ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury ETF

TBF

Valor de mercado US$ 134 mi

The IMF warns of rising bond market risks amid mounting debt, inflation and AI borrowing. Explore four inverse bond ETFs that could benefit from rising yields.

After a harrowing third quarter for Treasurys and as the stock market stalls , bond yields at multi-decade highs are attracting retail investors into fixed-income ETFs.

The Fed raised rates and TBT barely flinched, which raises an uncomfortable question for anyone betting on more hikes: being right about the direction still might not make you money.

Treasury Secretary Bessent insists on challenging the bond vigilantes, and neither side is backing down. The underlying trends are pointing toward volatility ahead and potentially much more.

ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury ETF is initiated with a Sell rating and a $22 price target, implying 14% downside. TBF's performance is closely tied to rising long-term Treasury yields, but current levels do not warrant new bearish positions. I expect core CPI to steadily decline over the next twelve months, reducing the primary driver for further yield increases.

Global bond yields are surging on inflation and fiscal worries. Here are 3 inverse ETFs that could benefit from further bond weakness.

Global benchmark bond yields are surging, and seemingly no country is spared. Japan's 10-year government bond yield hit 3% for the first time since 1996 on Tuesday, the U.K.'s 10-year gilts hit 5.27% – the highest since 2008, and 10-year U.S. Treasuries briefly touched 4.8%.

Rising oil prices, inflation fears and higher Treasury yields are creating a favorable backdrop for inverse Treasury ETFs.

On Wednesday, July 29, the FOMC rate decision will be followed by Microsoft and Meta earnings after the close. Thursday begins with the advance estimate of Q2 GDP and the June PCE inflation report before Apple and Amazon report after the bell. CME FedWatch currently implies a 62–65% probability that the Fed holds rates in July, with the remaining probability assigned to a hike.

Treasury yields climbed as Middle East tensions linger. These inverse Treasury ETFs could benefit if inflation and bond yields keep rising.