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Probabilities Fund Management Portfolio holdings

AUM $28.1M
1-Year Est. Return 54.68%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
+28.94%
1 Year Est. Return
+54.68%
3 Year Est. Return
–
5 Year Est. Return
–
10 Year Est. Return
–
AUM
$42.9M
AUM Growth
-$19.1M
Cap. Flow
-$27.7M
Cap. Flow %
-64.5%
Top 10 Hldgs %
95.3%
Holding
55
New
8
Increased
1
Reduced
8
Closed
37

Top Buys

Rank Stock Value
1
TQQQ icon
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
TQQQ
+$6.79M
2
QQQ icon
Invesco QQQ Trust
QQQ
+$4.92M
3
VTI icon
Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF
VTI
+$238K
4
FCG icon
First Trust Natural Gas ETF
FCG
+$225K
5
IAI icon
iShares US Broker-Dealers & Securities Exchanges ETF
IAI
+$218K

Top Sells

Rank Stock Value
1
SPY icon
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
+$8.62M
2
SPXL icon
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
SPXL
+$5.1M
3
UPRO icon
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
UPRO
+$4.29M
4
BAC icon
Bank of America
BAC
+$1.93M
5
MSFT icon
Microsoft
MSFT
+$1.78M

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Energy 2.46%
2 Technology 1.54%
3 Real Estate 0.99%
4 Consumer Staples 0.7%
5 Communication Services 0%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
WFC icon
51
Wells Fargo
WFC
$261B
– –
-5,217
Closed -$240K
PACW
52
DELISTED
PacWest Bancorp
PACW
– –
-37,378
Closed -$1.24M
BPL
53
DELISTED
Buckeye Partners, L.P.
BPL
– –
-17,255
Closed -$500K
DM
54
DELISTED
Dominion Energy Midstream Ptr LP
DM
– –
-12,621
Closed -$228K
GBNK
55
DELISTED
Guaranty Bancorp
GBNK
– –
-10,175
Closed -$211K
1 2
3

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SPCM
Sound Point Capital Management New York $28.3M AUM 13.25% 1-Year Est. Return
A
Attestor London, United Kingdom $27.8M AUM 32.32% 1-Year Est. Return
CFRPA
Castle Financial & Retirement Planning Associates Fair Haven, New Jersey $29.5M AUM
SH
Scepter Holdings Fort Worth, Texas $22.4M AUM
FSCP
Franklin Street Capital Partners New York $21.5M AUM 13.45% 1-Year Est. Return
HCIL
H Capital III LP Grand Cayman, Cayman Islands $40.2M AUM
WLRC
W.L. Ross & Co Dallas, Texas $40.2M AUM 14.46% 1-Year Est. Return
HR
Hayden Royal Charlotte, North Carolina $42.7M AUM 33.86% 1-Year Est. Return

Probabilities Fund Management's Q1 2019 Portfolio in Review

As of Q1 2019, Probabilities Fund Management held 55 positions worth $42.9M, down 31% from $62M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 95% of the portfolio.

Probabilities Fund Management withdrew a net $27.7M in Q1 2019, closing 37 positions and reducing 8 holdings. Its most notable exit was State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust, an estimated $8.62M position sold in full.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Energy at 2.5% of assets, down from 4.3% a quarter earlier, followed by Technology and Real Estate.

Against the trend, Probabilities Fund Management opened a new position in ProShares UltraPro QQQ worth $7.93M.

  • Probabilities Fund Management's largest Q1 2019 buy was ProShares UltraPro QQQ: 1,120,104 shares worth $7.93M.
  • Probabilities Fund Management added most to Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF in Q1 2019, an estimated $238K increase.
  • Probabilities Fund Management's biggest Q1 2019 reduction was Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF, cutting an estimated $5.1M.
  • Probabilities Fund Management fully exited State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust in Q1 2019, selling an estimated $8.62M.
  • Probabilities Fund Management's ten largest holdings make up 95% of its $42.9M portfolio in Q1 2019.
  • Probabilities Fund Management opened 8 new positions and closed 37 in Q1 2019.
  • Probabilities Fund Management's portfolio value fell 31% quarter-over-quarter to $42.9M.

Based on Probabilities Fund Management's 13F filing for Q1 2019, filed 15 May 2019.