Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bear 3X ETF

TYO

Market cap $12.4M

On Wednesday, July 29, the FOMC rate decision will be followed by Microsoft and Meta earnings after the close. Thursday begins with the advance estimate of Q2 GDP and the June PCE inflation report before Apple and Amazon report after the bell. CME FedWatch currently implies a 62–65% probability that the Fed holds rates in July, with the remaining probability assigned to a hike.

The Nikkei 225 Index jumped and neared its all-time high as memory and semiconductor companies like Kioxia, Tokyo Electron, Advantest, and Keyence Corporation soared. It jumped by over 5% to 71,950, a few points below the all-time high of 72,781.

May's inflation data could bring Treasury bulls back into the fray. If the Fed has the signal they need to start easing monetary policy, then it could bring up the Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (TMF) and the Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (TYD).

Tariffs are roiling the major stock market indexes with volatility. So investors have been pouring into bonds to escape the turmoil.

Inflation appears to be stubborn and persistent. That's providing entry points for three Direxion inverse ETFs for traders looking to capitalize on rising yields.

The spike in yields has led to a surge in ETFs that bet against U.S. Treasury bonds.

With the path to rate cuts clearer, Treasury bonds have been heading higher since the start of the summer, but they've taken a turn. The return of rising yields have been putting the Direxion Daily 20+ Yr Trsy Bear 3X ETF (TMV) and the Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (TYO) back into positive territory.

The ECB cut rates by 25bp as widely anticipated, but a slightly hawkish tilt bear flattened the EUR curve, which in our view remains priced aggressively. In the US, as the markets head towards the Fed's first rate cut, the probability of a larger cut rose slightly on Thursday.

The expectation of interest rate cuts can keep pushing bond ETFs higher, giving traders options in bullish leveraged options for profit maximization. In the meantime, more investors are adding bonds to their portfolios, especially after a volatile August.

Yields on 10-year U.S. Treasuries have trended lower lately with bond markets pricing in a Federal Reserve rate cut as early as September. Aside from the usual Fed speculation, add in some extra uncertainty for the U.S. presidential election and interest rate traders may see some action in coming weeks and months.