Trade Desk

TTD

Market cap $8.9B

My June 2025 cautious Buy on TTD fell ~72%. Only the caution and starter-position sizing held up. Growth collapsed from mid-twenties expectations to ~12% by Q1 2026. The forward EV/EBITDA has compressed from ~28x to ~6.5x, but consensus expects only ~28% EPS expansion over three years. A low multiple alone is not a thesis. Operating expenses grew ~18% against ~12% revenue growth, stock compensation ran ~$109m on ~$689m revenue, and cash yields just over 4% on market value.

TTD is riding connected TV momentum as advertisers embrace data-driven campaigns, with premium publishers and AI helping expand its long-term growth opportunity.

The Trade Desk has declined 62% since my last coverage, yet I maintain a Strong Buy rating. At approximately 11x forward P/E, TTD appears undervalued with strong fundamentals supporting a potential turnaround. Double-digit revenue growth, robust data advantages, and deep partner integrations position TTD well in the digital advertising market.

Enabling integration of purchase data from approximately 28 million 7-Eleven App members on the DSP TOKYO, July 13, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- The Trade Desk (Nasdaq: TTD), a global leader in advertising technology, today announced the integration of retail purchase data from SEVEN-ELEVEN JAPAN CO., LTD. (hereinafter "SEJ") into The Trade Desk platform, enabling advertisers to programmatically activate SEJ's retail purchase data across digital channels through The Trade Desk platform.

VENTURA, Calif.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--The Trade Desk (Nasdaq: TTD), the world's leading independent advertising technology company, today announced the appointment of Penry Price to its board of directors.Price brings more than two decades of experience across the advertising industry, including as the Vice President of Marketing Solutions at LinkedIn and as President at Dstillery. Prior to that, he was the Vice President of Agency Sales and Partners at Google, where, among other strategic initiativ.

The Trade Desk has shifted from a high-growth story to a deep value opportunity, now trading at just 11x earnings and 3x sales. Despite slowing revenue growth (8% YoY guidance), TTD maintains strong profitability, a net cash balance sheet, and is aggressively repurchasing shares. Competitive pressures from META and GOOGL's AI-driven walled gardens challenge TTD's growth narrative, but management remains committed to profitability and sees potential for reacceleration.

Trade Desk's stock fell 52% in the first half of 2026 amid slowing revenue growth and executive turnover. A public dispute with advertising giant Publicis Groupe weighed on the stock for months before the two sides settled in mid-June.

The Trade Desk, Inc. remains deeply discounted despite sustaining double-digit growth and >30% adjusted EBITDA margins, prompting a reiterated Strong Buy rating. Settlement of the Publicis dispute removes a key revenue headwind, with business resuming and potential for stronger results in the year's back half. TTD's valuation is compelling at ~6x FY26 adjusted EBITDA and ~10.7x FY26 P/E, with risks seen as fully priced in and M&A attractiveness rising.

A sharp rotation trade has taken over markets to start the second half of 2026, with investors dumping the year's biggest winners and piling into beaten-down names.

Adobe (ADBE 0.20%) and The Trade Desk (TTD 0.47%) are two of the most underappreciated stocks in the market right now.