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Probabilities Fund Management Portfolio holdings

AUM $28.1M
1-Year Est. Return 54.68%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
+10.34%
1 Year Est. Return
+54.68%
3 Year Est. Return
–
5 Year Est. Return
–
10 Year Est. Return
–
AUM
$44.4M
AUM Growth
-$23.5M
Cap. Flow
-$30M
Cap. Flow %
-67.52%
Top 10 Hldgs %
59.37%
Holding
51
New
6
Increased
12
Reduced
19
Closed
2

Top Buys

Rank Stock Value
1
FAX
abrdn Asia-Pacific Income Fund
FAX
+$608K
2
SBCF icon
Seacoast Banking Corp of Florida
SBCF
+$310K
3
GLD icon
SPDR Gold Trust
GLD
+$227K
4
DM
Dominion Energy Midstream Ptr LP
DM
+$220K
5
TYG
Tortoise Energy Infrastructure Corp
TYG
+$218K

Top Sells

Rank Stock Value
1
UPRO icon
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
UPRO
+$7.02M
2
VOO icon
Vanguard S&P 500 ETF
VOO
+$6.2M
3
VTI icon
Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF
VTI
+$5.29M
4
SPY icon
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
+$4.47M
5
SPXL icon
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
SPXL
+$3.68M

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Technology 6.86%
2 Financials 6.77%
3 Energy 5.94%
4 Consumer Staples 3.12%
5 Healthcare 2.33%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
AAPL icon
26
Apple
AAPL
$4.54T
$468K 1.05%
8,288
-680
-8% -$35.4K
VZ icon
27
Verizon
VZ
$195B
$410K 0.92%
7,679
+200
+3% +$10.6K
MDY icon
28
State Street SPDR S&P MIDCAP 400 ETF Trust
MDY
$26.6B
$402K 0.91%
1,094
– –
STZ icon
29
Constellation Brands
STZ
$22.2B
$372K 0.84%
1,724
– –
EXAS
30
DELISTED
Exact Sciences
EXAS
$316K 0.71%
4,000
-400
-9% -$26.1K
FITB
31
Fifth Third Bancorp
FITB
$51.2B
$306K 0.69%
10,964
– –
ETP
32
DELISTED
Energy Transfer Partners, L.P.
ETP
$304K 0.68%
13,672
– –
GBNK
33
DELISTED
Guaranty Bancorp
GBNK
$302K 0.68%
10,175
– –
EMD
34
Western Asset Emerging Markets Debt Fund
EMD
$609M
$281K 0.63%
20,944
+2,150
+11% +$29K
JNJ icon
35
Johnson & Johnson
JNJ
$618B
$261K 0.59%
1,890
+80
+4% +$10.6K
IWM icon
36
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
IWM
$79.8B
$257K 0.58%
1,523
-110
-7% -$18.6K
IIPR icon
37
Innovative Industrial Properties
IIPR
$1.71B
$251K 0.57%
+5,200
New +$199K
PFF icon
38
iShares Preferred and Income Securities ETF
PFF
$13.3B
$250K 0.56%
6,725
– –
DM
39
DELISTED
Dominion Energy Midstream Ptr LP
DM
$246K 0.55%
+13,723
New +$220K
SPH icon
40
Suburban Propane Partners
SPH
$1.24B
$232K 0.52%
9,870
+1,000
+11% +$23.4K
ABBV icon
41
AbbVie
ABBV
$443B
$231K 0.52%
2,438
+40
+2% +$3.79K
QQQ icon
42
Invesco QQQ Trust
QQQ
$453B
$228K 0.51%
1,227
+56
+5% +$10.1K
AMGN icon
43
Amgen
AMGN
$208B
$226K 0.51%
1,088
– –
SBCF icon
44
Seacoast Banking Corp of Florida
SBCF
$3.36B
$226K 0.51%
+10,000
New +$310K
GLD icon
45
SPDR Gold Trust
GLD
$131B
$223K 0.5%
+1,982
New +$227K
GE icon
46
GE Aerospace
GE
$374B
$212K 0.48%
3,912
-58
-1% -$3.58K
TYG
47
Tortoise Energy Infrastructure Corp
TYG
$1.09B
$210K 0.47%
+1,951
New +$218K
VPU
48
Vanguard Utilities ETF
VPU
$8.46B
$208K 0.47%
1,763
-282
-14% -$33.5K
AABA
49
DELISTED
Altaba Inc
AABA
$204K 0.46%
+3,000
New +$211K
XLK icon
50
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF
XLK
$115B
– –
-6,804
Closed -$236K
1
2

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A
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CFRPA
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SH
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FSCP
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HCIL
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WLRC
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HR
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Probabilities Fund Management's Q3 2018 Portfolio in Review

As of Q3 2018, Probabilities Fund Management held 51 positions worth $44.4M, down 35% from $67.9M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 59% of the portfolio.

Probabilities Fund Management withdrew a net $30M in Q3 2018, closing 2 positions and reducing 19 holdings. Its most notable exit was State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF, an estimated $236K position sold in full.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 6.9% of assets, up from 3.6% a quarter earlier, followed by Financials and Energy.

Against the trend, Probabilities Fund Management opened a new position in Seacoast Banking Corp of Florida worth $226K.

  • Probabilities Fund Management's largest Q3 2018 buy was Seacoast Banking Corp of Florida: 10,000 shares worth $226K.
  • Probabilities Fund Management added most to abrdn Asia-Pacific Income Fund in Q3 2018, an estimated $608K increase.
  • Probabilities Fund Management's biggest Q3 2018 reduction was ProShares UltraPro S&P 500, cutting an estimated $7.02M.
  • Probabilities Fund Management fully exited State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF in Q3 2018, selling an estimated $236K.
  • Probabilities Fund Management's ten largest holdings make up 59% of its $44.4M portfolio in Q3 2018.
  • Probabilities Fund Management opened 6 new positions and closed 2 in Q3 2018.
  • Probabilities Fund Management's portfolio value fell 35% quarter-over-quarter to $44.4M.

Based on Probabilities Fund Management's 13F filing for Q3 2018, filed 14 Nov 2018.