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Probabilities Fund Management Portfolio holdings

AUM $28.1M
1-Year Est. Return 54.68%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
+28.94%
1 Year Est. Return
+54.68%
3 Year Est. Return
–
5 Year Est. Return
–
10 Year Est. Return
–
AUM
$42.9M
AUM Growth
-$19.1M
Cap. Flow
-$27.7M
Cap. Flow %
-64.5%
Top 10 Hldgs %
95.3%
Holding
55
New
8
Increased
1
Reduced
8
Closed
37

Top Buys

Rank Stock Value
1
TQQQ icon
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
TQQQ
+$6.79M
2
QQQ icon
Invesco QQQ Trust
QQQ
+$4.92M
3
VTI icon
Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF
VTI
+$238K
4
FCG icon
First Trust Natural Gas ETF
FCG
+$225K
5
IAI icon
iShares US Broker-Dealers & Securities Exchanges ETF
IAI
+$218K

Top Sells

Rank Stock Value
1
SPY icon
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
+$8.62M
2
SPXL icon
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
SPXL
+$5.1M
3
UPRO icon
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
UPRO
+$4.29M
4
BAC icon
Bank of America
BAC
+$1.93M
5
MSFT icon
Microsoft
MSFT
+$1.78M

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Energy 2.46%
2 Technology 1.54%
3 Real Estate 0.99%
4 Consumer Staples 0.7%
5 Communication Services 0%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
EFA icon
26
iShares MSCI EAFE ETF
EFA
$78B
– –
-12,472
Closed -$733K
EMD
27
Western Asset Emerging Markets Debt Fund
EMD
$609M
– –
-22,119
Closed -$272K
EPD icon
28
Enterprise Products Partners
EPD
$82.3B
– –
-29,290
Closed -$720K
ET icon
29
Energy Transfer Partners
ET
$70.1B
– –
-25,974
Closed -$343K
EXAS
30
DELISTED
Exact Sciences
EXAS
– –
-4,200
Closed -$265K
FAX
31
DELISTED
abrdn Asia-Pacific Income Fund
FAX
– –
-48,528
Closed -$1.13M
FITB
32
Fifth Third Bancorp
FITB
$51.2B
– –
-11,184
Closed -$263K
GOOGL icon
33
Alphabet (Google) Class A
GOOGL
$4.36T
– –
-6,000
Closed -$313K
IVV icon
34
iShares Core S&P 500 ETF
IVV
$878B
– –
-2,217
Closed -$558K
IWM icon
35
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
IWM
$79.8B
– –
-1,491
Closed -$200K
IWO icon
36
iShares Russell 2000 Growth ETF
IWO
$14.3B
– –
-5,786
Closed -$972K
JNJ icon
37
Johnson & Johnson
JNJ
$618B
– –
-2,654
Closed -$342K
MDY icon
38
State Street SPDR S&P MIDCAP 400 ETF Trust
MDY
$26.6B
– –
-1,075
Closed -$325K
NAC icon
39
Nuveen California Quality Municipal Income Fund
NAC
$1.83B
– –
-69,433
Closed -$885K
PFE icon
40
Pfizer
PFE
$143B
– –
-8,391
Closed -$347K
PG icon
41
Procter & Gamble
PG
$336B
– –
-2,201
Closed -$202K
QCOM icon
42
Qualcomm
QCOM
$155B
– –
-7,815
Closed -$445K
RSP icon
43
Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF
RSP
$97B
– –
-9,175
Closed -$839K
SBCF icon
44
Seacoast Banking Corp of Florida
SBCF
$3.36B
– –
-10,000
Closed -$205K
SBUX icon
45
Starbucks
SBUX
$120B
– –
-3,491
Closed -$225K
SPY icon
46
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
$790B
– –
-34,498
Closed -$8.62M
T icon
47
AT&T
T
$159B
– –
-22,769
Closed -$491K
UPRO icon
48
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
UPRO
$5.23B
– –
-246,486
Closed -$4.29M
V icon
49
Visa
V
$684B
– –
-1,825
Closed -$241K
VZ icon
50
Verizon
VZ
$195B
– –
-7,726
Closed -$434K
1
2
3

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A
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CFRPA
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SH
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FSCP
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HCIL
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WLRC
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HR
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Probabilities Fund Management's Q1 2019 Portfolio in Review

As of Q1 2019, Probabilities Fund Management held 55 positions worth $42.9M, down 31% from $62M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 95% of the portfolio.

Probabilities Fund Management withdrew a net $27.7M in Q1 2019, closing 37 positions and reducing 8 holdings. Its most notable exit was State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust, an estimated $8.62M position sold in full.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Energy at 2.5% of assets, down from 4.3% a quarter earlier, followed by Technology and Real Estate.

Against the trend, Probabilities Fund Management opened a new position in ProShares UltraPro QQQ worth $7.93M.

  • Probabilities Fund Management's largest Q1 2019 buy was ProShares UltraPro QQQ: 1,120,104 shares worth $7.93M.
  • Probabilities Fund Management added most to Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF in Q1 2019, an estimated $238K increase.
  • Probabilities Fund Management's biggest Q1 2019 reduction was Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF, cutting an estimated $5.1M.
  • Probabilities Fund Management fully exited State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust in Q1 2019, selling an estimated $8.62M.
  • Probabilities Fund Management's ten largest holdings make up 95% of its $42.9M portfolio in Q1 2019.
  • Probabilities Fund Management opened 8 new positions and closed 37 in Q1 2019.
  • Probabilities Fund Management's portfolio value fell 31% quarter-over-quarter to $42.9M.

Based on Probabilities Fund Management's 13F filing for Q1 2019, filed 15 May 2019.