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Probabilities Fund Management Portfolio holdings

AUM $28.1M
1-Year Est. Return 54.68%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
+3.56%
1 Year Est. Return
+54.68%
3 Year Est. Return
–
5 Year Est. Return
–
10 Year Est. Return
–
AUM
$67.9M
AUM Growth
-$30.9M
Cap. Flow
-$35.2M
Cap. Flow %
-51.78%
Top 10 Hldgs %
76.6%
Holding
46
New
6
Increased
15
Reduced
12
Closed
1

Top Buys

Rank Stock Value
1
BAC icon
Bank of America
BAC
+$298K
2
EMD
Western Asset Emerging Markets Debt Fund
EMD
+$261K
3
EXAS
Exact Sciences
EXAS
+$237K
4
XLK icon
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF
XLK
+$233K
5
VPU
Vanguard Utilities ETF
VPU
+$230K

Top Sells

Rank Stock Value
1
UPRO icon
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
UPRO
+$14M
2
SPXL icon
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
SPXL
+$14M
3
VTI icon
Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF
VTI
+$3.05M
4
VOO icon
Vanguard S&P 500 ETF
VOO
+$2.31M
5
SPY icon
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
+$1.31M

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Financials 3.98%
2 Energy 3.78%
3 Technology 3.6%
4 Consumer Staples 2.05%
5 Utilities 1.36%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
AAPL icon
26
Apple
AAPL
$4.54T
$419K 0.62%
8,968
– –
MDY icon
27
State Street SPDR S&P MIDCAP 400 ETF Trust
MDY
$26.6B
$388K 0.57%
1,094
+4
+0.4% +$1.41K
STZ icon
28
Constellation Brands
STZ
$22.2B
$377K 0.56%
1,724
– –
VZ icon
29
Verizon
VZ
$195B
$377K 0.56%
7,479
– –
FITB
30
Fifth Third Bancorp
FITB
$51.2B
$319K 0.47%
10,964
– –
GBNK
31
DELISTED
Guaranty Bancorp
GBNK
$307K 0.45%
10,175
– –
IWM icon
32
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
IWM
$79.8B
$269K 0.4%
1,633
+9
+0.6% +$1.44K
EXAS
33
DELISTED
Exact Sciences
EXAS
$266K 0.39%
+4,400
New +$237K
ETP
34
DELISTED
Energy Transfer Partners, L.P.
ETP
$256K 0.38%
13,672
– –
GE icon
35
GE Aerospace
GE
$374B
$255K 0.38%
3,970
-375
-9% -$25K
PFF icon
36
iShares Preferred and Income Securities ETF
PFF
$13.3B
$255K 0.38%
6,725
– –
EMD
37
Western Asset Emerging Markets Debt Fund
EMD
$609M
$248K 0.37%
+18,794
New +$261K
VPU
38
Vanguard Utilities ETF
VPU
$8.46B
$237K 0.35%
+2,045
New +$230K
XLK icon
39
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF
XLK
$115B
$236K 0.35%
+6,804
New +$233K
ABBV icon
40
AbbVie
ABBV
$443B
$223K 0.33%
2,398
– –
JNJ icon
41
Johnson & Johnson
JNJ
$618B
$220K 0.32%
1,810
+200
+12% +$25K
SPH icon
42
Suburban Propane Partners
SPH
$1.24B
$209K 0.31%
8,870
-275
-3% -$6.33K
QQQ icon
43
Invesco QQQ Trust
QQQ
$453B
$202K 0.3%
+1,171
New +$196K
AMGN icon
44
Amgen
AMGN
$208B
$201K 0.3%
+1,088
New +$192K
AABA
45
DELISTED
Altaba Inc
AABA
– –
-3,000
Closed -$222K
1
2

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SPCM
Sound Point Capital Management New York $28.3M AUM 13.25% 1-Year Est. Return
A
Attestor London, United Kingdom $27.8M AUM 32.32% 1-Year Est. Return
CFRPA
Castle Financial & Retirement Planning Associates Fair Haven, New Jersey $29.5M AUM
SH
Scepter Holdings Fort Worth, Texas $22.4M AUM
FSCP
Franklin Street Capital Partners New York $21.5M AUM 13.45% 1-Year Est. Return
HCIL
H Capital III LP Grand Cayman, Cayman Islands $40.2M AUM
WLRC
W.L. Ross & Co Dallas, Texas $40.2M AUM 14.46% 1-Year Est. Return
HR
Hayden Royal Charlotte, North Carolina $42.7M AUM 33.86% 1-Year Est. Return

Probabilities Fund Management's Q2 2018 Portfolio in Review

As of Q2 2018, Probabilities Fund Management held 46 positions worth $67.9M, down 31% from $98.8M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 77% of the portfolio.

Probabilities Fund Management withdrew a net $35.2M in Q2 2018, closing 1 position and reducing 12 holdings. Its most notable exit was Altaba Inc, an estimated $222K position sold in full.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Financials at 4% of assets, up from 2.6% a quarter earlier, followed by Energy and Technology.

Against the trend, Probabilities Fund Management opened a new position in Western Asset Emerging Markets Debt Fund worth $248K.

  • Probabilities Fund Management's largest Q2 2018 buy was Western Asset Emerging Markets Debt Fund: 18,794 shares worth $248K.
  • Probabilities Fund Management added most to Bank of America in Q2 2018, an estimated $298K increase.
  • Probabilities Fund Management's biggest Q2 2018 reduction was ProShares UltraPro S&P 500, cutting an estimated $14M.
  • Probabilities Fund Management fully exited Altaba Inc in Q2 2018, selling an estimated $222K.
  • Probabilities Fund Management's ten largest holdings make up 77% of its $67.9M portfolio in Q2 2018.
  • Probabilities Fund Management opened 6 new positions and closed 1 in Q2 2018.
  • Probabilities Fund Management's portfolio value fell 31% quarter-over-quarter to $67.9M.

Based on Probabilities Fund Management's 13F filing for Q2 2018, filed 14 Aug 2018.