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Probabilities Fund Management Portfolio holdings

AUM $28.1M
1-Year Est. Return 54.68%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
-21.1%
1 Year Est. Return
+54.68%
3 Year Est. Return
–
5 Year Est. Return
–
10 Year Est. Return
–
AUM
$62M
AUM Growth
+$17.6M
Cap. Flow
+$30.9M
Cap. Flow %
49.92%
Top 10 Hldgs %
73.77%
Holding
57
New
8
Increased
30
Reduced
4
Closed
10

Top Buys

Rank Stock Value
1
SPXL icon
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
SPXL
+$8.24M
2
SPY icon
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
+$6.02M
3
VTI icon
Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF
VTI
+$4.6M
4
UPRO icon
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
UPRO
+$4.15M
5
VOO icon
Vanguard S&P 500 ETF
VOO
+$3.95M

Top Sells

Rank Stock Value
1
BAC.PRL icon
Bank of America Series L
BAC.PRL
+$557K
2
ETP
Energy Transfer Partners, L.P.
ETP
+$304K
3
PFF icon
iShares Preferred and Income Securities ETF
PFF
+$250K
4
SPH icon
Suburban Propane Partners
SPH
+$232K
5
QQQ icon
Invesco QQQ Trust
QQQ
+$228K

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Financials 4.98%
2 Technology 4.77%
3 Energy 4.32%
4 Communication Services 2.38%
5 Healthcare 2.31%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
VZ icon
26
Verizon
VZ
$195B
$434K 0.7%
7,726
+47
+0.6% +$2.67K
PFE icon
27
Pfizer
PFE
$143B
$347K 0.56%
+8,391
New +$348K
ET icon
28
Energy Transfer Partners
ET
$70.1B
$343K 0.55%
+25,974
New +$394K
JNJ icon
29
Johnson & Johnson
JNJ
$618B
$342K 0.55%
2,654
+764
+40% +$107K
MDY icon
30
State Street SPDR S&P MIDCAP 400 ETF Trust
MDY
$26.6B
$325K 0.52%
1,075
-19
-2% -$6.33K
GOOGL icon
31
Alphabet (Google) Class A
GOOGL
$4.36T
$313K 0.51%
+6,000
New +$324K
STZ icon
32
Constellation Brands
STZ
$22.2B
$293K 0.47%
1,821
+97
+6% +$19.3K
EMD
33
Western Asset Emerging Markets Debt Fund
EMD
$609M
$272K 0.44%
22,119
+1,175
+6% +$14.8K
EXAS
34
DELISTED
Exact Sciences
EXAS
$265K 0.43%
4,200
+200
+5% +$13.7K
FITB
35
Fifth Third Bancorp
FITB
$51.2B
$263K 0.42%
11,184
+220
+2% +$5.79K
AMGN icon
36
Amgen
AMGN
$208B
$245K 0.4%
1,261
+173
+16% +$33.8K
V icon
37
Visa
V
$684B
$241K 0.39%
+1,825
New +$252K
WFC icon
38
Wells Fargo
WFC
$261B
$240K 0.39%
+5,217
New +$267K
IIPR icon
39
Innovative Industrial Properties
IIPR
$1.71B
$236K 0.38%
5,200
– –
CMCSA icon
40
Comcast
CMCSA
$85B
$234K 0.38%
+6,883
New +$251K
ABBV icon
41
AbbVie
ABBV
$443B
$231K 0.37%
2,503
+65
+3% +$5.72K
DM
42
DELISTED
Dominion Energy Midstream Ptr LP
DM
$228K 0.37%
12,621
-1,102
-8% -$20.3K
SBUX icon
43
Starbucks
SBUX
$120B
$225K 0.36%
+3,491
New +$219K
GBNK
44
DELISTED
Guaranty Bancorp
GBNK
$211K 0.34%
10,175
– –
SBCF icon
45
Seacoast Banking Corp of Florida
SBCF
$3.36B
$205K 0.33%
10,000
– –
PG icon
46
Procter & Gamble
PG
$336B
$202K 0.33%
+2,201
New +$197K
IWM icon
47
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
IWM
$79.8B
$200K 0.32%
1,491
-32
-2% -$4.78K
BAC.PRL icon
48
Bank of America Series L
BAC.PRL
$3.97B
– –
-430
Closed -$557K
GE icon
49
GE Aerospace
GE
$374B
– –
-3,912
Closed -$212K
GLD icon
50
SPDR Gold Trust
GLD
$131B
– –
-1,982
Closed -$223K
1
2
3

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SPCM
Sound Point Capital Management New York $28.3M AUM 13.25% 1-Year Est. Return
A
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CFRPA
Castle Financial & Retirement Planning Associates Fair Haven, New Jersey $29.5M AUM
SH
Scepter Holdings Fort Worth, Texas $22.4M AUM
FSCP
Franklin Street Capital Partners New York $21.5M AUM 13.45% 1-Year Est. Return
HCIL
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WLRC
W.L. Ross & Co Dallas, Texas $40.2M AUM 14.46% 1-Year Est. Return
HR
Hayden Royal Charlotte, North Carolina $42.7M AUM 33.86% 1-Year Est. Return

Probabilities Fund Management's Q4 2018 Portfolio in Review

As of Q4 2018, Probabilities Fund Management held 57 positions worth $62M, up 40% from $44.4M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 74% of the portfolio.

Probabilities Fund Management deployed $30.9M of net new capital in Q4 2018, opening 8 new positions and adding to 30 existing holdings. Its largest new stake was Energy Transfer Partners: 25,974 shares worth $343K.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Financials at 5% of assets, down from 6.8% a quarter earlier, followed by Technology and Energy.

On the sell side, the largest reduction was Buckeye Partners, L.P., an estimated $33.9K trimmed.

  • Probabilities Fund Management's largest Q4 2018 buy was Energy Transfer Partners: 25,974 shares worth $343K.
  • Probabilities Fund Management added most to Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF in Q4 2018, an estimated $8.24M increase.
  • Probabilities Fund Management's biggest Q4 2018 reduction was Buckeye Partners, L.P., cutting an estimated $33.9K.
  • Probabilities Fund Management fully exited Bank of America Series L in Q4 2018, selling an estimated $557K.
  • Probabilities Fund Management's ten largest holdings make up 74% of its $62M portfolio in Q4 2018.
  • Probabilities Fund Management opened 8 new positions and closed 10 in Q4 2018.
  • Probabilities Fund Management's portfolio value rose 40% quarter-over-quarter to $62M.

Based on Probabilities Fund Management's 13F filing for Q4 2018, filed 14 Feb 2019.