Vista Energy

VIST

Market cap $3.66B

Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. - Sponsored ADR (VIST) was a big mover last session on higher-than-average trading volume.

Vista Energy is a key player in Argentina's Vaca Muerta basin, poised for significant medium-term production growth. Vaca Muerta's potential could mirror the Permian Basin's transformative impact on U.S. energy a decade ago, fueling optimism for Argentina's exports. Recent acquisitions in Vaca Muerta and a consistently strong management team enhance Vista's value proposition and growth outlook.

MEXICO CITY , Sept. 2, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- Vista Energy, S.A.B.

Vista Energy has a higher profit margin than some of the relevant fracking companies. The acquisition of PEPASA will improve the company's profit margin, generating value for investors. My estimation suggests that the company could increase its revenues and adjusted EBITDA by approximately 95% compared to 2024.

Investors need to pay close attention to VIST stock based on the movements in the options market lately.

VIST shares fall after Q2 EPS lags estimates by a wide margin despite surging output and an upgraded yearly guidance.

According to its July 10, 2025, 13F filing with the SEC, TT International Asset Management executed a sale of 691,645 shares of Vista Energy (VIST 3.30%) in the second quarter. After the sale, the firm held 277,876 shares of Vista with a market value of $13.29 million as of July 10, 2025.

Upgrading Vista Energy to Buy as the Amarga Chica acquisition offers attractive returns, with a conservative 11% earnings yield at $65 Brent. Operational execution remains strong: production growth, cost control, and expanded transport capacity support further upside and resilience even in lower oil price scenarios. Leverage has increased post-acquisition, but interest coverage and cost structure remain robust; prudent deleveraging is recommended going forward.

Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. (NYSE:VIST ) Q2 2025 Earnings Call July 11, 2025 9:00 AM ET Company Participants Alejandro Chernacov - Co-Founder and Strategic Planning & Investor Relations Officer Miguel Matias Galuccio - Founder, Chairman & CEO Conference Call Participants Alejandro Anibal Demichelis - Jefferies LLC, Research Division Andres Felipe Cardona Gómez - Citigroup Inc., Research Division Bruno Amorim - Goldman Sachs Group, Inc., Research Division Bruno Montanari - Morgan Stanley, Research Division Daniel Guardiola - Banco BTG Pactual S.A.

Vista Energy has rapidly scaled operations post-Q2, consolidating premium assets in Vaca Muerta and achieving record production—without sacrificing margins, efficiency, or strategic focus. A $500MM bond issue validated Vista's financial strength, enabling expansion without shareholder dilution while positioning it as a mature operator with global market access. Despite stellar fundamentals—62% EBITDA margin, 32% ROE, 81% YoY output growth—VIST stock still trades at discounted multiples, reflecting a valuation gap the market has yet to close.