Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF

VGLT

Market cap $10B

Wall Street investors are getting jittery as the US public debt surges in an uncontrollable manner and the rising 30-year yield. The popular iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) has shed over $5 billion this year, while the Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF (VGLT) has lost over $110 million this year.

The yield on the 10-year note finished April 10, 2026 at 4.31%. Meanwhile, the 2-year note ended at 3.81% and the 30-year yield ended at 4.91%.

Our monthly market valuation updates have long had the same conclusion: US stock indexes are significantly overvalued, which suggests cautious expectations for investment returns. This analysis focuses on the P/E10 ratio, a key indicator of market valuation, and its correlation with inflation and the 10-year Treasury yield.

The yield on the 10-year note finished April 2, 2026 at 4.31%. Meanwhile, the 2-year note ended at 3.79% and the 30-year yield ended at 4.88%.

This article looks at the 10-year Treasury yield's historical trends since 1962, exploring its relationship with key economic indicators like the Fed Funds Rate (FFR), inflation, and the S&P 500. Fighting Inflation vs.

The yield on the 10-year note finished March 27, 2026 at 4.44%, the highest level since July 2025. Meanwhile, the 2-year note ended at 3.88% and the 30-year yield ended at 4.98%.

The yield on the 10-year note finished March 20, 2026 at 4.39% while the 2-year note ended at 3.88%. This is the highest level for each since July 2025.

The yield on the 10-year note finished March 13, 2026 at 4.28%. Meanwhile, the 2-year note ended at 3.73% and the 30-year yield ended at 4.90%.

The yield on the 10-year note finished March 6, 2026 at 4.15%. Meanwhile, the 2-year note ended at 3.56% and the 30-year yield ended at 4.77%.

Our monthly market valuation updates have long had the same conclusion: US stock indexes are significantly overvalued, which suggests cautious expectations for investment returns. This analysis focuses on the P/E10 ratio, a key indicator of market valuation, and its correlation with inflation and the 10-year Treasury yield.