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PFM

Probabilities Fund Management Portfolio holdings

AUM $28.1M
1-Year Est. Return 54.68%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
-21.1%
1 Year Est. Return
+54.68%
3 Year Est. Return
5 Year Est. Return
10 Year Est. Return
AUM
$62M
AUM Growth
+$17.6M
Cap. Flow
+$30.9M
Cap. Flow %
49.92%
Top 10 Hldgs %
73.77%
Holding
57
New
8
Increased
30
Reduced
4
Closed
10

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Financials 4.98%
2 Technology 4.77%
3 Energy 4.32%
4 Communication Services 2.38%
5 Healthcare 2.31%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake
Capital Flow
PFF icon
51
iShares Preferred and Income Securities ETF
PFF
$13.3B
-6,725
Closed -$250K
QQQ icon
52
Invesco QQQ Trust
QQQ
$453B
-1,227
Closed -$228K
SPH icon
53
Suburban Propane Partners
SPH
$1.24B
-9,870
Closed -$232K
TYG
54
Tortoise Energy Infrastructure Corp
TYG
$1.09B
-1,951
Closed -$210K
VPU
55
Vanguard Utilities ETF
VPU
$8.46B
-1,763
Closed -$208K
AABA
56
DELISTED
Altaba Inc
AABA
-3,000
Closed -$204K
ETP
57
DELISTED
Energy Transfer Partners, L.P.
ETP
-13,672
Closed -$304K

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Probabilities Fund Management's Q4 2018 Portfolio in Review

As of Q4 2018, Probabilities Fund Management held 57 positions worth $62M, up 40% from $44.4M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 74% of the portfolio.

Probabilities Fund Management deployed $30.9M of net new capital in Q4 2018, opening 8 new positions and adding to 30 existing holdings. Its largest new stake was Energy Transfer Partners: 25,974 shares worth $343K.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Financials at 5% of assets, down from 6.8% a quarter earlier, followed by Technology and Energy.

On the sell side, the largest reduction was Buckeye Partners, L.P., an estimated $33.9K trimmed.

  • Probabilities Fund Management's largest Q4 2018 buy was Energy Transfer Partners: 25,974 shares worth $343K.
  • Probabilities Fund Management added most to Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF in Q4 2018, an estimated $8.24M increase.
  • Probabilities Fund Management's biggest Q4 2018 reduction was Buckeye Partners, L.P., cutting an estimated $33.9K.
  • Probabilities Fund Management fully exited Bank of America Series L in Q4 2018, selling an estimated $557K.
  • Probabilities Fund Management's ten largest holdings make up 74% of its $62M portfolio in Q4 2018.
  • Probabilities Fund Management opened 8 new positions and closed 10 in Q4 2018.
  • Probabilities Fund Management's portfolio value rose 40% quarter-over-quarter to $62M.

Based on Probabilities Fund Management's 13F filing for Q4 2018, filed 14 Feb 2019.