Vanguard Intermediate-Term Treasury ETF

VGIT

Market cap $36.5B

The yield on the 10-year note finished January 9, 2025 at 4.18%. Meanwhile, the 2-year note ended at 3.54% and the 30-year note ended at 4.82%.

A new year can bring the adoption of a new perspective, which also applies to portfolio exposure. With that, the tried-and-tested 60-40 portfolio may be best flipped by instead using a 40-60 portfolio in a year that brings more uncertainty.

Our monthly market valuation updates have long had the same conclusion: US stock indexes are significantly overvalued, which suggests cautious expectations for investment returns. This analysis focuses on the P/E10 ratio, a key indicator of market valuation, and its correlation with inflation and the 10-year Treasury yield.

The yield on the 10-year note finished December 31, 2025 at 4.18%. Meanwhile, the 2-year note ended at 3.47% and the 30-year note ended at 4.84%.

This article looks at the 10-year Treasury yield's historical trends since 1962, exploring its relationship with key economic indicators like the Fed Funds Rate (FFR), inflation, and the S&P 500. Fighting Inflation vs.

The yield on the 10-year note finished December 19, 2025 at 4.16%. Meanwhile, the 2-year note ended at 3.48% and the 30-year note ended at 4.82%.

VGIT offers a lower expense ratio and slightly higher yield than IEI. IEI has delivered slightly better 1-year and 5-year returns with a shallower drawdown.

With the potential of more rate cuts to look forward to in 2026, fixed income investors may question how they could attain additional yield in the new year. A Morningstar 2026 Global Outlook Report noted one particular corner of the bond market that could fill the yield void: intermediate bonds.

The yield on the 10-year note finished December 12, 2025 at 4.19%. Meanwhile, the 2-year note ended at 3.52% and the 30-year note ended at 4.85%.

The yield on the 10-year note finished December 5, 2025 at 4.14%. Meanwhile, the 2-year note ended at 3.56% and the 30-year note ended at 4.79%.