TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC

TPVG

Market cap $229M

In the article I analyze insider buying activity and acquisition trends across multiple BDCs. The overarching conclusion provides yet another supportive element to my structural BDC bull case. Apart from the macro-level view, I share two key (more nuanced) takeaways which have crystallized from the insider transaction activity of these 20 BDCs.

I have gathered 20 BDC short interest statistics. What I found out surprised me - i.e., my top (quality) BDC picks are among the most shorted ones. In the article I've unpacked this situation and explained the potential drivers from the short sellers' perspective.

I spotlight 35 low-priced Dividend Power 'dogs' with robust yields and reasonable valuations, emphasizing six 'safer' picks where free cash flow covers dividends. Analyst forecasts project 41.67% to 96.55% net gains for the top ten Dividend Power stocks by April 2027, with an average estimated return of 59.49%. All 35 Dividend Power stocks show annual dividends from $1,000 invested exceeding their single share prices, underscoring attractive yield-to-price dynamics.

MENLO PARK, Calif.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. (NYSE: TPVG) (“TPVG” or the “Company”), a leading financing provider to venture growth stage companies backed by a select group of venture capital firms in technology and other high growth industries, today announced that DBRS, Inc. (“Morningstar DBRS”) has confirmed the Company's investment grade Long-Term Issuer Rating and Long-Term Senior Debt Rating of BBB (low). Morningstar DBRS issued a statement announcing the conf.

Currently, BDCs provide very high-yield opportunities. The fact that additional interest rate cuts are unlikely to happen this year should theoretically support the existing levels. Yet for most BDCs, the damage has already been done.

The higher yields we choose, the more risks we introduce in our portfolios. Usually, the double-digit level is the tipping point from which the risks start to increase exponentially. The 14%+ yielding zone is very dangerous (packed with many landmines and only few areas of safety).

I see compelling value in floating-rate preferred shares and baby bonds, especially as credit spreads widen and many now trade at discounts to call value. Recent market volatility and higher interest rates have created attractive entry points in select REITs, BDCs, preferred shares, and baby bonds. I've allocated a significant portion of my portfolio to preferred shares and baby bonds in March 2026.

TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. is upgraded from sell to hold as downside risks appear largely priced in at a 44% NAV discount. TPVG's fundamentals showed signs of stabilization in Q4, with higher investment activity, NAV growth year-over-year, and declining non-accruals. The 19% yield remains high risk, with ongoing concerns about portfolio yield compression, elevated leverage, and rising PIK income.

Inflation has significantly eroded portfolio purchasing power, especially for conservative investors avoiding high-growth stocks. Traditional yield producers like Realty Income have failed to outpace inflation, worsening real income outcomes. I prioritize seeking high-yield, recession-resistant investments to generate durable monthly income amidst volatility.

Ares Capital, Capital Southwest, and Trinity Capital stand out as attractive BDCs for income-focused investors amid sector headwinds. Rising defaults, increased leverage (average 1.25x), and potential recession risks warrant caution across the BDC sector despite appealing yields. Dividend safety is not guaranteed by spillover income; recent cuts at TPVG and MSDL underscore this vulnerability.