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Probabilities Fund Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$28.1M
1-Year Est. Return
54.68%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+28.94%
1 Year Est. Return
+54.68%
3 Year Est. Return
–
5 Year Est. Return
–
10 Year Est. Return
–
AUM
$42.9M
AUM Growth
-$19.1M
(-31%)
Cap. Flow
-$27.7M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-64.5%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
95.3%
Holding
55
New
8
Increased
1
Reduced
8
Closed
37
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
TQQQ
|
+$6.79M |
| 2 |
Invesco QQQ Trust
QQQ
|
+$4.92M |
| 3 |
Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF
VTI
|
+$238K |
| 4 |
First Trust Natural Gas ETF
FCG
|
+$225K |
| 5 |
iShares US Broker-Dealers & Securities Exchanges ETF
IAI
|
+$218K |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
|
+$8.62M |
| 2 |
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
SPXL
|
+$5.1M |
| 3 |
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
UPRO
|
+$4.29M |
| 4 |
Bank of America
BAC
|
+$1.93M |
| 5 |
Microsoft
MSFT
|
+$1.78M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Energy | 2.46% |
| 2 | Technology | 1.54% |
| 3 | Real Estate | 0.99% |
| 4 | Consumer Staples | 0.7% |
| 5 | Communication Services | 0% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
TQQQ
$32.1B
| $7.93M | 18.49% |
+1,120,104
| New | +$6.79M |
|
|
2
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
SPXL
$6.72B
| $7.91M | 18.43% |
169,123
-122,362
| -42% | -$5.1M |
|
|
3
Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF
VTI
$660B
| $6.77M | 15.78% |
46,774
+1,705
| +4% | +$238K |
|
|
4
Invesco QQQ Trust
QQQ
$453B
| $5.21M | 12.15% |
+29,015
| New | +$4.92M |
|
5
Vanguard S&P 500 ETF
VOO
$979B
| $5.21M | 12.14% |
20,060
-2,520
| -11% | -$629K |
|
6
ProShares Ultra Dow30
DDM
$542M
| $4.73M | 11.03% |
204,106
-55,844
| -21% | -$1.22M |
|
7
ProShares UltraPro Dow 30
UDOW
$841M
| $1.59M | 3.71% |
65,976
-54,992
| -45% | -$1.22M |
|
8
ExxonMobil
XOM
$644B
| $666K | 1.55% |
8,237
-549
| -6% | -$41.9K |
|
|
9
Microsoft
MSFT
$3.45T
| $439K | 1.02% |
3,720
-16,352
| -81% | -$1.78M |
|
10
Innovative Industrial Properties
IIPR
$1.71B
| $425K | 0.99% |
5,200
| – | – |
|
11
Chevron
CVX
$392B
| $389K | 0.91% |
3,156
-1,595
| -34% | -$189K |
|
12
Constellation Brands
STZ
$22.2B
| $302K | 0.7% |
1,724
-97
| -5% | -$16.3K |
|
|
13
First Trust Natural Gas ETF
FCG
$647M
| $230K | 0.54% |
+13,332
| New | +$225K |
|
14
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF
XLK
$115B
| $225K | 0.52% |
+6,084
| New | +$208K |
|
|
AABA
15
DELISTED
Altaba Inc
AABA
| $222K | 0.52% |
+3,000
| New | +$207K |
|
|
VPU
16
Vanguard Utilities ETF
VPU
$8.46B
| $218K | 0.51% |
+1,680
| New | +$208K |
|
17
State Street SPDR S&P Transportation ETF
XTN
$387M
| $217K | 0.51% |
+3,598
| New | +$215K |
|
|
18
iShares US Broker-Dealers & Securities Exchanges ETF
IAI
$1.36B
| $214K | 0.5% |
+3,633
| New | +$218K |
|
19
Apple
AAPL
$4.54T
| – | – |
-12,056
| Closed | -$475K |
|
20
AbbVie
ABBV
$443B
| – | – |
-2,503
| Closed | -$231K |
|
21
Amgen
AMGN
$208B
| – | – |
-1,261
| Closed | -$245K |
|
|
22
Bank of America
BAC
$435B
| – | – |
-78,176
| Closed | -$1.93M |
|
23
Comcast
CMCSA
$85B
| – | – |
-6,883
| Closed | -$234K |
|
|
CVGW
24
DELISTED
Calavo Growers
CVGW
| – | – |
-10,474
| Closed | -$764K |
|
25
Dominion Energy
D
$60.8B
| – | – |
-10,306
| Closed | -$736K |
|
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Probabilities Fund Management's Q1 2019 Portfolio in Review
As of Q1 2019, Probabilities Fund Management held 55 positions worth $42.9M, down 31% from $62M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 95% of the portfolio.
Probabilities Fund Management withdrew a net $27.7M in Q1 2019, closing 37 positions and reducing 8 holdings. Its most notable exit was State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust, an estimated $8.62M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Energy at 2.5% of assets, down from 4.3% a quarter earlier, followed by Technology and Real Estate.
Against the trend, Probabilities Fund Management opened a new position in ProShares UltraPro QQQ worth $7.93M.
- Probabilities Fund Management's largest Q1 2019 buy was ProShares UltraPro QQQ: 1,120,104 shares worth $7.93M.
- Probabilities Fund Management added most to Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF in Q1 2019, an estimated $238K increase.
- Probabilities Fund Management's biggest Q1 2019 reduction was Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF, cutting an estimated $5.1M.
- Probabilities Fund Management fully exited State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust in Q1 2019, selling an estimated $8.62M.
- Probabilities Fund Management's ten largest holdings make up 95% of its $42.9M portfolio in Q1 2019.
- Probabilities Fund Management opened 8 new positions and closed 37 in Q1 2019.
- Probabilities Fund Management's portfolio value fell 31% quarter-over-quarter to $42.9M.
Based on Probabilities Fund Management's 13F filing for Q1 2019, filed 15 May 2019.