management added most to Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF in Q4 2018, an estimated $8.24M increase.
  • Probabilities Fund Management's biggest Q4 2018 reduction was Buckeye Partners, L.P., cutting an estimated $33.9K.
  • Probabilities Fund Management fully exited Bank of America Series L in Q4 2018, selling an estimated $557K.
  • Probabilities Fund Management's ten largest holdings make up 74% of its $62M portfolio in Q4 2018.
  • Probabilities Fund Management opened 8 new positions and closed 10 in Q4 2018.
  • Probabilities Fund Management's portfolio value rose 40% quarter-over-quarter to $62M.

Based on Probabilities Fund Management's 13F filing for Q4 2018, filed 14 Feb 2019.