Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF

TYD

Market cap $32.1M

May's inflation data could bring Treasury bulls back into the fray. If the Fed has the signal they need to start easing monetary policy, then it could bring up the Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (TMF) and the Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (TYD).

Tariffs are roiling the major stock market indexes with volatility. So investors have been pouring into bonds to escape the turmoil.

With the path to rate cuts clearer, Treasury bonds have been heading higher since the start of the summer, but they've taken a turn. The return of rising yields have been putting the Direxion Daily 20+ Yr Trsy Bear 3X ETF (TMV) and the Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (TYO) back into positive territory.

As the U.S. Federal Reserve starts to ease monetary policy, the yield curve is starting to steepen after a couple of years inverted. In turn, this is pushing a pair of leveraged exchange traded funds (ETFs) from Direxion higher.

The ECB cut rates by 25bp as widely anticipated, but a slightly hawkish tilt bear flattened the EUR curve, which in our view remains priced aggressively. In the US, as the markets head towards the Fed's first rate cut, the probability of a larger cut rose slightly on Thursday.

The expectation of interest rate cuts can keep pushing bond ETFs higher, giving traders options in bullish leveraged options for profit maximization. In the meantime, more investors are adding bonds to their portfolios, especially after a volatile August.

Yields on 10-year U.S. Treasuries have trended lower lately with bond markets pricing in a Federal Reserve rate cut as early as September. Aside from the usual Fed speculation, add in some extra uncertainty for the U.S. presidential election and interest rate traders may see some action in coming weeks and months.

For the first six months of 2024, the Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (TYD) was trending lower. That's because he higher-for-longer interest rates narrative was pushing bond prices lower.

The anticipation for the first rate cut in this rate cycle keeps on building as capital markets hope to see one at least before 2024 comes to a close. Meantime, hopes for looser monetary policy can drive specific leveraged ETFs higher.

Signs of cooling inflation are bringing bond bulls back as the Federal Reserve recently kept interest rates unchanged yet again. Bond bulls, however, are betting on rate cuts propping up prices as the second half of 2024 may see the first of said cuts.