Vanguard 0-3 Month Treasury Bill ETF

VBIL

Market cap $7.33B

This article looks at the 10-year Treasury yield's historical trends since 1962, exploring its relationship with key economic indicators like the Fed Funds Rate (FFR), inflation, and the S&P 500. Fighting Inflation vs.

The yield on the 10-year note finished May 29, 2026 at 4.45% while the 2-year note ended at 3.98%. The chart below overlays the daily performance of several Treasury bonds, starting from the pre-recession equity market peaks, along with the Federal Funds Rate (FFR) since 2007.

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Inflation is increasing once more. Rates could follow. Cash would perform quite well during a rising rates scenario, seeing higher yields, and minimal price movements or losses. I'll be giving a quick rundown on three strong cash ETFs in this article.

The yield on the 10-year note finished May 22, 2026 at 4.56% while the 2-year note ended at 4.13%. The chart below overlays the daily performance of several Treasury bonds, starting from the pre-recession equity market peaks, along with the Federal Funds Rate (FFR) since 2007.

The yield on the 10-year note finished May 15, 2026 at 4.59% while the 2-year note ended at 4.09%. This marks the highest level for each since February 2025.

Vanguard 0-3 Month Treasury Bill ETF offers an ultra-short 0.1-year duration, functioning as a near-cash, spot yield vehicle with minimal rate sensitivity. VBIL stands out for its competitive 0.06% expense ratio, outperforming similar ultra-short ETFs like the iShares Floating Rate Bond ETF and the iShares Ultra Short Duration Bond Active ETF on cost efficiency. In the current inflationary and volatile geopolitical environment, we favor cash-like positions over duration bets, as rate cuts appear unlikely.

The yield on the 10-year note finished May 8, 2026 at 4.38%. Meanwhile, the 2-year note ended at 3.90% and the 30-year yield ended at 4.95%.

Our monthly market valuation updates have long had the same conclusion: US stock indexes are significantly overvalued, which suggests cautious expectations for investment returns.

The yield on the 10-year note finished May 1, 2026 at 4.39%. Meanwhile, the 2-year note ended at 3.88% and the 30-year yield ended at 4.97%.