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Probabilities Fund Management Portfolio holdings

AUM $28.1M
1-Year Est. Return 54.68%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
-4.47%
1 Year Est. Return
+54.68%
3 Year Est. Return
–
5 Year Est. Return
–
10 Year Est. Return
–
AUM
$98.8M
AUM Growth
+$29.2M
Cap. Flow
+$35.5M
Cap. Flow %
35.93%
Top 10 Hldgs %
85.84%
Holding
43
New
1
Increased
18
Reduced
10
Closed
3

Top Buys

Rank Stock Value
1
UPRO icon
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
UPRO
+$16.5M
2
DDM icon
ProShares Ultra Dow30
DDM
+$4.49M
3
VOO icon
Vanguard S&P 500 ETF
VOO
+$4.37M
4
VTI icon
Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF
VTI
+$4.16M
5
SPXL icon
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
SPXL
+$3.46M

Top Sells

Rank Stock Value
1
FEX icon
First Trust Large Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund
FEX
+$248K
2
EXAS
Exact Sciences
EXAS
+$210K
3
SCFS
SEACOAST FINANCIAL SVCS CORP
SCFS
+$203K
4
MSFT icon
Microsoft
MSFT
+$90.1K
5
NAC icon
Nuveen California Quality Municipal Income Fund
NAC
+$68.6K

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Technology 2.58%
2 Financials 2.57%
3 Energy 2.29%
4 Consumer Staples 1.38%
5 Communication Services 0.93%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
STZ icon
26
Constellation Brands
STZ
$22.2B
$393K 0.4%
1,724
– –
AAPL icon
27
Apple
AAPL
$4.54T
$376K 0.38%
8,968
+120
+1% +$5.17K
MDY icon
28
State Street SPDR S&P MIDCAP 400 ETF Trust
MDY
$26.6B
$372K 0.38%
1,090
– –
VZ icon
29
Verizon
VZ
$195B
$358K 0.36%
7,479
+190
+3% +$9.55K
FITB
30
Fifth Third Bancorp
FITB
$51.2B
$348K 0.35%
10,964
– –
GBNK
31
DELISTED
Guaranty Bancorp
GBNK
$288K 0.29%
10,175
– –
GE icon
32
GE Aerospace
GE
$374B
$281K 0.28%
4,345
-203
-4% -$15K
PFF icon
33
iShares Preferred and Income Securities ETF
PFF
$13.3B
$253K 0.26%
6,725
– –
IWM icon
34
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
IWM
$79.8B
$247K 0.25%
1,624
+64
+4% +$9.88K
ABBV icon
35
AbbVie
ABBV
$443B
$227K 0.23%
2,398
– –
AABA
36
DELISTED
Altaba Inc
AABA
$222K 0.22%
3,000
– –
ETP
37
DELISTED
Energy Transfer Partners, L.P.
ETP
$222K 0.22%
13,672
– –
JNJ icon
38
Johnson & Johnson
JNJ
$618B
$206K 0.21%
1,610
+35
+2% +$4.73K
SPH icon
39
Suburban Propane Partners
SPH
$1.24B
$201K 0.2%
9,145
– –
EXAS
40
DELISTED
Exact Sciences
EXAS
– –
-4,000
Closed -$210K
FEX icon
41
First Trust Large Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund
FEX
$1.57B
– –
-4,240
Closed -$248K
SCFS
42
DELISTED
SEACOAST FINANCIAL SVCS CORP
SCFS
– –
-10,000
Closed -$203K
1
2

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Sound Point Capital Management New York $28.3M AUM 13.25% 1-Year Est. Return
A
Attestor London, United Kingdom $27.8M AUM 32.32% 1-Year Est. Return
CFRPA
Castle Financial & Retirement Planning Associates Fair Haven, New Jersey $29.5M AUM
SH
Scepter Holdings Fort Worth, Texas $22.4M AUM
FSCP
Franklin Street Capital Partners New York $21.5M AUM 13.45% 1-Year Est. Return
HCIL
H Capital III LP Grand Cayman, Cayman Islands $40.2M AUM
WLRC
W.L. Ross & Co Dallas, Texas $40.2M AUM 14.46% 1-Year Est. Return
HR
Hayden Royal Charlotte, North Carolina $42.7M AUM 33.86% 1-Year Est. Return

Probabilities Fund Management's Q1 2018 Portfolio in Review

As of Q1 2018, Probabilities Fund Management held 43 positions worth $98.8M, up 42% from $69.7M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 86% of the portfolio.

Probabilities Fund Management deployed $35.5M of net new capital in Q1 2018, opening 1 new position and adding to 18 existing holdings.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 2.6% of assets, down from 3.7% a quarter earlier, followed by Financials and Energy.

On the sell side, the largest reduction was Microsoft, an estimated $90.1K trimmed.

  • Probabilities Fund Management added most to ProShares UltraPro S&P 500 in Q1 2018, an estimated $16.5M increase.
  • Probabilities Fund Management's biggest Q1 2018 reduction was Microsoft, cutting an estimated $90.1K.
  • Probabilities Fund Management fully exited First Trust Large Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund in Q1 2018, selling an estimated $248K.
  • Probabilities Fund Management's ten largest holdings make up 86% of its $98.8M portfolio in Q1 2018.
  • Probabilities Fund Management opened 1 new position and closed 3 in Q1 2018.
  • Probabilities Fund Management's portfolio value rose 42% quarter-over-quarter to $98.8M.

Based on Probabilities Fund Management's 13F filing for Q1 2018, filed 15 May 2018.