Wheaton Precious Metals

WPM

Market cap $47.3B

Gold closed at $3,976 per ounce on Thursday. It was the lowest close of the year, erasing nearly all of the gains of the last three quarters.

Investors interested in stocks from the Mining - Miscellaneous sector have probably already heard of Teck Resources Ltd (TECK) and Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. (WPM). But which of these two stocks is more attractive to value investors?

WPM posts a record Q1 operating cash flow, as higher margins and production growth support its outlook and long-term cash flow targets.

Wheaton Precious Metals (WPM) has an impressive earnings surprise history and currently possesses the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely beat in its next quarterly report.

Wheaton Precious Metals is upgraded to Buy after a 26% stock decline creates an attractive entry point. WPM maintains strong fundamentals, which significantly support the buy rating. These include a robust production outlook, lending to an upgraded earnings, and forward P/E well below its five-year average. There's the risk of gold price assumptions being too ambitious but even at current levels, but the positives are now overwhelmingly stacked in WPM's favor anyway.

H1 2026 turned out to be a bad one for gold mining stocks, despite a great start, because of the oil crisis that erupted in 2026. H2 2026 could be better than H1 2026 with no repeat of the big losses, but big gains will be difficult with the crisis still not fully resolved. Gold mining stocks are likely to go flattish in H2 2026, but their ability to go higher should get better longer term for multiple reasons.

Geopolitical tensions and macroeconomic concerns in this country weighed on precious metal prices. Wheaton was fortunate in that its monthly decline wasn't as pronounced as that of certain industry peers.

Wheaton Precious Metals faced valuation compression after silver's recent price drop and a poorly timed deal with a 3% IRR at $70/oz. With silver under $60/oz, speculative excess has dissipated, and WPM's stock price now reflects the negative IRR of its recent acquisition. We see a cautious buying opportunity for WPM as its price-to-sales ratio approaches the attractive 10x threshold, despite recent setbacks.

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Silver is approaching what many technical traders would describe as a make-or-break moment. After a sharp rally over the past two years, the precious metal has retreated to a long-term rising trendline that has supported its bull market since early 2024.